After a brief break in basketball betting, the WNBA is back with four games on the board for Tuesday.
Tensions rise as the regular season runs out and these matchups carry postseason weight in the home stretch of the schedule.
Las Vegas visits Atlanta, Washington hosts rival Connecticut, Seattle blows into the Windy City, and Minnesota sets up shop at home against Dallas.
I sort through the individual efforts and give my best WNBA prop picks and predictions for August 22.
WNBA player prop bets for August 22
- Parker Over 15.5 points
- Thomas Over 15.5 points
- Sabally Over 16.5 points
Picks made on August 22 at 4:40 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Today's best WNBA player props bets
I Can Dream About You
The Atlanta Dream could be shorthanded against the league-leading Las Vegas Aces tonight, with starters Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray questionable and Nia Coffey out of action.
That leaves a lot of offensive touches up for grabs and the most likely candidate to get those chances is standout forward Cheyanne Parker.
Parker already made the most of that thin lineup with 29 points on 10 for 20 shooting in Atlanta’s win over Chicago on Friday. She’s averaging more than 14 points per game on 5.5 for 11.4 shooting and will see her field goal attempts climb with those starters sitting out.
Parker’s scoring prop is as low as 15.5 points (Over -115) out there this afternoon with some operators dealing 16.5 Over/Under. Howard and Gray aren’t officially ruled out yet but Gray is doubtful and Howard is not only dealing with a facial injury but also a sore knee. Once word comes down on their status, this prop total will spike.
Player projections sit at 19.8 points for Parker, given 17 shots against the Aces. Las Vegas does have one of the best defenses in the land, but Parkers has produced against Vegas this season. She scored 19 points on 9-of-13 shooting earlier this month and she scored 25 points on 10-of-18 from the field versus the Aces back in June.
Cheyanne Parker Total Points: Over 15.5 (-115 at bet365)
AT Is OK
The Connecticut Sun halted a three-game skid with a win over Chicago last time out, thanks in large part to do-it-all forward Alyssa Thomas.
Thomas finished the game with 22 points on 8-of-13 shooting while going 6-for-7 from the charity stripe. It was the third time in the past four games that Thomas scored 20-plus and her projections for tonight’s trip to D.C. are flirting with a similar output.
Models range from 15.9 to 19.8 points from Thomas, who is averaging 15.5 points on the season. That’s exactly where her scoring prop sits versus the Washington Mystics: 15.5 (Over -115). Some books have pumped up the juice on the Over to as high as -139 as of Tuesday afternoon.
Washington is still a patchwork lineup with stars like Elena Delle Donne listed as questionable. The Mystics have been very careful with the minutes for its recently returned stars, leaving the bench to do a lot of heavy lifting as those standouts work their way back into shape.
Thomas put up twin 22-point efforts in her last two outings against the Mystics and is heating up in August, averaging 18.7 points on 49% shooting over the past seven games this month.
Alyssa Thomas Total Points: Over 15.5 (-115 at DraftKings)
That You Satou?
The Dallas Wings are putting together a late-season push just in time to build momentum for the playoffs. They bring a three-game winning streak into Minnesota, facing a Lynx defense that just doesn’t show up on its own floor.
Minnesota lugs a league-worst defensive rating of 108.5 as a host, giving up 86.2 points to visitors. That average has ballooned to 88.5 points against in the last eight home stands.
The last time Dallas was inside the Target Center, it hung 107 points on the scoreboard and 19 came from All-Star forward Satou Sabally on July 12. Sabally has beaten up the Lynx in 2023, also adding a 23-point performance at home back in May.
Sabally has multiple ways to hurt this Minnesota defense. She can score from inside and out, as evidenced by her 8-for-13 collective shooting from 3-point range versus the Lynx’s dismal perimeter defense. She’s also a threat to pick up second-chance buckets on the boards, pushing around a Minnesota team that allows a ton of second-chance buckets and gets bullied on the glass.
Sabally is coming off a couple down games (foul trouble played a part), which has her scoring prop as low as 16.5 points (Over -132) at some shops for tonight. Player projections sit as high as 21.3 while my number comes out to just north of 18 points. Given that, I’ll bite on the more expensive price tag to get the shorter total.
Satou Sabally Total Points: Over 16.5 (-132 at BetRivers)
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