Oilers vs Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Edmonton Oilers are rolling right now, and they'll have no issues dealing with Pittsburgh inside 60 minutes.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jan 9, 2025 • 10:15 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Match starts: 4 mins
PIT
32 %
EDM
68 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Oilers in regulation (-117) Oilers in regulation (-117)
Read Analysis
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Edmonton Oilers are looking to win their fifth consecutive game when they visit PPG Paints Arena on Thursday, January 9, to face the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Edmonton has been piling up wins while superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have been piling up points, and my top Oilers vs. Penguins predictions and NHL picks don’t expect Pittsburgh to have an answer tonight.

Oilers vs Penguins prediction

My Oilers pick
Oilers in regulation (-130 at BET99)

My Oilers analysis
The Edmonton Oilers have won 14 of their past 26 games in regulation, including four straight while outscoring their opponents 16-5, and Edmonton is 19-5-2 during the stretch.

Superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl respectively pace the NHL in points and goals during the heater, and the Oilers have been a special-teams machine.

Edmonton sports a fifth-ranked 28.8 power-play percentage and top-ranked 89.3 penalty-kill percentage during the stretch, and the Oil are at full health for tonight's tilt against the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Pittsburgh will likely be without go-to center Evgeni Malkin (upper body) after he didn’t participate in line rushes during Wednesday’s practice, so that will make the Oilers all the more difficult to match up against for the Pens.

There’s also a clear 5-on-5 advantage for Edmonton.

Oilers Oilers Penguins Penguins
Corsi for percentage 53.8% (third) 49.5% (15th)
Goals for percentage 53.5% (ninth) 43.5% (29th)
Expected goals for percentage 54.3% (fourth) 49.8% (21st)

I also value Edmonton starter Stuart Skinner upping his game with a .963 SV% and 1.03 GAA across his past three games, and he’s also allowed two goals or fewer in 11 of his past 15 with respective .920 and 2.22 marks.

Put another tick in the wins column for the Oil tonight.

Oilers vs Penguins same-game parlay (SGP)

Oilers -1.5

Under 6.5

Leon Draisaitl Over 2.5 shots

The Oilers have gone Under the number in four straight and seven of their past nine, and it aligns with the highlighted elite PK play and improved goaltending.

Additionally, opposing teams have to game plan to slow down both McDavid and Draisaitl, and it’s resulted in opponents generating just 25.76 shots and 2.25 expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 during the noted 26-game heater.

Look for Pittsburgh to simplify its game and focus on playing sound defensively, which in turn will limit the prime scoring chances for the Penguins.

For the final leg of this same-game parlay, I’m turning to Drasaitl in the shots market because he’s recorded three or more in 10 of his past 13 games and 25 of 40 for the campaign.

There’s potential for his total to climb to 3.5, but as long as it’s at 2.5, adding the Over to SGPs is a nice multiplier alongside an Under for the game total.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Oilers vs Penguins odds

Oilers vs Penguins live odds

Oilers vs Penguins opening odds

  • Puck line: Edmonton -1.5 (+125) | Pittsburgh +1.5 (-150)
  • Moneyline: Edmonton -190 | Pittsburgh +155
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Odds courtesy of BET99.

Oilers vs Penguins trend

The Edmonton Oilers have won 14 of their past 26 games in regulation while going 19-5-2 during the stretch. Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Penguins.

How to watch Oilers vs Penguins

Location: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Date: Thursday, 1-9-2025
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet

Oilers vs Penguins latest injuries

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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