Although the Atlanta Dream snapped a three-game losing streak on Friday night, they remain large underdogs ahead of Sunday's matinee showdown against the New York Liberty.
The Dream have struggled defensively since Olympian Rhyne Howard sprained her ankle, and my Dream vs. Liberty predictions expect Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu to take full advantage of Howard’s absence.
Let's get into it with my WNBA picks for Sunday, June 30.
Dream vs Liberty predictions
My best bet
Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 threes (-105 at bet365)
My analysis
The Atlanta Dream must feel like they are living in a nightmare that doesn’t seem to have an ending.
Olympian Rhyne Howard is out indefinitely with an ankle injury, and Atlanta’s “super team” of Tina Charles, Allisha Gray, and Howard hasn’t been nearly as good as the Dream front office envisioned.
Losing Howard to injury caused all sorts of nightmares for the Dream. They lost their best scorer and arguably their best perimeter defender, which led to a three-game losing streak that they finally snapped on Friday against a tired Connecticut Sun group.
Atlanta’s nightmare season continues as huge underdogs on Sunday when they meet Eastern Conference rival New York Liberty for the third time this month and the second time in seven days.
Making matters worse is they must defend sharpshooter Sabrina Ionescu, as the Olympian is knocking down the fourth most triples per night (2.9) on 36.9% shooting. Although Ionescu laid a 2-for-11 stinker from downtown in New York’s Tuesday night Commissioners Cup loss to Minnesota, I expect a bounce-back performance considering she drained 4+ in her previous four before that outing.
Atlanta's stop unit is allowing a whopping 41.8% 3-point percentage across their last three games without Howard. New York has had five days of rest, and I am anticipating a well-rested Ionescu adding to the Dreams nightmare season when she clears 4+ triples.
Dream vs Liberty same-game parlay (SGP)
The last time Ionescu faced the Dream, she exploited them with four triples and 26 points. Atlanta guards can’t stay with her, and she’s scored 20+ in each of her last four tilts.
Meanwhile, Liberty forward Jonquel Jones will see too much of Charles and Nia Coffey for her liking. The former league MVP managed just 15 points in their last meeting and 10 points in her first. Jones has reached 17+ just twice in her last five, and I'm expecting her to fall short again on Sunday.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Dream vs Liberty odds
Dream vs Liberty live odds
Get the latest Dream vs Liberty WNBA odds for tonight.
Dream vs Liberty opening odds
- Spread: Atlanta +13.5 (-105) | New York -13.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Atlanta +850 | New York -1,600
- Over/Under: Over 165.5 (-110) | Under 165.5 (-110)
Dream vs Liberty spread and Over/Under analysis
- Atlanta is 2-3-0 against the spread across their past five. Money came in on New York, driving the number to +14 (-110), with +14.5 (-115) markets available.
- New York markets are mostly trading at -14 (-110 to –112), with -14.5 priced at -105 for a team that is 1-4-0 ATS across their last five.
- Over/Under markets opened at 164.5 but have since spiked to 166.5 at some shops.
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Dream vs Liberty trend
Ionescu has made 4+ triples in four of her last five games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Dream vs. Liberty.
Dream vs Liberty game info
Location: | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
Date: | Sunday, 6-30-2024 |
Tip-off: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | Fubo Sports US |
Dream vs Liberty latest injuries
Dream: Rhyne Howard G (Out).
Liberty: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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