Wimbledon 2023 Women's Odds, Favorites, Sleepers: Three's Company

A big three has emerged in the women’s game. Can they be toppled in England?

The women’s draw at Wimbledon may be somewhat straightforward. There are three players clearly above the rest on the Wimbledon Odds board; one is World No. 1 Iga Swiatek, who enters as a deserving favorite to win her first Wimbledon. The second is defending champion Elena Rybakina and the third is reigning Australian Open champ Aryna Sabakenka.

Can anyone step to these three? Without further ado, let’s break down the draw and offer our free betting picks for this year's tournament.

Wimbledon 2023 Women's odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of June 30, 2023.

Wimbledon 2023 Women's favorites

Who's hot

Iga Swiatek (+290)

I’m not sure the World No. 1 is scorching hot at the moment, but it’s hard to say she’s cold. Swiatek has yet to lose since the Rome final against Rybakina back in mid-May and has lost just six matches this year in 44 tries. She was just finding her game on grass in Bad Homburg as well before a bout with food poisoning forced her to withdraw from her semifinal match.

Swiatek is still one of the hardest to beat in the world and without a loss in nearly two months it’s very hard not to include her here.

Petra Kvitova (+1000)

The 33-year-old has won this tournament twice and has never looked more poised to win a third. She is fresh off a win in Berlin which saw her come through Karolina Pliskova, Caroline Garcia and Donna Vekic among others. Her big serve and power game make her a tough out on the grass, and her season has to be considered a massive success to this point with a title in Miami and a 22-7 record.

Coco Gauff (+1400)

Gauff’s season has to be considered a relative disappointment, but she’s come alive in the last week or so. The American took out Jess Pegula for the first time in her career en route to the Eastbourne semifinal and has to be considered a threat here at Wimbledon with her aggressive play style.

Gauff went to the fourth round in her Wimbledon debut and just reached the quarters of the French Open, where she fell to Swiatek. She’s got to be feeling good about her game.

Who's not

Elena Rybakina (+500)

The defending Wimbledon champion hasn’t made much noise at all since her win in Rome. She was forced to withdraw from the French Open after just two matches due to an illness and skipped a grass-court tune-up due to illness as well. There are serious questions about Rybakina’s form, even on a surface where little form is required.

Aryna Sabalenka (+550)

No one can be quite sure where Sabalenka’s head is at the moment. The Belarusian blew a 5-2 lead over Karolina Muchova in the French open semifinal, perhaps shattering the confidence she built over the course of two years. That renewed mental strength helped Sabalenka win her first career grand slam earlier this year, but she enters this one with two losses in her last three matches.

Wimbledon 2023 Women's sleepers

Players to watch

Ons Jabeur (+1500)

Jabeur, like Sabalenka, comes into Wimbledon with a 1-2 record in her last three matches. She’s still 22-5 on grass over the last three seasons and remains one of the most consistent in the world on this surface. She packs a punch with her serve and can slice the ball quite well, creating some serious offense on the frantic surface. She’s out of form and dealing with some fitness issues as well, but she can get hot in a hurry here.

Beatriz Haddad Maia (+4800)

The Brazilian has avoided the Swiatek quarter and finds herself in one with Rybakina, Pliskova and Jabeur. While those aren’t easy opponents, I’d rather be here than in one with the other two members of this new-found “big three.”

Haddad Maia won two straight grass-court titles last season and had a tough first-round draw with Kaja Juvan. She can play on this surface and proved in the French Open that she can even step to Swiatek and give her a match. Her big grand slam breakthrough is coming.

Long shots to avoid

Maria Sakkari (+4800)

Sakkari was already a borderline contender on grass, which has to be considered her worst surface, and the draw isn’t going to do her many favors. Madison Keys likely awaits in the third round should Sakkari make it that far, and the American is red hot on the grass right now. Then, there’s a former grand slam champ in Barbora Krejcikova and on the other half of the quarter is Sabalenka, who I think might win this whole thing. Move on.

Pages related to this topic