Real Madrid vs Barcelona Predictions and Picks for Today’s La Liga Match

Real Madrid's superior defense has been a massive difference-maker and one that should separate them from their Spanish rivals in Sunday's El Clasico showdown. Read more in our Real Madrid vs. Barcelona betting picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Apr 21, 2024 • 08:13 ET • 4 min read
Jude Bellingham Real Madrid La Liga
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s El Clasico on Sunday as Real Madrid play host to Barcelona.

Real Madrid currently lead the La Liga table by eight points, and both teams enter this match having won four in a row. 

Find out where the betting edge lies for this La Liga odds showdown in our Real Madrid vs. Barcelona predictions for April 21.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona picks and predictions

Sunday features the latest installment in the storied history between Real Madrid and Barcelona. The home side come into this game eight points clear of Barcelona, with just one league defeat to their name all season long.

There’s also the shadow of European competition hanging over both teams, with Real reaching the Champions League semifinals with a win over Man City, while Barcelona crumbled against PSG. Buoyed by the signing of Jude Bellingham, Real Madrid are loaded with an abundance of talent and have already beaten Barca 4-1 in the Spanish Supercopa and 2-1 at Camp Nou, thanks to two goals from Bellingham. 

Defense also gives Madrid a clear advantage on Sunday. They’ve conceded just 20 goals all season, 14 less than Barcelona. Now on the back of the Champions League quarterfinals for both teams, the mental strength of Real Madrid is superior to Barcelona, who suffered a complete meltdown in their 4-1 defeat to PSG.

My best bet: Real Madrid moneyline (-113 at TonyBet)

Bet on soccer at TonyBet

One of Canada’s favourite sportsbooks for soccer, join TonyBet, which offers a 100% deposit match (up to $350) for new bettors!

Not available in Ontario.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona same-game parlay (SGP)

Real Madrid moneyline

Jude Bellingham to score

Both teams to score

In addition to our best bet, we’re also going to back Bellingham to score. The Englishman is Los Blancos’ top goalscorer in the league this season with 16 goals in 24 games. He scored a brace in the reverse of this fixture back in October, a game which Real won 2-1.

Meanwhile, the Catalans have scored in each of their past six games in the Bernabeu, and BTTS has cashed in 66.7% of Barcelona’s La Liga games outside Camp Nou this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona odds

Real Madrid vs Barcelona live odds

Real Madrid vs Barcelona opening odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -138 | Barcelona +350
  • Draw: +280
  • Over/Under: Over 3 (-114) | Under 3 (-105)

Real Madrid vs Barcelona side and Over/Under analysis

  • Real Madrid are unbeaten in their past 25 La Liga games.

  • Over 2.5 goals is juiced to -173, with the Under coming in at +146.

  • We’ve seen Over 2.5 goals in 53.3% of Real Madrid’s home matches in La Liga, while 60% of Barcelona’s away games in La Liga have had Over 2.5 goals.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona game info

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
Date: Sunday, 4-21-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN+, TSN3
Weather: 75F, 4 mph winds, 1% POP

Real Madrid vs Barcelona key injuries

Real Madrid: Thibaut Courtious GK (Out), David Alaba DEF (Out).
Barcelona: Gavi CM (Out), Alejandro Balde LB (Out).

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site
.

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo