Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Bobby McMann has fit like a glove on Toronto's top line, and he'll continue to make an impact for the Buds as long as he's there.

Mike DiStefano - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Nov 20, 2024 • 10:56 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Bobby McMann Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
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We’ve got five games on the NHL betting slate tonight, including a cross-conference clash between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Vegas Golden Knights.

My Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights predictions eye up Bobby McMann's shot prop market. 

Find out why in my free NHL picks for November 20.

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights prediction

My Leafs pick
Bobby McMann Over 2.5 shots (-120 at Sports Interaction)

My Leafs analysis
No Auston Matthews, no problem. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs (11-6-2) are rolling right now despite missing their captain. They’re 5-1 in his absence, largely due to the collective group all stepping up and all playing a little bit better. 

One player in particular who is surging right now is Bobby McMann. The Leafs winger is on fire with goals in back-to-back games, earning the moniker Bobby McMatthews. 

McMann was elevated to the top line three games ago, and since then he has three goals on 17 shots while averaging 17:30 a game, an increase of over four minutes of his season average. 

More ice time = more opportunity. 

McMann averages 2.61 shots per game this season, but that number has risen to 5.6 since being elevated to top-line duties alongside John Tavares and Mitch Marner

The betting line for his shot prop is set at 2.5 tonight. He’s cleared this number in all three games since the promotion and should be poised to do so again tonight against a Vegas Golden Knights team giving up an average of 29.4 shots per game over their last five outings.

McMann is also getting to the right areas of the ice to find success as he has seven individual high-danger chances over the last three games.

This should bode well against the Knights, who sit in the Bottom 5 of the league in scoring chances and high-danger chances given up at 5-on-5, according to Natural Stat Trick

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights same-game parlay (SGP)

Bobby McMann 3+ shots

McMann anytime goalscorer

Over 4.5 goals

McMann has been dangerous for the Leafs, scoring three goals in as many games as McMann, Tavares, and Marner rank fourth in the NHL in goals per 60 minutes. McMatthews has been the finisher within the combo with three tucks in just over 25 minutes of 5-on-5 play. 

Additionally, the Golden Knights have not played well defensively this year, and the goaltending has been poor, with a team save percentage of .892.

These two teams combined for 7.05 goals per game this season and scored 18 times in the two-game set last season. I bought the total down a tad because the Leafs are playing elite defense and the games at Scotiabank Arena have averaged just 5.46 goals per game this year. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights odds

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights live odds

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights opening odds

  • Puck line: Toronto -1.5 (+185) | Vegas +1.5 (-225)
  • Moneyline: Toronto -130 | Vegas +110
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-110) | Under 6 (-110)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights trend

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-3 on the moneyline on home ice this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights

Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date: Wednesday, 11-20-2024
Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights latest injuries

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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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