Arsenal vs Aston Villa Predictions & Picks for Saturday’s EPL Matchup

Arsenal has allowed at least one goal in seven of its past eight fixtures, and our expert EPL predictions expect that trend to continue on Saturday.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Jan 17, 2025 • 08:49 ET • 4 min read
Aston Villa
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Arsenal are expecting to push in order to challenge Liverpool to the Premier League title. There is no other option than winning for Mikel Arteta's boys, and Aston Villa could profit from the underdog status in this game.

Arsenal sit four points behind Liverpool, who also have a game in hand. Given the context, each misstep could lead to fresh deception for Arsenal in the title race.

Aston Villa are solid and in form, so they could thrive in their role at the Emirates. I see them troubling Arsenal at the back, and I'll go for goals in this match.

Here are my Arsenal vs. Aston Villa predictions and free EPL picks for Saturday, January 18.

EPL predictions for Arsenal vs Aston Villa

My best bet:
Aston Villa multi-goals 1-3 (-164 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Arsenal will look to take control early in the game, but Aston Villa are ever dangerous, and I see them hitting the net at least once at the Emirates. The multi-goals option at TonyBet offers a nice return for the 1-3 goals at -164.

If you feel more courageous than I am, the 2-3 goals sit at an excellent +320.

Arsenal have conceded at least a goal in seven of their previous eight matches in all competitions. Villa are no pushovers and have found their way to goal quite easily in their recent outings.

They are on a four-match unbeaten run, which saw them win over Leicester, West Ham, and Everton and draw against Brighton. In three of these four games, Villa scored two goals.

They also found their way past higher-class opponents, troubling City massively in a 2-1 home win on 21 December. So Arsenal should have a tough clash on Saturday evening.

Even if Villa won't leave North London with points, they surely have a great chance of adding some goals to their season tally.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)

Aston Villa multi-goals 1-3

Over 9.5 corners

Over 4.5 bookings

Arsenal are the set-piece kings of the season in the Premier League. They are a permanent threat to their opponents at corners of free-kicks, and it shouldn't be any different when Aston Villa comes visiting.

Arsenal and Aston Villa are in the top four teams with the most corners this season. Arsenal sits fourth in the charts with 135, while Villa is doing even better - 137.

Given the high intensity and the expected tension in this match, there will be enough context for cards. So, I'll include the over 4.5 bookings in my parlay for a nice return of +424 via TonyBet.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Arsenal vs Aston Villa odds

Arsenal vs Aston Villa live odds

Arsenal vs Aston Villa opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal (-193) | Aston Villa (+540)
  • Draw: (+340)
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-124) | Under 2.5 (+106)

Arsenal vs Aston Villa side and Over/Under analysis

  • Arsenal have conceded at least one goal in seven of their last eight games in all competitions.
  • Arsenal have seen under 2.5 goals in their last three matches against Aston Villa in all competitions.
  • Arsenal are undefeated in their last 11 Premier League clashes.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa game info

Location: Emirates Stadium, London, UK
Date: Saturday, 1-18-2025
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBC
Weather: 35F, 2 mph winds, 20% PoP.
Arsenal  recent EPL form Arsenal has three wins and two draws across its last five fixtures.
Aston Villa  recent EPL form Aston Villa has three wins, one loss and one draw over their previous five games. 

Arsenal vs Aston Villa key injuries

Arsenal: Takehiro Tomiyasu RB (out), Ben White RB (out), Riccardo Calafiori CB (questionable), Bukayo Saka RW (out), Ethan Nwaneri AM (out), Gabriel Jesus ST (out).
Aston Villa: Pau Torres CB (out), Diego Carlos CB (out), Ross Barkley CM (out), Josh McGinn AM (out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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