Saturday’s Premier League slate starts with a big clash as Spurs welcome Brighton to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Spurs enter the weekend with their hands around the lucrative fourth spot place in the Premier League.
Will Brighton be able to upset Tottenham's race for the Champions League spots or will Antonio Conte’s men increase their lead over nearest rivals Arsenal? Keep reading out Tottenham vs. Brighton tips and predictions to find out.
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Tottenham vs Brighton match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Tottenham vs Brighton betting tips
Predictions made on 4/15/2022 at 5:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Tottenham vs Brighton game info
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
• Date: Saturday, April 16, 2022
• Time: 7:30 a.m. ET
• TV: DAZN, Paramount+
Tottenham vs Brighton betting preview
Weather
It’ll be a nice day in London when this game kicks off at 12:30 p.m. local time. Temperatures will rise from around 60 degrees at kick-off and the clouds should shift as the game continues.
Injuries
Tottenham: Matt Doherty RWB (Out), Japhet Tanganga CB (Out), Oliver Skipp CM (Out).
Brighton: Jakub Moder CM (Questionable).
Tottenham vs Brighton predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Side analysis
The first Premier League fixture on Saturday’s slate sees Spurs look to continue their impressive run of form as they welcome mid-table Brighton to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. There are only seven games left in this Premier League campaign for both teams and the stakes are high, at least for one of the two clubs.
Brighton enters the weekend sitting 11th, having had another impressive season which has further boosted the reputation of manager Graham Potter. The reality is that they’re safe from relegation, although a win here would see them hit that famous 40-point total which usually is a sign of staying up.
They’re too far behind those at the top to make a European run, so it feels like there’s not a huge amount of pressure on their result here. That can’t be said for Spurs with the North London team in a fierce battle with hated rivals Arsenal — and to a lesser extent West Ham and Man United — for the fourth spot. Finishing fourth, while not a trophy, would secure them a spot in next season’s Champions League, making them an attractive landing spot for potential new signings, as well as making current stars such as Harry Kane less likely to seek moves elsewhere.
Spurs are the form team in the Premier League, having won their past five on the bounce and extending their lead over Arsenal in the table to three points. Conte has done a brilliant job, especially when you consider that earlier in the season he was talking about potentially leaving the club due to the issues he was having.
We know what to expect from Conte here — the 3-4-3 that has served him well during this spell at Tottenham. That front three of Son Heung-Min, Harry Kane, and Dejan Kulusevski is as dangerous as any front three in Europe right now and Brighton’s Lewis Dunk and Joel Veltman will be terrified at the thought of coming up against their movement.
Kulusevski, despite only arriving in January, would be my signing of the season across the entire Premier League but the summer signing of Cristian Romero has also been up there, with the Argentine adding a ferocious element to their backline. He's also become a huge influence, marshalling the team and elevating the likes of Eric Dier around him.
Spurs are now far better defensively, with three clean sheets in the past six games, and they won’t be scared about facing former Arsenal and Man Utd striker Danny Welbeck who’ll be leading the line for Brighton.
Player for player, Spurs are superior to Brighton with the one exception of Yves Bissouma, who should be on the radar of Europe’s biggest clubs. Potter has been exceptional in turning this group into players into a team far better than the sum of their parts. Despite that, he’ll find Saturday’s game a real struggle and I believe Brighton will come unstuck against this Spurs team who are in exceptional form.
Spurs beat Brighton 2-0 on the road just one month ago and haven’t dropped a point since. With their attack looking so electric and with a Champions League spot in their hands, I can’t see them not leaving without three points here. Take the -185 on Spurs to the bank.
Prediction: Tottenham (-185 at DraftKings)
Over/Under analysis
Given the brilliant form that we’ve seen from Tottenham in the past few weeks, in which they’ve been free-scoring, this might come as a bit of surprise but I’d recommend backing Under 2.5 goals in this game.
Consistently, across the entire season, Brighton games have stayed Under 2.5 goals 74.2% of the time, although that does drop to 66.7% when only factoring in games on the road.
Brighton is tough to beat and we saw that in the previous meeting between these two teams, just last month, in which Spurs only won 2-0.
With that recent performance, in addition to a season’s worth of data for Brighton, we’ll back this to stay Under 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Under 2.5 (-105 at DraftKings)
Best bet
Despite the goals of Son Heung-Min and the arrival of Dejan Kulusevski, there is no doubting who Tottenham's best player is.
Harry Kane might have started the season looking disinterested following the breakdown of his potential move to Manchester City but since the arrival of Antonio Conte, he has bought into the project and in 2022, he has been incredible.
He’s only scored 12 goals in 29 Premier League starts this season but I’d put a lot of that down to his slow start. Although, it’s clear with his eight assists that he’s also demonstrating his great playmaking skills as well as just putting the ball in the back of the net.
I’m not sure you can call 12 Premier League goals a struggle, but whatever it is, those struggles have seen one bookie, DraftKings, price up Harry Kane at -110 to score, behind Son Heung-Min. I love Son as a player, and he has scored more this season, but that just isn’t right.
Harry Kane is a goalscoring monster and he will always score if he gets a sniff of goal. He hasn’t found the back of the net in three games, a long stretch by his standards.
Some would see that as a concern but I see that as an opportunity that things will revert to normal soon and I’ll be backing Kane to score here at -110. The team he scored against last? Well, that was Brighton four games ago. I can see history repeating itself here.
Pick: Harry Kane to score (-110 at DraftKings)
