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Posted: #351

GAMES            49-65   -340.86

THE RESULTS SO FAR USING THIS SYSTEM

 
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Posted: #352

Quote Originally Posted by odieo:

Official System Plays for 4/27:

CIN
PIT
CWS*
BOS/BAL U8
TBR*

*Borderline Plays:

CWS - Will probably eliminate this one.  Yanks rarely get swept at home and Colon has pitched very well and would be in top 20 if had enough innings pitched.

TBR - NOT AN OFFICIAL PLAY.  MIN on a 3 game Win streak however its not too often in this system you get a dog with a top 20 pitcher (Wade Davis) so I will be playing them.

As always....play 'em as you like!

This is exactly the the type of adjustments we need to look for. Nice call Odieo!

 
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Posted: #353
On Tampa that is     
 
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Posted: #354
1-1 yesterday and since it seems whenevr I start posting on this site I get jinxed so good luck guys, I'm outa here
 
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Posted: #355
Quote Originally Posted by POIZENIV:

This is exactly the the type of adjustments we need to look for. Nice call Odieo!



Thx POIZEN - It looked like kind of a no brainer - I think we really need to do some homework when the only factor eliminating a game is a win/loss streak.
 
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Posted: #356
Results for 4/27:

PIT
CWS
CIN
BAL/BOS U8

2-2 "officially" however with my adjustment of taking out CWS and adding in TB it was 3-1 and should have been 4-0, damn youkalis with his 3 run shot in the 8th.....

Lets keep it goin!  Things looking up!
 
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Posted: #357
Official System Plays for 4/28:

HOU*

Only play I see on the board today!  Although TB/MIN game will probably be a play once they get the pitching matchups confirmed.

HOU is extremely borderline for me today.  McClellan sits at #41 in the ratings however his numbers have been great -  not sure what in the ratings is keeping him so low.  Also Figueroa has been god awful.  Expect STL to get an easy W here - won't be making this play.

Anyone care to explain why McClellan not rated higher with a 2.16 ERA?  Obviously something I am missing as to how the NPERA is calculated and don't have time right now to figure it out!
 
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Posted: #358

Plays for Thursday 4/28:

Houston                  +139          $18

Seattle                    +107          $18

Good Luck   

 
Prospect
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Posted: #359

Quote Originally Posted by odieo:

Official System Plays for 4/28:

HOU*

Only play I see on the board today!  Although TB/MIN game will probably be a play once they get the pitching matchups confirmed.

HOU is extremely borderline for me today.  McClellan sits at #41 in the ratings however his numbers have been great -  not sure what in the ratings is keeping him so low.  Also Figueroa has been god awful.  Expect STL to get an easy W here - won't be making this play.

Anyone care to explain why McClellan not rated higher with a 2.16 ERA?  Obviously something I am missing as to how the NPERA is calculated and don't have time right now to figure it out!

I agree totally. Wouldn't play Houston if I had started making wagers.

 
Captain
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Posted: #360
anyone do there homework yet? whats on tap for tonite, im lazy
 
Prospect
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Posted: #361

Plays for Friday 4/29:

Baltimore           +136          $18

San Deigo         +117          $18

Flordia               +135          $18

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #362
Quote Originally Posted by POIZENIV:

Plays for Thursday 4/28:

Houston                  +139          $18          -18.00

Seattle                    +107          $18            +19.26

Good Luck   

1-1 for the day, +$1.26

Overall record 17-29 / Bankroll $1410.88

 
Captain
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Posted: #363
Quote Originally Posted by POIZENIV:

Plays for Friday 4/29:

Baltimore           +136          $18

San Deigo         +117          $18

Flordia               +135          $18

 

what about toronto?,what about clevland? these 2 plays qulify also
 
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Posted: #364
Quote Originally Posted by madh4ttr:

1-1 yesterday and since it seems whenevr I start posting on this site I get jinxed so good luck guys, I'm outa here

It's not the sites fault you are a dam mush 
 
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Posted: #365
OFFICIAL Plays for 4/29:

NYM
TOR*
FLA
BAL
SD


Analysis of Borderline Play:

TOR - Freddy Garcia has pitched very well in his first 2 starts making him #1 on the second list of the ratings.  IMO that alone is enough for me to duck this one.  Until he shows me different probably not a good idea to bet against the Bombers at the Stadium.  Side note:  O/U @ 9 might be worth a look.  Romero #18 in ratings....Kinda get the feeling this is going to be a 4-1, 5-2 Yankees victory.

 
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Posted: #366
 
Captain
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Posted: #367
i forgot about the muts,and ya i see what your sayin about garcia situations like this could go either way
 
Captain
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Posted: #368
yo clevland should be play alsothere a dog ,and have won 3 in a row ,while tigers have lost 3 in a row
 
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Posted: #369
Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

yo clevland should be play alsothere a dog ,and have won 3 in a row ,while tigers have lost 3 in a row


CLE @ EVEN money - not considered a dog IMO.
 
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Posted: #370
RESULTS for 4/29:

NYM
TOR
FLA
BAL
SD

TOR/Yanks under also hit - not an official play though, I played that instead of TOR.  Lets keep the plus days comin!
 
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Posted: #371

Ok according to the dog system there are two games today 4-30-11 basball games Cards and the Cubs

Cards @ Atl +130  Atl at home second game following a loss with the cards starting pitcher stinking it up lately??? I would lean towards Atl here???

the other game is cubs at arizona +115 cubs finally win one after losing four in a row so it qualifys... no way no how am I putting a nickel on the cubs here.. I will continue to monitor and look into this but no plays today for me here...

 
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Posted: #372

Quote Originally Posted by odieo:



CLE @ EVEN money - not considered a dog IMO.
even money is so a dog

you guys keep skipping playsalthough you do have to cherry pk plays every now and the although u can get burned, however keeping your plays a small % of bankroll wont hurt you

toronto is a play also,and you could consider k.c at even money, but it opened a pk so that play is iffy

i will try to contribute to thread  for official plays i go

st lou

d backs

blue jays

k.c iffy at pk

pirates iffy+156  BOL

 
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Posted: #373
OFFICIAL SYSTEM PLAYS for 4/30:

STL*
TOR*

Both plays are Borderline today IMO:

STL - Brandon Beachy sits at #23 in the ratings making this a borderline play for me.    His last two starts have been on the road and been quality.  12IP 5H 2ER 14K 2BB.  His two starts before that were at home and less than stellar: 11.1 IP 14H 9ER 10K 6BB.  On the flip side Westbrook is coming off his best start of the year for the Cards and they just put up a ton of runs in HOU- I think we can safely fire here.

TOR - Burnett at #30 and has pitched very well.  Don't want to sound like a broken record, but its tough to bet against the Bombers at home...I think they put the hurt on Drabek today....gonna pass on this one.

An UNOFFICIAL Play that might be worth a look - ARZ/CHC U9 Garza vs. Kennedy #17 and #27 in the ratings.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #374
Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

even money is so a dog

you guys keep skipping playsalthough you do have to cherry pk plays every now and the although u can get burned, however keeping your plays a small % of bankroll wont hurt you

toronto is a play also,and you could consider k.c at even money, but it opened a pk so that play is iffy

i will try to contribute to thread  for official plays i go

st lou

d backs

blue jays

k.c iffy at pk

pirates iffy+156  BOL



D-backs not a dog today.

K.C. negative number at my book.
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #375
I found last year with this system to use the top 25 instead of the top 20.  That would throw the Cards out of today's plays and only leave the Bluejays at +140.
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