Liverpool vs Leicester City Picks and Predictions: Nunez Gives Team Offensive Lift

Liverpool and Leicester are on opposite sides of the table, but both are in desperate need of three points for totally different reasons. With the Reds looking to get back into the Top 4, our Premier League picks are backing Nunez to score.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Dec 28, 2022 • 19:11 ET • 4 min read
Darwi Nunez Liverpool Premier League
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Friday gives us another dose of Premier League action with Liverpool vs. Leicester coming from under the floodlights at Anfield. The Reds come into this on the back of a win, while Leicester come in having lost their last game.

Leicester are starting to look in real trouble, could Liverpool finish off their former manager Brendan Rodgers’ regime with his team? Don’t miss our Liverpool vs. Leicester Premier League betting picks and predictions.

Liverpool vs Leicester City best odds

Liverpool vs Leicester City picks and predictions

Friday gives us two games, the best of which is Liverpool vs Leicester, a game with two clubs both in serious need of three points. The home team Liverpool are in sixth, but just five points behind the Spurs in fourth and with a game in hand.

Despite their slow start to the season, there’s real optimism that they can secure a Top 4 finish and Champions League qualification for next year. Then there’s Leicester. Before the break they managed to climb the table a little, but despite being in 13th, they are still just four points ahead of the teams in 18th and 19th. They really can’t give up now.

Darwin Nunez has had one of the most fascinating starts to a career in Premier League history. He arrived from Benfica for a huge fee and instantly drew comparison to Man City’s Erling Haaland, who has been sensational this year. Nunez saw red in his first match, and since then the rollercoaster hasn’t stopped.

One word you can’t escape when watching Nunez is ‘chaos’, as he flips between looking genuinely world class one minute, and then he looks like he’s playing in the park. His performances, and the price tag, have led him to get mocked on social media by rival fans, but he’s got the raw talent to excel in the Premier League.

Players don’t often arrive, like Haaland has, and instantly fit in. it. Despite the criticism, Nunez has five goals and two assists in 11 games, three of which were from the bench. He’s also added another three in the Champions League.

Nunez didn’t find the net against Aston Villa midweek, but on another day he could have scored plenty, and most importantly he is working hard and getting into those positions. The goals will come. Against a poor Leicester defense, I’m backing him to get his first goal since the World Cup on Friday.

My best bet: Darwin Nunez to score (+110 at bet365)

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Liverpool vs Leicester City side analysis

Liverpool haven’t been overly consistent this season, playing poorly one week and then pulling a full 180. That said, they come into this game with most of their key players in good health and crucially, the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold looked rejuvenated in their last game. The feel-good atmosphere has arrived around the club once again and the signing of Cody Gakpo will only strengthen that.

Leicester by contrast are in real, real trouble. They’re close to the relegation zone and they need to look over their shoulders. In their 3-0 loss to Newcastle, they look totally lost, both defensively and when going forward too. They’re missing their star man James Maddison but that isn’t a good enough excuse.

It’s hard to look beyond Liverpool winning this but at -350 it’s not worth betting on it.

Liverpool vs Leicester City Over/Under analysis

The bookies are expecting Over 2.5 goals, and given how bad Leicester looked on Monday and how dangerous the Liverpool attack looked, it makes perfect sense. The best odds around on Over 2.5 are -220, which is very short but it feels very likely. 

We’ve seen Over 2.5 goals in 66.7% of Liverpool’s games this season, including their past four in the Premier League. We’ve seen Over 2.5 goals in 62.5% of Leicester’s games this season but that increases to 75% when they’re on the road — with only two matches going Under. For those reasons you have to back the Over here.

Liverpool vs Leicester City game info

Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England
Date: Friday, December 30, 2022
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock

Liverpool vs Leicester City key injuries

Liverpool: Arthur CM (Out), Luis Diaz FWR (Out), Diogo Jota FWR (Out), Roberto Firmino STR (Out), Ibrahima Konate CB (Questionable).
Leicester City: James Justin RB (Out), Ricardo Pereira RB (Out), Ryan Bertrand LB (Out), Jonny Evans CB (Questionable), James Maddison CM (Questionable).

Liverpool vs Leicester City recent form

Teams Last five matches
Liverpool Liverpool L-W-W-D-L
Leicester City Leicester City L-L-W-W-L

Liverpool vs Leicester City weather

Temperatures will be in the mid-40s when the game kicks off and it’ll also be dry, however, we will have had heavy rain earlier that day. 

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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