UFC Fight Night Dumont vs Chandler Picks and Predictions: Southpaw Strength Lands Chandler a WIn

Norma Dumont will look to make it three wins in a row when she faces off against the hard-hitting Chelsea Chandler, but our UFC betting picks expect the 29-year-old Chandler to pull out a decision victory.

Danny Howard - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst
Jul 15, 2023 • 08:02 ET • 4 min read

Norma Dumont and Chelsea Chandler collide for featherweight supremacy in another pick ‘em clash on the undercard of this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card from The Apex in Las Vegas.

UFC odds have Dumont a minor favorite at -145, while former Invicta FC standout Chandler is +125. It’ll be Dumont’s pedigree against Chandler’s aggression, and the line could be even closer come Saturday.

This is a high-stakes clash at featherweight, and only one woman will have their hand raised this weekend in Vegas. Find out who I'll be siding with in my Dumont vs. Chandler UFC betting picks and predictions.

Dumont vs Chandler fight odds

Dumont vs Chandler method of victory odds

Method of Victory Norma Dumont Chelsea Chandler
To win by KO/TKO/DQ +1,200 +350
To win by Decision +110 +300
To win by Submission +800 +1,100
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings on July 12, 2023.

Dumont vs Chandler picks

Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Dumont vs Chandler betting preview

Time may be running out for the featherweight division, but recent Invicta transplant Chelsea Chandler looks like she has the goods. The powerful southpaw earned Performance of the Night honors in her UFC debut as she brutalized Julija Stoliarenko last October. Since dropping her pro debut, she’s won her last five fights.

Chandler is a busy striker with respectable power and likes to get dusty. She puts on a lot of pressure with her striking, and the Cesar Gracie student can hold herself well on the ground. Stoliarenko couldn’t weather her offense, and even when she succeeded in taking her down, Chandler was too strong and forced her way back up to end the fight soon after.

This is a significant step up in class for her, but she is equipped to give Dumont trouble. Dumont likes to fight slow, pinning her opponents against the cage and running the clock. She certainly cannot match Chandler’s striking power, so Chandler will have to be prepared to grapple and find scoring opportunities as Dumont tries to slow her down.

Dumont has won her last two fights since dropping a decision to Macy Chiasson. For the most part, Dumont has been a main player at featherweight. She isn’t the strongest of fighters but is defensively sound with her counterpunching and grappling.

The well-rounded Dumont is at her best when she dictates the pace. Her stronger resume should prepare her for the upstart Chandler, and with a strong 67% defense rate against significant strikes, she’ll seek to neutralize her opponent’s best tool.    

Dumont tends to start slow, and while she avoided disaster in her last fight against Karol Rosa, it won’t serve her well here. For Dumont to win, she will need to make it ugly and bully her aggressive opponent against the cage while smothering her strikes as she begins to generate momentum.  

Dumont vs Chandler tale of the tape

Norma Dumont   Chelsea Chandler
32 Age 29
5-foot-7 Height 5-foot-8
145 lbs Weight 140 lbs
67 inches Reach 68 inches
9-2-0 (0 KOs) Record 5-1-0 (2 KOs)

Dumont vs Chandler UFC prediction and best bet

This is another toss-up bout that figures to go either way. Dumont is a negative fighter, but we’ve seen her get cracked and stopped when her opponents can apply a lot of pressure on her. Chandler also has the size and power that Dumont won’t be able to bully her. I’m going to go with Chandler scoring a minor upset based on her power and activity.

Prediction: Chandler moneyline (+125 at DraftKings)

Chandler could stop Dumont inside the distance, but Dumont could manage to stink it out and force a decision. I feel Chandler is good enough to shine against Dumont, so I’m going to bank on her working through the grind and scoring a decision win.

Pick: Chandler by decision (+300 at DraftKings)

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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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