There are a lot of good college football cappers here at Covers but ONLY ONE educates the public that ALMOST ALWAYS the right play is no play because a coin flip bet becomes a losing bet thanks to those greedy stinkin books.
For this we award Megalocks our gratitude and first place as Covers best capper.
and a roar goes up from the crowd
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There are a lot of good college football cappers here at Covers but ONLY ONE educates the public that ALMOST ALWAYS the right play is no play because a coin flip bet becomes a losing bet thanks to those greedy stinkin books.
For this we award Megalocks our gratitude and first place as Covers best capper.
Hi Mega!Forgive a stupid question but I do not know much about college football need your advice.Could you please specife which Florida is your first play?
Thank you in advance great job keep it going!
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Hi Mega!Forgive a stupid question but I do not know much about college football need your advice.Could you please specife which Florida is your first play?
Hi Mega!Forgive a stupid question but I do not know much about college football need your advice.Could you please specife which Florida is your first play?
Thank you in advance great job keep it going!
I head his advisory board, it's the Florida Gators from the swamps of Gainesville
it's the world's largest cocktail party where alcohol will be a plenty and points will be a few
.
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Quote Originally Posted by Sidewinder11:
Hi Mega!Forgive a stupid question but I do not know much about college football need your advice.Could you please specife which Florida is your first play?
Thank you in advance great job keep it going!
I head his advisory board, it's the Florida Gators from the swamps of Gainesville
it's the world's largest cocktail party where alcohol will be a plenty and points will be a few
write-up next .....will also get caught up on responding to your questions had to get some work done.
Florida 3 Georgia (45.5)
Megalocks line 3
Sagarin 3
Cannot wait for this game ! We always love watching this bad boy Saturday afternoon so awesome but enough talk let's get down to business
The trickiest part about handicapping this game is that the stats from previous games are tricky to rely on - Georgia is without Chubb - Florida is without Grier who we think was underrated....but the one thing we can rely on is that we believe that both Ds should be able to handle what the other team does offensively.
1. Florida QB Harris is tough to defend and mobile - but he is still pretty raw and not as reliable of an option to get the ball to their decent WRs.....At RB - Last yr Taylor and Jones each had over 190Y rushing and 2 TD vs Georgia - Florida was #41 in rushing last yr - This yr they only have one player with over 120Y rushing and are #107 running the ball.
2. We are not going to bury Georgia QB Lambert even though he has not looked great - he still has completed 64% of his passes and only 2 int all year so for real guys I mean for real I know he is not great but he can be a decent game manager in this one....losing Chubb takes a ton of their offensive explosiveness and the more you use Michel the less effective he gets in terms of hitting a home run. Think we see a safe game plan from Ga.
What we are relying on here are the Ds. Hard to pick a SU winner.
SEC ranks
Defense - Georgia 3 Florida 4
YPP D - Georgia 4 Florida 5
Florida is #2 SEC in sacks #5 in TFL....Georgia gives up PENETRATION which makes us think Ga will be even more conservative but who knows
Megalocks SEC INSIDER tidbit to justify the play even if it loses..........Georgia is #1 in the SEC in opp long scrimmage plays of 10 yards + (Florida #6)
GL mega
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Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
First play
Florida TT under 24.5
write-up next .....will also get caught up on responding to your questions had to get some work done.
Florida 3 Georgia (45.5)
Megalocks line 3
Sagarin 3
Cannot wait for this game ! We always love watching this bad boy Saturday afternoon so awesome but enough talk let's get down to business
The trickiest part about handicapping this game is that the stats from previous games are tricky to rely on - Georgia is without Chubb - Florida is without Grier who we think was underrated....but the one thing we can rely on is that we believe that both Ds should be able to handle what the other team does offensively.
1. Florida QB Harris is tough to defend and mobile - but he is still pretty raw and not as reliable of an option to get the ball to their decent WRs.....At RB - Last yr Taylor and Jones each had over 190Y rushing and 2 TD vs Georgia - Florida was #41 in rushing last yr - This yr they only have one player with over 120Y rushing and are #107 running the ball.
2. We are not going to bury Georgia QB Lambert even though he has not looked great - he still has completed 64% of his passes and only 2 int all year so for real guys I mean for real I know he is not great but he can be a decent game manager in this one....losing Chubb takes a ton of their offensive explosiveness and the more you use Michel the less effective he gets in terms of hitting a home run. Think we see a safe game plan from Ga.
What we are relying on here are the Ds. Hard to pick a SU winner.
SEC ranks
Defense - Georgia 3 Florida 4
YPP D - Georgia 4 Florida 5
Florida is #2 SEC in sacks #5 in TFL....Georgia gives up PENETRATION which makes us think Ga will be even more conservative but who knows
Megalocks SEC INSIDER tidbit to justify the play even if it loses..........Georgia is #1 in the SEC in opp long scrimmage plays of 10 yards + (Florida #6)
Texas AM has had a tough schedule recently to say the least.....Ark and Miss St....bye week....then tough physical games against Bama and Ole Miss....Their D gets full marks from us they get a lot of penetration and play hard....The QB situation is a bit of a hot mess right now.....Allen is playing hurt or is on some really funky mushrooms - K Murray is yelling at coaches and his dad is creating a #shitstorm....Hubenak looked ok last wk but usually what you do NOT want to do when there is a 2-man QB controversy is throw a THIRD guy into the mix .....Overall not sure where the mindset of this AM team is....Now they get a SC team playing loose 2nd game with new HC.....Orth looks good at QB....decent run game......hmmmm...off a bye......
Summary. Lean SC but want 17 or more. If is actually gets to 17.5/18 very high probability that this gets on our final card.
mega
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Texas AM 16.5 S Carolina (56)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 13
Texas AM has had a tough schedule recently to say the least.....Ark and Miss St....bye week....then tough physical games against Bama and Ole Miss....Their D gets full marks from us they get a lot of penetration and play hard....The QB situation is a bit of a hot mess right now.....Allen is playing hurt or is on some really funky mushrooms - K Murray is yelling at coaches and his dad is creating a #shitstorm....Hubenak looked ok last wk but usually what you do NOT want to do when there is a 2-man QB controversy is throw a THIRD guy into the mix .....Overall not sure where the mindset of this AM team is....Now they get a SC team playing loose 2nd game with new HC.....Orth looks good at QB....decent run game......hmmmm...off a bye......
Summary. Lean SC but want 17 or more. If is actually gets to 17.5/18 very high probability that this gets on our final card.
Why Florida TT under instead of betting the game Total?
good question buddy
we think there is a higher probability that Florida gets 24 or less than the game going under 45.5 and we only make one pick per game. Last yr Florida had 400Y rushing which nobody saw coming if anyone scores 30+ we think it will be GA. and if that very unlikely scenario happens game total is shot imo. I can see both plays tho. Just like the Florida TT under better.
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Quote Originally Posted by Dodgy:
Why Florida TT under instead of betting the game Total?
good question buddy
we think there is a higher probability that Florida gets 24 or less than the game going under 45.5 and we only make one pick per game. Last yr Florida had 400Y rushing which nobody saw coming if anyone scores 30+ we think it will be GA. and if that very unlikely scenario happens game total is shot imo. I can see both plays tho. Just like the Florida TT under better.
Texas AM has had a tough schedule recently to say the least.....Ark and Miss St....bye week....then tough physical games against Bama and Ole Miss....Their D gets full marks from us they get a lot of penetration and play hard....The QB situation is a bit of a hot mess right now.....Allen is playing hurt or is on some really funky mushrooms - K Murray is yelling at coaches and his dad is creating a #shitstorm....Hubenak looked ok last wk but usually what you do NOT want to do when there is a 2-man QB controversy is throw a THIRD guy into the mix .....Overall not sure where the mindset of this AM team is....Now they get a SC team playing loose 2nd game with new HC.....Orth looks good at QB....decent run game......hmmmm...off a bye......
Summary. Lean SC but want 17 or more. If is actually gets to 17.5/18 very high probability that this gets on our final card.
mega
I think you need 18 here my Canadien homie, word around here is Murray gets the nod or he's out of there and Sumlin isn't going to chance that IMO, especially since he's the future, Allen stinks and keeps them from being explosive
the Cocks have no defense so if Murray does get the start then I'd expect Aggie to put up 38+ meaning USCe will need to play well on offense
.
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Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
Texas AM 16.5 S Carolina (56)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 13
Texas AM has had a tough schedule recently to say the least.....Ark and Miss St....bye week....then tough physical games against Bama and Ole Miss....Their D gets full marks from us they get a lot of penetration and play hard....The QB situation is a bit of a hot mess right now.....Allen is playing hurt or is on some really funky mushrooms - K Murray is yelling at coaches and his dad is creating a #shitstorm....Hubenak looked ok last wk but usually what you do NOT want to do when there is a 2-man QB controversy is throw a THIRD guy into the mix .....Overall not sure where the mindset of this AM team is....Now they get a SC team playing loose 2nd game with new HC.....Orth looks good at QB....decent run game......hmmmm...off a bye......
Summary. Lean SC but want 17 or more. If is actually gets to 17.5/18 very high probability that this gets on our final card.
mega
I think you need 18 here my Canadien homie, word around here is Murray gets the nod or he's out of there and Sumlin isn't going to chance that IMO, especially since he's the future, Allen stinks and keeps them from being explosive
the Cocks have no defense so if Murray does get the start then I'd expect Aggie to put up 38+ meaning USCe will need to play well on offense
wallstreet - agree jimmy needs to sack up and give us some picks
lgglez good question - we would play Wy for sure at +28 if Coffman was in there but do not know enough about backup and our PR are based on Coffman starting. BWS says b/up ok so we feel +28 is still an ok price for a degenerate play but we cannot fully endorse GL
JoeCajun Like the pitt over but missed the line jump now not so sure at 53/54
LoveCFB....Have not looked at all of those games yet...The only one we are not crazy about is Houston BUT always always go with your gut first especially since we are most likely not betting the game GL !
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Bridge
vankiep GL !
wallstreet - agree jimmy needs to sack up and give us some picks
lgglez good question - we would play Wy for sure at +28 if Coffman was in there but do not know enough about backup and our PR are based on Coffman starting. BWS says b/up ok so we feel +28 is still an ok price for a degenerate play but we cannot fully endorse GL
JoeCajun Like the pitt over but missed the line jump now not so sure at 53/54
LoveCFB....Have not looked at all of those games yet...The only one we are not crazy about is Houston BUT always always go with your gut first especially since we are most likely not betting the game GL !
I think you need 18 here my Canadien homie, word around here is Murray gets the nod or he's out of there and Sumlin isn't going to chance that IMO, especially since he's the future, Allen stinks and keeps them from being explosive
the Cocks have no defense so if Murray does get the start then I'd expect Aggie to put up 38+ meaning USCe will need to play well on offense
at 13 I lean to A&M, at 18 I'd lean to USCe
figured I'd throw that in there since this line looks tight to me, I like your idea of a loose playing dog with nothing to lose against a team seemingly in disarray
.
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Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
I think you need 18 here my Canadien homie, word around here is Murray gets the nod or he's out of there and Sumlin isn't going to chance that IMO, especially since he's the future, Allen stinks and keeps them from being explosive
the Cocks have no defense so if Murray does get the start then I'd expect Aggie to put up 38+ meaning USCe will need to play well on offense
at 13 I lean to A&M, at 18 I'd lean to USCe
figured I'd throw that in there since this line looks tight to me, I like your idea of a loose playing dog with nothing to lose against a team seemingly in disarray
lgglez - I would play Syracuse or nothing given the letdown factor and the decent Cuse QB but would want to know that he is playing
Spartans glad you also see some value in Vandy but we need to get 2 TD if we can - GL !
Eyezstaylow - tough card ! did not bet a $ until about an hour ago have not done that yet this yr - cannot tell you guys to bet games if we are just standing pat. GL !
jroc - we still love Clemson - probably not touching that game tho but always looking for a reason to play the tigers. Funny you should mention that NC St QB - he seems SLOWER of all things to us this yr in terms of scrambling etc and overall we were disappointed with the VT effort so not getting on their bandwagon again until we see something positive - GL !
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lgglez - I would play Syracuse or nothing given the letdown factor and the decent Cuse QB but would want to know that he is playing
Spartans glad you also see some value in Vandy but we need to get 2 TD if we can - GL !
Eyezstaylow - tough card ! did not bet a $ until about an hour ago have not done that yet this yr - cannot tell you guys to bet games if we are just standing pat. GL !
jroc - we still love Clemson - probably not touching that game tho but always looking for a reason to play the tigers. Funny you should mention that NC St QB - he seems SLOWER of all things to us this yr in terms of scrambling etc and overall we were disappointed with the VT effort so not getting on their bandwagon again until we see something positive - GL !
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ONLY ONE 
educates the public that ALMOST ALWAYS the right play is no play because a coin flip bet becomes a losing bet thanks to those greedy stinkin books
.
First play
talk let's get down to business 
.....Overall not sure where the mindset of this AM team is....Now they get a SC team playing loose 2nd game with new HC.....Orth looks good at QB....decent run game......hmmmm...off a bye......
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