Wild vs Blues Game 4 Picks and Predictions: Goals Galore in Game 4

Since St. Louis' dominant Game 1 performance, Minnesota has taken control of the series. Can the Blues fight back and knot it up? We think so — keep reading our NHL betting picks to find out why.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
May 8, 2022 • 14:52 ET • 4 min read
St. Louis Blues NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

An intriguing quarterfinal series continues at the Enterprise Center on Sunday afternoon as the Minnesota Wild visit the St. Louis Blues.

The Wild temporarily lost home-ice advantage after a Game 1 defeat, but have roared back with two consecutive triumphs, including a 6-2 stomping of St. Louis in Game 3. 

Can the Blues tie up this series again, or will they fall into a 3-1 hole? Find out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Wild vs Blues on Sunday, May 8.

Wild vs Blues odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Blues opened as consensus -109 favorites on Saturday, and there’s been little significant movement on that line. The opening total of 6.5 hasn’t budged, with the vig staying pat at -110 at most sites.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Wild vs Blues predictions

Predictions made on 5/8/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Wild vs Blues game info

Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
Date: Sunday, May 8, 2022
Puck drop: 4:30 p.m. ET
TV: TBS

Wild vs Blues series odds

Wild: -275
Blues: +220

Wild vs Blues betting preview

Key injuries

Wild: No key injuries to report.
Blues: MacKenzie MacEachern LW (Out), Scott Perunovich D (Out), Robert Bortuzzo D (Questionable), Nick Leddy D (Questionable), Torey Krug D (Questionable).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Wild vs Blues head-to-head record

Wild: 3-5-2 SU, 34 goals for.
Blues: 7-1-2 SU, 42 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The Blues are 21-6 in their last 27 games when their opponent allows two goals or fewer in their previous game. Find more NHL betting trends for Wild vs. Blues.

Wild vs Blues picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Blues could go into Sunday’s matchup a bit shorthanded, but they should be able to avoid falling into a serious series deficit.

Defensemen Torey Krug, Robert Bortuzzo, and Nick Leddy are all considered questionable for this tilt, but St. Louis is an offensively-driven squad. The Blues were third in goals per game (3.8) in the regular season, and kicked off this series by hanging a four-spot on Minnesota. They scored 16 goals in three regular-season matchups with the Wild.

David Perron has led all Blues skaters with three tallies through three quarterfinal games, with two of those coming on the power play. St. Louis’ special teams have scored at least once in every game of this series to date. Ryan O’Reilly (two goals) has also produced multiple goals for the Blues through three games.

Though St. Louis has had trouble falling into early holes of late, their penalty kill has helped keep them in games. The Wild have scored on only two of their first 13 chances on the man-advantage. 

The trends are strongly in favor of the Blues, who are 20-9 in their last 29 games as a home favorite, and 6-2 in their last eight home games overall. The Wild are 13-28 in their last 41 playoff games as an underdog, 2-5 in their last seven games as a road underdog, and 1-7 in their last eight contests in St. Louis.

Minnesota’s recent success against the Blues notwithstanding, St. Louis has had the Wild’s number in recent years, and they shouldn’t let this series slip away.

Prediction: Blues moneyline (-105 at WynnBET)

Over/Under analysis

With the Blues potentially looking to play a more wide-open game and two top-notch offenses on the Enterprise Center ice, the Over looks like a solid wager on Sunday.

We previously discussed Blues stars Perron and O’Reilly, but not to be outdone are Wild forwards Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek. The former leads all skaters in this series with four goals, while Eriksson Ek is close behind at three goals. Bettors shouldn’t be surprised with Kaprizov’s output, as he was fifth in both goals (47) and points (108) during the regular season.

Ryan Hartman has yet to score in this series after potting 34 goals in the regular season, but he has gathered four assists over his last two tilts.

Goaltender Ville Husso has had a rough go of it between the pipes for St. Louis over his last two starts, stopping only 50 of his last 59 shots against (.847 save percentage). 

There are plenty of trends to support an Over play in this one, as the Over is 30-12 in the Wild’s last 42 games playing on one day of rest, and 16-5 in their last 21 Sunday games. As for the Blues, the Over is 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as the betting favorite, and 20-8-1 in their last 29 overall.

Prediction: Over 6.5 (-105 at PointsBet)

Best bet

St. Louis shutting out Minnesota in the series-opening game seems like a distant memory. Three of the Blues’ top defensemen have hit the injury report, and the Wild have scored 11 times in their last two tilts. 

But Minnesota often struggles to keep pucks out of their own net as well, ranking 16th in goals against per game (3.0) this year. It feels like a matter of time before struggling forwards Pavel Buchnevich (one assist) and Brandon Saad (one assist) figure out Wild goalie Marc-Andre Fleury and break open the floodgates. 

The Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two squads, with a 7-1 mark before this series began. 

PickOver 6.5 (-105 at PointsBet)

NHL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Wild vs. Blues picks, you could win $28.12 on a $10 bet?

Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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