Jose Aldo vs. Pedro Munhoz will be the new co-main event for UFC 265 betting on August 7.
This should be a banger between a pair of Top-10 bantamweights with both fighters coming off recent victories. Oddsmakers are expecting a close fight with UFC betting lines installing Aldo as a -138 favorite while Munhoz comes back at +110.
Here are our best free Aldo vs. Munhoz picks and predictions for Saturday, August 7 from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.
Aldo vs Munhoz fight odds
Live odds courtesy of the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Aldo vs Munhoz method of victory odds
| Method of Victory | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win by KO/TKO | OTB | OTB |
| Win by Points | OTB | OTB |
| Win by Submission | OTB | OTB |
| Draw | +5,000 | +5,000 |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 30, 2021.
Aldo vs Munhoz betting preview
Jose Aldo is a former featherweight champion and one of the greatest pound-for-pound fighters in MMA history. He's coming off a unanimous decision victory against Marlon Vera last December, which helped him snap a three-fight losing streak.
The 34-year-old is a terrific striker who kicks with tremendous power and is able to keep fights standing up, thanks to his excellent takedown defense. He also has a very underrated grappling game and competed in BJJ before making the move to MMA.
Pedro "The Young Punisher" Munhoz is the No. 9-ranked bantamweight contender and is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Jimmie Rivera in February.
Munhoz has gone 8-3 in his last 11 UFC fights and has earned a Fight of the Night bonus in three of his previous four bouts. The 34-year-old combines powerful boxing and leg kicks with good submission skills.
Aldo vs Munhoz tale of the tape
| Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Age | 34 |
| 5-foot-7 | Height | 5-foot-6 |
| 136 lbs | Weight | 135 lbs |
| 70 inches | Reach | 65 inches |
| 29-7-0 (17 KO) | Record | 19-5-0 (5 KO) |
Aldo vs Munhoz UFC prediction and betting picks
PREDICTION: Moneyline Jose Aldo (-138) - Aldo has taken a lot of damage in his career but he's the same age as the "Young Punisher," so that shouldn't play too much of a factor — especially with how hittable Munhoz can be.
Munhoz is coming off a win against Rivera where he damaged his shorter opponent with calf kicks but he won't have that advantage against Aldo, who is a Muay Thai specialist and has a five-inch reach advantage.
Aldo should be able to use his kicking ability to pick apart Munhoz at range and he showed in his previous fight that you can't sleep on his underrated grappling game either.
While Aldo is just 4-6 in his last 10 fights, five of those losses came against the best fighters in the world in their prime (Petr Yan, Alexander Volkanovski, Conor McGregor, and Max Holloway twice) and the other was a razor-thin split decision in his bantamweight debut against Marlon Moraes in 2019.
Munhoz isn't on the level of those first four guys and with Aldo continuing to add wrinkles to his game, he should be able to pick up the win on Saturday.
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