TD21 where are you?

Small action only:

Cinci -23.5 -105 (0.1u)

get me back to even after my MACtion this week since BSU couldn’t close the deal after being up early each half.

My 10 year old throwing 57MPH side arm

Didn't give up a hit in 25 IP.. kids cannot pick up his angle with speed

Good morning TD, thank you again, anything cooking an FCS today? Thank you, J

We love the FCS action.... like this Bob Ross keychain says "Let's get crazy, what the heck"...... here's the 1st pass:

Morehead State -12.5 & -13  (1u)

NDSU / YSU Under 47.5  (1u)

East Tennessee State +9.5 &+9 & +8.5  (0.75u)

Idaho / Montana State Under 54.5  (0.5u)

Stony Brook +18.5 (0.5u)

Eastern Washington  -6.5  (0.4u)

Central Arkansas +1.5  (0.3u)

Holy Cross -2.5  (0.3u)

JMU / W&M Under 47.5  (0.3u)

Samford / Florida Over 69.5 & O70 (0.3u)

Samford +35.5 (0.25u)

South Dakota State / South Dakota Over 50.5  (0.25u)

Northern Iowa +2.5  (0.25u)

Davidson / Dayton Under 65.5  (0.2u)

Davidson -2.5 (0.2u)

Also, key an eye on Bucknell / Army 2nd half Under opportunities.

@newmarket

That's awesome!!  Amazing numbers there!  Baseball was my sport, love coaching it now!  Wishing your son continued success as the years go by!  Main thing with these kids that have success early is to stay hungry and strive to improve regardless of past success.  I keep trying to pound that into my son's head.

And good luck today if you're into that college football wagering stuff.  

Not much to update, still putting this out there now.  And still shopping.....

Week 11 FCS:

Morehead State -12.5 & -13  (1u)

NDSU / YSU Under 47.5  (1u)

East Tennessee State +9.5 &+9 & +8.5  (0.75u)

Idaho / Montana State Under 54.5  (0.5u)

Stony Brook +18.5 (0.5u)

Eastern Washington  -6.5  (0.4u)

Central Arkansas +1.5  (0.3u)

Holy Cross -2.5  (0.3u)

JMU / W&M Under 47.5  (0.3u)

Samford / Florida Over 69.5 & O70 (0.3u)

Samford +35.5 (0.25u)

South Dakota State / South Dakota Over 50.5  (0.25u)

Northern Iowa +2.5  (0.25u)

Added:  St. Thomas (MN) / Drake Under 37 (0.2u)

Davidson / Dayton Under 65.5  (0.2u)

Davidson -2.5 (0.2u) & Added Dayton +7 (0.1u)

FCS UDML Parlay:

Stony Brook, East Tennessee State, Mercer, Northern Iowa, Southern Utah  (risk 0.05u to win 49.95u)

Week 11 In-Game:

Added:  Army / Bucknell Under 70.5 (0.5u)

Rain is coming late in the game and pace will slow down in the 2nd half.

More live to consider.....

Week 11 In-Game:

Army / Bucknell Under 70.5 (0.5u)

NDSU / YSU Under 53.5  (0.2u)

Samford +24.5  (0.2u)

Live.....

Week 11 In-Game:

Army / Bucknell Under 70.5 (0.5u)  ..... ended up with U74.5 as well.  Hoping for a lot of clock running 2nd half.

Bucknell +62.5 -102  (0.25u)

NDSU / YSU Under 53.5  (0.2u)

Samford +24.5  (0.2u)

30 hours later, first chance to post.....  FWIW, here's the weekly FBS openers fade material that I took on entirely feel while watching my son's basketball practice and feeling pretty good on my new pain meds.  Good luck to all in Week 12! (already, damn)  

Week 12:

Northwestern / Purdue Under 49.5 & U48.5 (2u overall)

Oklahoma State -10 (1.5u)

Illinois +12.5 & +13  (0.75u)

Minnesota -6 (0.75u)

South Alabama +28 (0.75u)

Northern Illinois -2.5  (0.5u)

Wyoming / Utah State Under 54.5  (0.5u)

WMU / EMU Over 69  (0.5u)

Old Dominion +5.5 (0.5u) .... hedge against RSW Total play as well.

Ohio State -19.5  (0.5u)

Wisconsin / Nebraska Under 43 (0.5u)

Kent State -13.5  (0.3u)

Northern Illinois / Buffalo Under 65.5 (0.3u)

Connecticut +30.5  (0.3u)

Kansas +21.5 (0.3u)

UL Lafayette +5 -120 (0.3u)

UL Monroe +28.5 -109 (0.3u)

Nevada -2 (0.3u)

BYU -20.5  (0.2u)

SMU +12.5 (0.2u)

I think the medicine is still working....

FCS National Championship Futures:

South Dakota State +2000 (0.25u)

North Dakota State +400 (0.25u)

Southern Illinois +2500 (0.1u)

Eastern Washington +2000 (0.1u)

James Madison +600 (0.12u) ..... JMU is the break even play, comes out only +0.02u ahead for them.  All others +$ outcomes, will take these teams vs. the Field.

Busy week, .... have not had a chance to post a couple updates:

As noted in DU4L's MACtion post, I ended up with more $ on NIU, so that worked out after quite a sweat.  And small CMU 1st half ML was nice too.

Week 12:

Northwestern / Purdue Under 49.5 & U48.5 (2u overall)

Oklahoma State -10 (1.5u)

Illinois +12.5 & +13  (0.75u)

Minnesota -6 (0.75u)

South Alabama +28 (0.75u)

Northern Illinois -2.5  (0.5u) & NIU ML -110 as posted in another thread.    Minus a little in-game Buffalo +3    

Wyoming / Utah State Under 54.5  (0.5u)

WMU / EMU Over 69  (0.5u)

Old Dominion +5.5 (0.5u) .... hedge against RSW Total play as well.

Ohio State -19.5  (0.5u) & mostly bought out with MSU +20 (0.4u).

Wisconsin / Nebraska Under 43 (0.5u)

Kent State -13.5  (0.3u) & bumped Kent State -13 -110 (0.2u) -- (0.5u overall)

Added:  Army -23.5 1st half (0.4u)  Tailing my man BA, the Living Legend himself!      

Also, I am still kicking myself from not taking Bucknell 3rd Qtr ML at ~ +1000 last week against Army.  Both UConn and Bucknell beat Army straight up in the 3rd qtr this year after 1st half domination.  Something to keep an eye on here, although UMass likely DONE for the year in terms of effort while those other two bad teams were still playing hard.

Northern Illinois / Buffalo Under 65.5 (0.3u)

Connecticut +30.5  (0.3u)

Kansas +21.5 (0.3u)

UL Lafayette +5 -120 (0.3u)

UL Monroe +28.5 -109 (0.3u)

Nevada -2 (0.3u)

BYU -20.5  (0.2u)

SMU +12.5 (0.2u)

Degenerate (mostly) UDML parlay (by 2's) that I completely forgot to post (locked in Wednesday morning, only 1 game is done)...... Pinched Nerve pain killers in effect for this one  

NIU -118

Missouri +260

UL Lafayette +170

Indiana +240

Oregon +140

Colorado +200

South Carolina +235

Old Dominion +158

Iowa State +158

Kansas +1000

most FCS lines are out early....

Week 12 FCS:

Harvard -6.5  (0.75u)

Tennessee State +44  (0.75u)

Lehigh +3.5  (0.5u)

North Dakota / South Dakota State Under 48  (0.4u)

Stony Brook -3.5  (0.4u)

Maine +1.5  (0.4u)

Youngstown State / Southern Illinois Under 67.5  (0.4u)

Stephen F. Austin -26.5  (0.3u)

Western Illinois +18.5  (0.3u)

Bucknell +30.5  (0.3u)

North Dakota State -10.5  (0.3u)

Monmouth +2.5  (0.3u)

Montana State / Montana Over 32.5  (0.3u)

The Citadel +23.5  (0.2u)

The Citadel ML +1700 (0.1u)

Locked in these.....

Week 13 Lookahead Lines:

WSU +3  (0.75u)  *amount is more influenced by RSW Total hedge than anything.

Ohio State -6.5 (0.5u)

Oregon State +13  (0.5u)

Florida State +10  (0.4u)

Oklahoma State +1  (0.4u)

Nebraska PK  (0.3u)

Ole Miss -2  (0.3u)

@TD21

 Thank you!

@gabalja

No problem, enjoy the games and good luck!

Week 12 FCS:

Harvard -6.5  (0.75u)

Tennessee State +44  (0.75u)

Lehigh +3.5  (0.5u)

North Dakota / South Dakota State Under 48  (0.4u)

Stony Brook -3.5  (0.4u)

Maine +1.5  (0.4u)

Youngstown State / Southern Illinois Under 67.5  (0.4u)

Stephen F. Austin -26.5  (0.3u)

Western Illinois +18.5  (0.3u)

Bucknell +30.5  (0.3u)

North Dakota State -10.5  (0.3u)

Monmouth +2.5  (0.3u)

Montana State / Montana Over 32.5  (0.3u)

The Citadel +23.5  (0.2u)

Added:  Sanford -2.5 (0.2u)

The Citadel ML +1700 (0.1u)

Saturday morning (mostly) Reduced Juice action locked in:

*-105 unless noted.

North Texas -10 (0.3u)

Rutgers +18.5 (0.2u)

South Carolina +7.5 (0.2u)

Boston College -2 (0.2u)

Colorado +7 -115 (0.2u)

Virginia Tech +7.5 (0.2u)

Missouri +9 (0.15u)

Indiana +7.5 (0.15u) - small buy-back / middle play.

Week 12 played out very well.  I was gone for 12 hours door to door for a boys basketball tournament, so believe it or not, didn't get to post a few more that came out ahead.  Might play every game this week.    Just kidding, but close.

Week 13:

posted Friday, looks like all but 1 line adjustment went in my favor.

WSU +3  (0.75u)  *amount is more influenced by RSW Total hedge than anything.  And disgusted with myself when I realized today that I cashed out my WSU Futures to win the Pac 12 after they lost to Oregon.  Did not even see it coming that Oregon may lose to both Utah and Oregon State and then WSU makes the Pac 12 title game with a win over UW and then I'd have great hedge opportunities.  SMH!  

Ohio State -6.5 (0.5u)

Oregon State +13  (0.5u)

Florida State +10  (0.4u)

Oklahoma State +1  (0.4u)

Nebraska PK  (0.3u)

Ole Miss -2  (0.3u)

Week 13 Added Today:

Southern Miss -9.5  (1.5u)

Ball State -6.5 (1u)

Texas A&M -6  (1u)

Notre Dame -15.5  (0.75u)

BYU - 7 (0.4u) & -6.5 -105 (0.35u) -- (0.75u overall)

Boise State -3 (0.5u) & -2.5 (0.25u) -- (0.75u overall)

Fresno State -8.5  (0.5u) & -7 -105 (0.25u) -- (0.75u overall)

Western Michigan -3.5  (0.75u)

Texas Tech / Baylor Under 51.5  (0.75u)

Northwestern +6.5  (0.5u)

Alabama -19  (0.5u)

Iowa / Nebraska Under 45  (0.5u)

Colorado +24.5  (0.5u)

Colorado / Utah Under 52  (0.4u)

Georgia Southern +24.5  (0.3u)

East Carolina +14 (0.3u)  *I'll have to go back and look, but I swear I'm 0 for the season for or against Cinci!

South Florida +18  (0.3u)

Western Kentucky +1.5  (0.25u)

Missouri +15.5  (0.25u)

Tulsa +7  (0.2u)

I got the same prob you mentioned w BA .. what to do with my Miami Ohio 33-1 action lol .. not a bad prob to have ... unreal i how I stop paying attn to anything MAC related and Miami is layin touchdowns .. got the same prob w Pitt 66-1, NC State 50-1, a real three-way in MW w AF 35-1, SDSU 16-1, Fresno 19-1.. interesting hedge, really want AF in there, need Boise to win too and it'll block Utah State .. not all bad getting SDSU vs Utah state i guess .. i think the MW move is ride it out ... Utah pac 10-1 feelin great now! .. Mich 11-1 .. ehhh..  .. Houston 19-1 .. mmm .. want Ville to lose hit the RSW ..  they def turned themselves around, one man show .. 

Yeah like BYU to pile on USC w everyone else .. good scalp can off another big surprise season .. 

Good luck! 

@Bridge1

Sounds like you’re on top of it, believe I read that Air Force wins the Mountain side tiebreaker if all three teams in the running are winners.  Looks like you’re in a good position overall, well done!

For the MAC I was trying to project a Miami vs. NIU line and corresponding ML to play around with $ figures.  I think Miami will be 3 to maybe even 4 point favorites (especially off a big win themselves in that scenario and NIU off a meaningless loss to WMU??).  3 to 4 point favs puts the ML around +124 to +150.  Will be looking at this some more tonight.  And need to review the matchup; run, pass, etc. for each.  Haven’t done much matchup capping this year, special occasion I guess.  

Well I guess I should have tried to middle my lookahead line wager of Nebraska PK with Iowa +3.5 when I had the chance.  Almost did this yesterday.  Oh well.  Now, just took Iowa ML -120 (risk 0.3u to win 0.25u) to mostly cancel that original wager with the news that QB Martinez is out.  Will just enjoy watching the Under play here; ….. may add to that.

Quickly shopped around…..

Added: Iowa / Nebraska Under 41.5 (0.5u) — (1u overall with original U45 play)

Updated card.....

Week 13:

Southern Miss -9.5  (1.5u)

Iowa / Nebraska Under 45  (0.5u), U41.5 (0.5u) & Added U42 -121 (0.4u) -- (1.4u overall)

Ball State -6.5 (1u)

Texas A&M -6  (1u)

*Washington State +3  (0.75u)

Notre Dame -15.5  (0.75u)

BYU - 7 (0.4u) & -6.5 -105 (0.35u) -- (0.75u overall)

Boise State -3 (0.5u) & -2.5 (0.25u) -- (0.75u overall)

Fresno State -8.5  (0.5u) & -7 -105 (0.25u) -- (0.75u overall)

Western Michigan -3.5  (0.75u)

Texas Tech / Baylor Under 51.5  (0.75u)

*Ohio State -6.5 (0.5u)

*Oregon State +13  (0.5u)

Northwestern +6.5  (0.5u)

Alabama -19  (0.5u)

Colorado +24.5  (0.5u)

Colorado / Utah Under 52  (0.4u)

*Florida State +10  (0.4u)

*Oklahoma State +1  (0.4u)

Georgia Southern +24.5  (0.3u)

East Carolina +14 (0.3u)

South Florida +18  (0.3u)

*Ole Miss -2  (0.3u)

Western Kentucky +1.5  (0.25u)

Missouri +15.5  (0.25u)

Tulsa +7  (0.2u)

*Nebraska PK  (0.3u) & buy-back with Iowa ML -120 (0.25u)

And tail between my legs, took my aforementioned cashout chump change and bought another small ticket on WSU to win the P12 @ +1800 just so I can forgive myself some if Oregon State upsets Oregon (they might, bubble burst situation there).  (risking 0.055u to win 0.99u)

UDML parlay (by 2s) did well last week.... waiting this week for some Friday games to play out, but here's some UDML parlay ideas:

Oregon State (especially if UW wins on Friday), Florida State, Northwestern

strong leans..... Middle Tennessee State, Tulsa, Kentucky, Western Kentucky, FCS Stephen F. Austin,

maybe consider...... Cal, Army, Boston College, Rice, Tulane, Virginia Tech, Minnesota (if Nebraska wins on Friday),  FCS Northern Iowa