UFC 255: Chookagian vs Calvillo Picks and Predictions

Katlyn Chookagian is installed as the +205 underdog for her UFC 255 bout with Cynthia Calvillo, but can count a reach advantage among her matchup edges.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 17, 2020 • 09:16 ET
Katlyn Chookagian UFC 255
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Katlyn Chookagian vs. Cynthia Calvillo will be on the main card for UFC 255 betting on Saturday, November 21 at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada.

This bout features two highly-ranked female fighters and could be a stepping stone for Calvillo to get a title shot down the line. UFC odds have Calvillo installed as the favorite at -260 while Chookagian comes back at +205. 

We break down the UFC betting odds for this flyweight clash and give our best picks and predictions for Chookagian vs. Calvillo at UFC 255.

Chookagian vs Calvillo Fight Odds

Method of Victory Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo
Win outright +205 -260
Win by KO/TKO +1,800 +850
Win by points +280 -115
Win by submission +1,100 +800
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Chookagian vs Calvillo Betting Preview

Chookagian is currently the No. 2 contender in the flyweight division and is fresh off a first-round knockout loss to Jessica Andrade in October. Prior to that bout, she had gone 3-1 in her previous four fights with unanimous decision victories over Antonina Shevchenko, Jennifer Maia, and Joanne Calderwood, with a title fight loss to Valentina Shevchenko.

Chookagian isn't the most exciting fighter, but she's a rangy, high-volume striker with excellent cardio, and tends to pick up her wins via points. 

Cynthia Calvillo enters this fight as the No. 4 flyweight contender and is coming off a decision win over Jessica Eye in June. The 33-year-old is 9-1-1 in her MMA career with her lone defeat coming via decision to Carla Esparza in 2017. 

Calvillo is a well-rounded fighter that combines polished striking with effective-ground-and-pound and submissions.

Chookagian vs Calvillo Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian   Cynthia Calvillo
31 Age 33
5-foot-9 Height 5-foot-4
125 lbs Weight 125 lbs
68 inches Reach 64 inches
14-4-0 (2 KO) Record 9-1-1 (2 KO)

Chookagian vs Calvillo UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Chookagian to win +184 - Although Calvillo is the favorite for this fight, she doesn't match up that well against Chookagian, who has high-volume striking, a four-inch reach advantage, and excellent cardio.

While Chookagian was finished by Andrade and Shevchenko in recent fights, Calvillo doesn't have the power of those two, so she won't pose much of a threat to Chookagian standing up.

Calvillo needs to get this fight to the mat if she wants to win, but Chookagian showed improvement in her ground game against Antonina Shevchenko and has the strength to fight her off when grappling.

If Calvillo can't get the finish, she won't have an easy time winning on points against a fighter like Chookagian. 

 

Where Can I Bet on UFC 255 Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available. 

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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