NIT/CBI/CIT Plays

I'm tailing you tonight, hope it's all green

Jfen, would you take Murray St -4
This was just tweeted:
Spoke briefly with Colorado State coach Tim Miles. Said Greg Smith (ankle) isn't 100% but will play 15-20 minutes vs. Murray State.

Sampson is such a disappointment. If he was half the player his dad was they would be a 4 seed in the big tourney. Hes very soft and timid when he could be a 20 point 15 board man easily.

Going with Lasalle and the over 139. Like what you said and Nropp. Also going with your hawks to go over 131. Like your BG play. I know you like that green ink paint it again tonite. BOL

Wow glad I played it at 139 its now 142 thats 6 points since yesterday.

Thanks guys. Two final adds here:

Minnesota @ La Salle Over 138.5 (1 unit)
Minnesota @ La Salle -2 (1 unit)
UC-Santa Barbara @ Idaho +1 (1 unit)
Bowling Green +4 @ Oakland (1 unit)
Bucknell +8 @ Arizona (1 unit)
(Teaser) American +7/Delaware +15 (-110) 1 unit
(Prop) Rodney Williams Over 8.5 Reb/Ast (-120) 0.5 units

Off to the SJU game. Good luck all.

Yep, agree with what Neil said. Let's hope for a nice high-scoring La Salle win. And my Hawks, of course.

Nice job last night, and BOL tonight!

Yeah, fair to say this was a pretty bad night. I've about had my fill of Phil Martelli...

Wow bottomline is you know you have some very talented athletes. Feel bad for you cause I know what a dedicated fan you are. Tommorows another day.

Haha thanks for the support as always. I'm glad they somehow got that over for you. Sorry about leading you astray with the La Salle picks. Thought I had a good read on those...

But yeah, tomorrow should be tremendous as always. Best two days of the year coming up, IMO.

What are your early plays tomorrow?

Minnesota @ La Salle Over 138.5 (1 unit)
Minnesota @ La Salle -2 (1 unit)
UC-Santa Barbara @ Idaho +1 (1 unit)
Bowling Green +4 @ Oakland (1 unit)
Bucknell +8 @ Arizona (1 unit)
(Teaser) American +7/Delaware +15 (-110) 1 unit
(Prop) Rodney Williams Over 8.5 Reb/Ast (-120) 0.5 units

2-4, -2.7 units

NCAA picks in another thread.

Im on Murray St big with you..hope we both are reading this game correctly 

 

While the handicapping in this game is probably correct, too many people like Murray State, thus I think laying 4.5 is too many here

4.5 maybe 2 many but not because people like Murray St.If both teams play to their normal games Murray wins by 7-12,If Colorado St plays above their heads and shoots 3's lights out it will be close.

FOLLOW CLOSELY...

You are not playing any of these when there are NCAAs games on it looks,is that right?

Bucknell @ Nevada Over 133 (1 unit)
Couple things here. Bucknell's offense is fairly versatile and runs through 6'11 post player Mike Muscala. Their ball movement is superb and only by applying intense on-ball pressure can you disrupt their rhythm and flow. That is NOT what Nevada brings today as they play a relaxed defense which allows a significant number of three point attempts. They've talked extensively over the last two days about helping on Muscala and not letting him score at will from the low block. I'd assume he gets matched up with Dario Hunt, who will have the same problem the Arizona "bigs" had the other night in that they simply aren't tall enough to bother Muscala's refined post game. He had his way with Jesse Perry and Solomon Hill and I don't think Nevada has a defender who can give him trouble. On the other side, Nevada's offense is equally versatile with an NBA point guard in Deonte Burton, a sharpshooter in Malik Story, and do-it-all forward Olek Czyz. The Bucknell defense is solid across the board and is the best in the country at limiting offensive rebounds, which is a big part of Nevada's offense. It'll be interesting to see who gets the better of the glass at the end of the floor. Bucknell forces the 4th fewest turnovers in the country and relies on solid positioning and helpside rotation. Like Nevada, they allow a high number of threes, which is likely going to be problematic against a Wolfpack team that shoots 37.4% (#48) from distance. Pace won't be great, but two very efficient offenses with little defensive pressure should lead to some points being scored.

Three Sweet 16 adds:

Marquette -2 (2 units)
Ohio +10.5 (1 unit)
Ohio/North Carolina Under 143 (1 unit)

Are you waiting for a better number on Ville and Wisky?

Monday:

Wyoming +3 @ Washington State (1 unit)
This is probably a popular play, but I can't ignore what I know about both teams. Washington State is a good offensive squad and operates out of some very nice sets, most of which are run through versatile forward Brock Motum. If you've never seen Motum play, he's a left-handed version of Andrew Nicholson from St. Bonaventure in that he's efficient and skilled on the block, can step out to hit threes, and is a willing passer. But the problem for Wazzou's offense is this: it operates purely on timing and rhythm. Against passive defenses that let the Cougs run their sets, they can look like a well-oiled machine. That won't be the case tonight, though, against a stellar Wyoming defense that grinds games to a halt and jams passing lanes with length and positioning. Led by Jay Dee Luster, the MWC Defensive Player of the Year, Wyoming applies strong on-ball pressure that forces turnovers in bunches (#33 in the nation) and disrupts the timing of the offense. For comparison's sake, picture the Colorado State/Murray State game. Colorado State is also a "rhythm" offense, but they were rendered helpless by Murray's on-ball pressure and activity. Washington State is at its best in transition, but those opportunities will be few and far between tonight. At the other end, Washington State plays a lot of zone, and it isn't particularly sound. They were the 3rd worst defense in the Pac-12 this season (behind Utah and Arizona State) and will be challenged by Wyoming's Paco Cruz (37.4%) and Luke Martinez (34.0%). They're solid in the paint and don't give up a lot of open looks, but struggle mightily to reach shooters on the perimeter. Luster is a solid penetrator and passer (#225 assist rate) capable of probing zones and finding open teammates. Wyoming has a ton of size inside with Leonard Washington and Adam Waddell. Washington is one of the nation's best defensive rebounders (28.8%, #10) and will probably draw the primary assignment on Motum. I also like the Cowboys from a motivation standpoint. Aside from Waddell, who played one postseason game in '08-'09, none of the guys on the current roster have tasted the postseason. Most of Washington State's players were on last year's team that reached the NIT semis at Madison Square Garden. Obviously, the Cougs are a much better team at home and will have a decent crowd tonight with the student body returning from Spring Break, but I can't overlook the matchup issues presented by Larry Shyatt's team.

Leans:
Butler/Penn Under 123, Illinois State +8

Definitely playing Wisconsin and would love to get a +5. Not playing Louisville as I lean Michigan State. Might throw a few bucks on the Ville money line as an early hedge on my Sparty national title future at +3200.

Butler @ UPenn Under 122.5 (1 unit)

   never too early to hedge a national title future bet in this tourny, just ask the people that had mizzou