Posted:
#101
Don't mean to be captain obvious but California chrome is probably the most impressive horse I have seen coming into the derby since big brown without all the foot problems. There is no doubt my win bet and all my exotics will be made around him wps. He has a beautiful stride and finishes like a freight train straight as an arrow. It's a beautiful thing to watch. The horse he decimated is a lot of people's second selection in the derby. A few longer shots.
1) Cairo prince- most of the focus from Florida is from constitution and rightfully so. But when I hear people say that he was fighting his jockey and still won etc I think to myself do you really think that will change in a 20 horse field? Plus pletcher her is fade material on derby day where they have some of the toughest regulations in place.
Cairo made a monster move coming from 3-4 lengths back and went 3-4 wide on a track that is impossible to close on. He also came into the race on an 8-9 week layoff and I think he was a little short. I like his breeding better then constitution, his trainer, and his experience at a better price.
2) General a rod- keep losing money on this horse but his breeding screams distance. He ran a decent trip over cd surface. His first race he came from off the pace and won going away. Word is that they are tinkering with blinkers to try and get him to relax like he did in race 1
3) wicked strong- ran a monster after getting off the highway at GP
4) danza- as much as I don't like pletcher on derby day its hard to interpret that last race. He ran beautifully. Will he bounce? Probably but he may go off at 15-1 and constitution may be 6-1
More to come when I have some more data
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