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    All Forums | Horse Racing

    Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally

    «First Previous 808182 ... 107108109 Next Last»
    Last2thirst
    icemantbi
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    «First Previous 808182 ... 107108109 Next Last»
     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2022 - 6:40 PM ET #1976

    Race 1 > only #5 can beat #3 who is gonna be tough....I did not take this horse last time if you recall because it had been off for a while but it won easily.....like butter spread on a hot muffin

    -#5 has been fave last 2 times so if you get a price...put the horse in as the owners/trainer are schooling this horse to collect paycheques in a class as long as possible...I understand the game and sometimes you dont want a horse moving too fast, but rather, picking up 2nd/3rd cheques for many races is good ...if I see 7/2 or better, its going in my PICK5, otherwise, I am keying #3

    Race 2 > ALL...smell games being played....love #6 but also #1 and #3 moving up...which is rare for me to pick horses like that but I see something. I also believe TRALGAR was stiffed by McNair last week so they could bring the horse in with FIRST TIME JODI JAMIESON on #2

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Race 1 > only #5 can beat #3 who is gonna be tough....I did not take this horse last time if you recall because it had been off for a while but it won easily.....like butter spread on a hot muffin

    -#5 has been fave last 2 times so if you get a price...put the horse in as the owners/trainer are schooling this horse to collect paycheques in a class as long as possible...I understand the game and sometimes you dont want a horse moving too fast, but rather, picking up 2nd/3rd cheques for many races is good ...if I see 7/2 or better, its going in my PICK5, otherwise, I am keying #3

    Race 2 > ALL...smell games being played....love #6 but also #1 and #3 moving up...which is rare for me to pick horses like that but I see something. I also believe TRALGAR was stiffed by McNair last week so they could bring the horse in with FIRST TIME JODI JAMIESON on #2

     

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2022 - 7:01 PM ET #1977

    Race 3 >>> love love #8 ...but take 2 who was stiffed ...I watched it and #6 is gonna pop soon....laying off #3 

    Race 4 >> 467 .....BEWARE #5.....gonna wheel in superfecta 3rd and 4th and maybe an exactor for 2nd and a little win $$

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Race 3 >>> love love #8 ...but take 2 who was stiffed ...I watched it and #6 is gonna pop soon....laying off #3 

    Race 4 >> 467 .....BEWARE #5.....gonna wheel in superfecta 3rd and 4th and maybe an exactor for 2nd and a little win $$

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2022 - 7:17 PM ET #1978

    Aha.....#5 went off at 3 - 1 and came off of #3's cover 3rd over......and won easy it looked like

     

    I have it on a second ticket...KEYED #3 on a biggie!

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Aha.....#5 went off at 3 - 1 and came off of #3's cover 3rd over......and won easy it looked like

     

    I have it on a second ticket...KEYED #3 on a biggie!

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2022 - 4:45 PM ET #1979

    Strong Wind Saturday from the SW so that means...

    -Horses first over or 2nd over can wind up and get a push on the last turn

    -Horses in the 8-9-10 hole will struggle and use a lot of energy trying to get to the front into the wind on the first turn....if they are hung, they are toast

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Strong Wind Saturday from the SW so that means...

    -Horses first over or 2nd over can wind up and get a push on the last turn

    -Horses in the 8-9-10 hole will struggle and use a lot of energy trying to get to the front into the wind on the first turn....if they are hung, they are toast

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2022 - 5:41 PM ET #1980

    Race 1 > tough race...they could set up any one of these to win on a trip with 7 horses.....best for is #1, 4 and 6 .....and they are not even morning line faves!!!

    TAKE > ALL (7 horses)

    Race 2 > 456 is all you need....but they could bring in #1 as a closer with a wicked backhalf....in a 6 horse race, its possible so its a judgement call ...my gut says #6 because Marfisi is hot to start the year and he had a terrible first half....even he is using drugs which is the rumour for the last year or two, THEY ARE MORE EFFECTIVE TO MAKE A RESULT IN COOLER/COLD weather ....this is the OBVIOUS RACE ....many will only take 45 only

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Race 1 > tough race...they could set up any one of these to win on a trip with 7 horses.....best for is #1, 4 and 6 .....and they are not even morning line faves!!!

    TAKE > ALL (7 horses)

    Race 2 > 456 is all you need....but they could bring in #1 as a closer with a wicked backhalf....in a 6 horse race, its possible so its a judgement call ...my gut says #6 because Marfisi is hot to start the year and he had a terrible first half....even he is using drugs which is the rumour for the last year or two, THEY ARE MORE EFFECTIVE TO MAKE A RESULT IN COOLER/COLD weather ....this is the OBVIOUS RACE ....many will only take 45 only

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2022 - 6:52 PM ET #1981

    Race 3 > 245 ....there is a key in there...so I doubt anyone of the other trotters can step up and shave more than 1 second off their PB

     

    Race 4 >368 ....I wouldn't touch #9 for 2 reasons.....been off for a while....has to win on cover and off the pace....and IT HAS NOT RACED IN MINUS TEMPS....so those times are inflated, big time and in fact, my 3 selections were racing as fast as it when it was putting in those but now it has the daunting 9 - hole with wind......many might key this one mistakenly!!! I leaving it out

    Upset on #1 is a maybe...one of these times, this horse will pop

    Race 5 > same deal in this race....#10 is off too long and in tough with inside post horses

    LOVE > #2, 3 4 ..... Christoforou will drive #4 well and not aggressively and watch...it will win as a result!

    -2 is a gritty horse when it drops down and racing well

    #3 might be ready to move up to FREE for all with a win.....

    x-factor is SWEET DIESEL with an aggressive driver McNair...but generally, not good enough vs other aggressive moving horses for the last year....why would the horse be different???

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Race 3 > 245 ....there is a key in there...so I doubt anyone of the other trotters can step up and shave more than 1 second off their PB

     

    Race 4 >368 ....I wouldn't touch #9 for 2 reasons.....been off for a while....has to win on cover and off the pace....and IT HAS NOT RACED IN MINUS TEMPS....so those times are inflated, big time and in fact, my 3 selections were racing as fast as it when it was putting in those but now it has the daunting 9 - hole with wind......many might key this one mistakenly!!! I leaving it out

    Upset on #1 is a maybe...one of these times, this horse will pop

    Race 5 > same deal in this race....#10 is off too long and in tough with inside post horses

    LOVE > #2, 3 4 ..... Christoforou will drive #4 well and not aggressively and watch...it will win as a result!

    -2 is a gritty horse when it drops down and racing well

    #3 might be ready to move up to FREE for all with a win.....

    x-factor is SWEET DIESEL with an aggressive driver McNair...but generally, not good enough vs other aggressive moving horses for the last year....why would the horse be different???

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2022 - 7:15 PM ET #1982

    #6 won easy.....they made 2 horse the fave up to the gate and then big money came down on #6....too bad this was not the 2nd race or later because the 6 was 6-1 morning line

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    #6 won easy.....they made 2 horse the fave up to the gate and then big money came down on #6....too bad this was not the 2nd race or later because the 6 was 6-1 morning line

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2022 - 7:39 PM ET #1983

    MARFISI drugs....won the second race easily >#6 as I said....I think I have one play with it KEYED

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    MARFISI drugs....won the second race easily >#6 as I said....I think I have one play with it KEYED

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2022 - 7:42 PM ET #1984

    ALIVE on these:

     

    Jan 22, 2022

    7:07 PM Bet 29667139944729 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,2,6 / 4,5,6 / 2,4,5/ 3,6,8 / 3  $10.80

    Jan 22, 2022

    7:06 PM Bet 38512775262160 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3-7 / 1,4-6 / 4 / 3,6,8 / 2,4 $28.80

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    ALIVE on these:

     

    Jan 22, 2022

    7:07 PM Bet 29667139944729 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,2,6 / 4,5,6 / 2,4,5/ 3,6,8 / 3  $10.80

    Jan 22, 2022

    7:06 PM Bet 38512775262160 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3-7 / 1,4-6 / 4 / 3,6,8 / 2,4 $28.80

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 6:32 PM ET #1985

    A fair amount of snow has fallen but its not that cold....light winds from the South changing to the west by the 4th race so right, no effect in my view

     

    Some driver observations.....McNair is hot and so is Luc Roy....Jodi is heating up too . Cullen has cooled off but I suspect he will start to rip again soon. JMAC is not as hot and Sylvain is Sylvain...steady and tries most races

    Trevor has been quiet so I am going to concentrate on him, Cullen or McNair in the right situation

    Race 1 > Play only 135  > Pick3 play is put 478 on a ticket with #5 who I think will win and get value

     

    Race 2 > 248 > a maybe to #3

     

    Race 3 > 3468 > normally like #1 too but not with this driver in this class level

     

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    A fair amount of snow has fallen but its not that cold....light winds from the South changing to the west by the 4th race so right, no effect in my view

     

    Some driver observations.....McNair is hot and so is Luc Roy....Jodi is heating up too . Cullen has cooled off but I suspect he will start to rip again soon. JMAC is not as hot and Sylvain is Sylvain...steady and tries most races

    Trevor has been quiet so I am going to concentrate on him, Cullen or McNair in the right situation

    Race 1 > Play only 135  > Pick3 play is put 478 on a ticket with #5 who I think will win and get value

     

    Race 2 > 248 > a maybe to #3

     

    Race 3 > 3468 > normally like #1 too but not with this driver in this class level

     

     

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 6:37 PM ET #1986

    On the same page with the first three races

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    On the same page with the first three races

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 6:38 PM ET #1987

    Race 4 looking at 2,5 and race 5 looking at 4,5,6,7

    Reply

    Race 4 looking at 2,5 and race 5 looking at 4,5,6,7

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 6:59 PM ET #1988

    Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3,5 / 2,4,8 / 3,4,6,8 / 2,5 / 4-7

    Reply

    Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3,5 / 2,4,8 / 3,4,6,8 / 2,5 / 4-7

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 7:00 PM ET #1989

    Race 4 > 27 ....doubt the #5 can beat #2 and #6 will fall into a race soon.....the other potential dangerous horse to fall into a win is #9

    I think one could key #2 confidently, but the connections on #7 are outstanding and I have seen first time horses from them shave 5 seconds off of a qualifier so I am thinking they didn't try in the qualifier ....will do a wheel with Super to the #7 for 3rd and 4th but will also do an EXACTOR 2 - 7

     

    Race 5 > 46 is all you need....maybe #3 and then #7 next

     

    My tickets:

    To be sure > 135 / 2348 / 3468 / 2 / 3467 = $38.40 .....likely will play the ticket below 

    Other Ticket > 135 / 248 / 3468 / 27 / 46 = $28.80

    Race 1 pick3 > 4578 / 248 / 3468  and 40 cent  135 / 3 / 3468

    Race 2 >  248 / 3468 / 569

    Race 3 40 cent > 1257 / 27 / 46 

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Race 4 > 27 ....doubt the #5 can beat #2 and #6 will fall into a race soon.....the other potential dangerous horse to fall into a win is #9

    I think one could key #2 confidently, but the connections on #7 are outstanding and I have seen first time horses from them shave 5 seconds off of a qualifier so I am thinking they didn't try in the qualifier ....will do a wheel with Super to the #7 for 3rd and 4th but will also do an EXACTOR 2 - 7

     

    Race 5 > 46 is all you need....maybe #3 and then #7 next

     

    My tickets:

    To be sure > 135 / 2348 / 3468 / 2 / 3467 = $38.40 .....likely will play the ticket below 

    Other Ticket > 135 / 248 / 3468 / 27 / 46 = $28.80

    Race 1 pick3 > 4578 / 248 / 3468  and 40 cent  135 / 3 / 3468

    Race 2 >  248 / 3468 / 569

    Race 3 40 cent > 1257 / 27 / 46 

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 7:17 PM ET #1990

    That was a good race....TIGHT!! But we got the Moreau juice in the winter! Nice price too

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    That was a good race....TIGHT!! But we got the Moreau juice in the winter! Nice price too

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 7:18 PM ET #1991

    Good start, #3 split down the middle to take it

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    Good start, #3 split down the middle to take it

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 7:20 PM ET #1992

    @icemantbi

    Good luck

    We rarely like the same because times rarely matter for me....its driver/trainer/pedigree/last race trip and owner for me ....times are usually the last determination....as long as the horse is within 2 seconds, all my first 4 criteria matter more !

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    @icemantbi

    Good luck

    We rarely like the same because times rarely matter for me....its driver/trainer/pedigree/last race trip and owner for me ....times are usually the last determination....as long as the horse is within 2 seconds, all my first 4 criteria matter more !

     

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posts: 13601
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 7:57 PM ET #1993

    These were my plays...changed a little....alive to the 2nd one and I got a whole bunch of pick3's played paying out this race, next and in the 5th

     

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:09 PM Bet 68295273190932 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3,5,8 / 8 / 3,4,8 / 5,7 / 4,6 $9.60

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:08 PM Bet 01071940102558 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3,5,8 / 2,4,8 / 3,4,6,8 / 2 / 4,6 $19.20

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    These were my plays...changed a little....alive to the 2nd one and I got a whole bunch of pick3's played paying out this race, next and in the 5th

     

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:09 PM Bet 68295273190932 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3,5,8 / 8 / 3,4,8 / 5,7 / 4,6 $9.60

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:08 PM Bet 01071940102558 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1,3,5,8 / 2,4,8 / 3,4,6,8 / 2 / 4,6 $19.20

     

     
    icemantbi
    icemantbi
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2007
    Posts: 33806
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:03 PM ET #1994

    So far so good!

     

    Reply

    So far so good!

     

     
    icemantbi
    icemantbi
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2007
    Posts: 33806
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:08 PM ET #1995

    looks like the #8 is getting DQd its obvious it went over the pylons..#3 7-1 is better odds

     

    Reply

    looks like the #8 is getting DQd its obvious it went over the pylons..#3 7-1 is better odds

     

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 13601
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:10 PM ET #1996

    Nice....#3 might have been left off by a bunch of players ! This one should be paying $150-200 if it comes #2 next

     

    Decent Pick3 payout there...more than doubled my cash

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Nice....#3 might have been left off by a bunch of players ! This one should be paying $150-200 if it comes #2 next

     

    Decent Pick3 payout there...more than doubled my cash

     
    icemantbi
    icemantbi
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2007
    Posts: 33806
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:11 PM ET #1997

    Only $491 left in this P5.. this is going to be a good payout

    Reply

    Only $491 left in this P5.. this is going to be a good payout

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 13601
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:15 PM ET #1998

    ALive > 

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:53 PM Bet 72288128275161 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,6,8 / 5 / 3 $0.60

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:50 PM Bet 30428658346753 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,4,6,8 / 5,7 / 1,3,5,7 $6.40

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:50 PM Bet 31651115412260 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,4,6,8 / 6 / 3,7 $1.60

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:49 PM Bet 26351633041820 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,6 / 5-7 / 4,6 $2.40

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:49 PM Bet 52816927746524 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,6 / 5-7 / 4,6 $2.40

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:49 PM Bet 26552840061176 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,4,6,8 / 9,10 / 4,6 $3.20 

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    ALive > 

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:53 PM Bet 72288128275161 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,6,8 / 5 / 3 $0.60

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:50 PM Bet 30428658346753 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,4,6,8 / 5,7 / 1,3,5,7 $6.40

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:50 PM Bet 31651115412260 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,4,6,8 / 6 / 3,7 $1.60

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:49 PM Bet 26351633041820 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,6 / 5-7 / 4,6 $2.40

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:49 PM Bet 52816927746524 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,6 / 5-7 / 4,6 $2.40

    Jan 24, 2022

    7:49 PM Bet 26552840061176 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 3,4,6,8 / 9,10 / 4,6 $3.20 

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 13601
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:16 PM ET #1999

    YOUR TICKET IS LOOKING DAMN GOOD!!

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    YOUR TICKET IS LOOKING DAMN GOOD!!

     
     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 13601
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2022 - 8:17 PM ET #2000

    bet #6 and 7 flat and a little on #9 /10 ....I would hedge if I were you....I don't think you need to in Race 5 except for #3 who can win

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    bet #6 and 7 flat and a little on #9 /10 ....I would hedge if I were you....I don't think you need to in Race 5 except for #3 who can win

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