We’ve got five games on the NHL betting slate tonight, including an Eastern Conference clash between the Philadelphia Flyers and Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotia Bank Arena.
William Nylander has been quiet of late, my Maple Leafs vs. Flyers predictions have him ending his six-game goalless drought.
Find out why in my free NHL picks for Sunday, January 5.
Maple Leafs vs Flyers prediction
My Leafs pick
William Nylander anytime goal (+130 at Sports Interaction)
My Leafs analysis
William Nylander leads the Toronto Maple Leafs with 23 goals on the season, second to only Leon Draisaitl in the Rocket Richard race. He’s scored 15 of those goals on home ice.
However, the veteran winger is in the midst of his quietest stretch of the season, failing to find the back of the net for six straight games. That said, I’m banking on the Swedish sniper to snap his skid tonight at home against a team he’s torched throughout his career.
Nylander has had a lot of success against the Philadelphia Flyers, leading the Leafs in points and goals against them since entering the league in 2014. He’s also scored in three straight games against Philly while netting seven goals in the last nine meetings overall against the club.
Keeping pucks out of the back of the net hasn't been a strong suit for the Flyers this season. Philly ranks 30th in the NHL, allowing an average of 3.56 goals against per game with an NHL-worst .868 team save percentage. Additionally, Philadelphia has allowed four or more goals in seven of their last nine games.
This can be attributed to the fact that this is also a team that gives up a lot of scoring chances. The Flyers rank 24th in scoring chances against, allowing 27.06 chances per 60 minutes of 5-on-5. They also have the league's worst high-danger save percentage, which is an area that Nylander excels in. He has 40 high-danger shots on goal this season, according to NHL EDGE analytics.
Toronto has completely controlled this matchup over the years, winning seven of the last eight meetings where the Buds have averaged 4.88 goals per game against Philly.
If the Buds can have continued offensive success against a Philadelphia team that gives up a lot of chances and has some poor goaltending to go along with it, I like Nylander's chances to bust out of his slump tonight with an anytime goal.
Maple Leafs vs Flyers same-game parlay (SGP)
For the first leg of the SGP, we’ll roll with the best bet and take Williams Nylander to score an anytime goal.
We’ll stick to the Nylander prop market for the second leg of the parlay and take him to record 3+ shots on goal. Nylander leads the Leafs with 137 shots on net, averaging 3.42 per game. He’s hit this number in seven of his last nine games and in four of the last five meetings against Philly specifically.
For the final leg of our SGP, let's stick with the prop market and bet for Bobby McMann to register 2+ shots on net. He’s averaging 2.98 shots per game over his last 24 games. He’s near-automatic to hit this number as he’s recorded two or more shots on net in 21 of his last 24 outings.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Maple Leafs vs Flyers odds
Maple Leafs vs Flyers live odds
Maple Leafs vs Flyers opening odds
- Puck line: Toronto -1.5 (+150) | Philadelphia +1.5 (-185)
- Moneyline: Toronto -180 | Philadelphia +158
- Over/Under: Over 6 | Under 6
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
Maple Leafs vs Flyers trend
The Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Leafs and Flyers. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Flyers.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Flyers
Location: | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON |
Date: | Sunday, 1-5-2025 |
Puck drop: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | SNO |
Maple Leafs vs Flyers latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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