Season Thread - Totals Mostly (some sides)

Clemson has played 7 high octane or shoot quickly and 3pt offenses...teams that like to push the ball up the floor:

Alabama > won on road > total 166

Memphis > lost by 2 on the road > 156 

UNC > lost at home by 10 > 120 

UNC > won on the road > 156

NCST > lost at home by 1 > 155

--------------------------------------------

NCAAB TOURNEY run and gun teams:

NMex > won by 21 > 130's

Baylor > won by 8 > 130's

Arizona > won by 2 > 149

I see the line is coming down....

Just found something.....

UCONN UNDER 155 vs Illinois $100 -110

-have a look at when UCONN plays a strong team with a threatening offense....they shut the game down and keep it under 155 always.....except one game back on Dec 5 vs UNC

This is a pure analytics and pattern bet 

UCONN UNDER 155 vs Illinois $100  -110 

....will update ATS/Totals record later after 165 UNDER ALABAMA 

IF you watched this UCONN game....Illinois tried to be chippy and trashed talk....big mistake! It was boys to men after that and UCONN ran plays that Illinois had no idea what was going on....in other words, its scary to see UCONN's gear 3 if they show it and I only think Purdue has the smoothness, passing and plays to maybe hang with them

I have watched UCONN 4x this year and saw their 3rd gear in one game and the game was close for 3 Q's..... but they went on a whole new level tonight for about 15 minutes

PLAYS OF THE DAY: (last results)

 CLEMSON ML +145 - $70  

BIG PLAY: UNDER CLEMSON-BAMA 164.5 - $200  ....really TOUGH second half...no way was this heading over but thats sports for ya

Record Up to 3rd Round:

Record ATS/Total:  8 - 3  (+$335)

Exotics :   3 - 8   (- $245)

.... have 3 open Teasers to claw some back (finish on Tuesday with NIT games)

No picks today....just like the UNDER Duke but don't love it. Like Purdue ML ....but only two games so I am going to parlay those two not together but with some various other plays in soccer, hockey, baseball or NBA.

GL today 

I can't touch these lines......very rich spreads but, might be perfect actually. I am looking at totals and might have a play Saturday.

Record Up to Final 4:

Record ATS/Total:  8 - 3  (+$335)

Exotics :   3 - 11   (- $320)

Basically, my exotic plays are shit!! Haha

So......... I do not see Alabama having any chance in the UCONN game given the fact they must score inside vs a very disciplined defense/heady athletic team and they have not fared well vs teams like that this season

Play #1 = -11.5 UCONN $165  -115

Play #2 - 5 pt teaser $100 > UCONN -6.5 with UNDER 166.5 with Purdue -4.5

-Edey plays a hi-bred man to man/zone and Horne will not be able to slash to the hoop for easy buckets

-the big guy for NCST or Diawara will have trouble doing up and unders around EDEY as well and kick out more where Purdue will take their chances playing good perimeter defense like they can on 3pt shots (86th in the nation vs 3pt shooters for defense)

Lose these bets....will be out $250 on the tourney (up +$15 right now)

Will watch final and would prefer to play in game rather than pre-bet........bet TOTAL or SIDE as game progresses 

Finish with a bang!.... its been fun and now I turn my attention to baseball and then NCAAF season

Play #1 = -11.5 UCONN $165  -115    (+$135+)

 Play #2 - 5 pt teaser $100 > UCONN -6.5 with UNDER 166.5 with Purdue -4.5   (+$110)

Final Results for Tourney

Record ATS/Totals:  9 - 3  (+$470)

Exotics :   4 - 11   (- $210)