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NFL Playoff Thread....

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Veteran
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Posted: #226
 
Rookie
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Posted: #227
^^^ chargerfan.... you are a fool
if it does the you buy in for more. But if you could actually read he stated that he thought Sea would win. If i had to guess Van prob has so coin on the ML as well.
if it goes up... great buy in some more. If it goes down over the next week... well then who is the fool?

What makes you think its going to 3 anyway?
The public love for denver?
Wrong... NFC has been the stronger div all year. But your a charger fan sooo you prob wouldnt know that. Too much sun
 
Prospect
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Posted: #228
 
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Posted: #229
Who needs pts, money line at 120, might go to 125 im gonna buy in today to.
 
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Posted: #230
Payton will make you pay
you all must think those guys protecting him are all whimps

 Remember seattle scored 14 against the mighty ram defense How many more will they need vs Denver?
 
Legend
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Posted: #231
Quote Originally Posted by EDDIEW:

Payton will make you pay
you all must think those guys protecting him are all whimps

 Remember seattle scored 14 against the mighty ram defense How many more will they need vs Denver?

That is certainly quality analysis.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #232
No ML action? 
 
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Posted: #233
Van you didn't respond to my question, who did you ride more in LVH contest? Seattle or Denver
 
Legend
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Posted: #234
Quote Originally Posted by dimndimn:

No ML action? 

Yeah - its safe to say my real money is spread around. 

I think the ML vs Spread decision at this point in time comes down to the value you can get on either.  If you can only get +2 at -110, or ML at +115, that is a ML bet.  But if you have options at +2.5-105 and ML at +112, then you should be betting the spread.

My feeling is that the moves to Denver have stopped.  The penny moves on Pinnacle today were all towards Seattle - and I would guess that continues.  Wouldnt be surprised at all to see the Seahawks a small fav or pk by gametime.  THIS IS ALL OPINION - I DONT HAVE A CRYSTAL BALL.  But is why I am buying now.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #235
Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:

Love reading ALL your threads. Better factor in Denver's no Huddle. Once Peyton's Offense takes charge,  Hawks young QB won't have ANY chance of keeping up.....

How many times did you ride Broncos on your outstanding  Hilton contest performance anyway?  Why would this game be any different Unless there is very bad or extremely cold weather, you BETTER remember who fattened your bankroll the most? Wilson or PEYTON? just sayin...... Good luck, better start studying like the winning QB is doing this week

I was avoiding this - but since you asked twice:

Broncos -7 SD (28-20 W)
Broncos -4.5 KC (35-28 W)
Giants +4.5 Broncos (23-41 L)

Colts +3 Seattle (34-28 W)
Seattle +2.5 SF (17-19 W)

Those are the games I either bet on or against the broncos or seahawks.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #236
Since you are anticipating the line moving across 0, do you have any intentions to lock in Sea ML +120 now and try to get Den at +110 or better later on? 
 
Legend
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Posted: #237

Quote Originally Posted by dimndimn:

Since you are anticipating the line moving across 0, do you have any intentions to lock in Sea ML +120 now and try to get Den at +110 or better later on? 

Im not really "anticipating" it.  And I certainly wouldn't bet on it.

If I had to guess - my guess is that now is a safe time to buy Seattle.  Its like stocks - you cant always buy at the lowest and sell at the highest - I just have a feeling that the high is now.  I could be very wrong.  And I am not willing to buy extra with the intention of selling unless I get a price that is just ridiculous.

 

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #238
Well crap loved Denver, but I hate fading you.  No Play for me let me know if you change your mind or lesson the units. ha
 
Captain
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Posted: #239
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Im not really "anticipating" it.  And I certainly wouldn't bet on it.

If I had to guess - my guess is that now is a safe time to buy Seattle.  Its like stocks - you cant always buy at the lowest and sell at the highest - I just have a feeling that the high is now.  I could be very wrong.  And I am not willing to buy extra with the intention of selling unless I get a price that is just ridiculous.


Thanks.  Good luck. 

 
Legend
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Posted: #240

Curious why you didnt wait to get +3 or just take the ML. +2 is a pretty dead number (even though it technically holds "value" since hawks opened at -1). Its at 2.5 almost everywhere now (I see +2.5 -108 at BOL). Would you take +3 -125 or would you be content with +2 -105?

I will be on Seattle as well in multiple ways. I think alternative lines will be valuable for Seattle (esp now they are dogs), because most people dont think Denver can be blow out. I for one, think it is entirely possible and more probable than people think.

Whos you early darkhorse to win the WC?

 

Van

 
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Posted: #241
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Curious why you didnt wait to get +3 or just take the ML. +2 is a pretty dead number (even though it technically holds "value" since hawks opened at -1). Its at 2.5 almost everywhere now (I see +2.5 -108 at BOL). Would you take +3 -125 or would you be content with +2 -105?

I will be on Seattle as well in multiple ways. I think alternative lines will be valuable for Seattle (esp now they are dogs), because most people dont think Denver can be blow out. I for one, think it is entirely possible and more probable than people think.

Whos you early darkhorse to win the WC?

 

Van

 

doesn't make sense train.  I have mad respect for vanack but I think he should have waited for a better line.  How would you know now if the line is staying put?  You and I don't make that decision.

 
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Posted: #242
lets face it van ...you seattle guys think payton will be on his back half the game and while my analysis might be weak those guys imo protecting him will keep him upright enough to pass seattle to death with all those good hands people he has    and you can throw your big advantage of the 12th man out the window
 
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Posted: #243
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Curious why you didnt wait to get +3 or just take the ML. +2 is a pretty dead number (even though it technically holds "value" since hawks opened at -1). Its at 2.5 almost everywhere now (I see +2.5 -108 at BOL). Would you take +3 -125 or would you be content with +2 -105?

I will be on Seattle as well in multiple ways. I think alternative lines will be valuable for Seattle (esp now they are dogs), because most people dont think Denver can be blow out. I for one, think it is entirely possible and more probable than people think.

Whos you early darkhorse to win the WC?

 

Van


I had Colombia 60/1 but that just went down the sh*tter along with Falcao's knee. Uruguay 33/1 is probably my next best bet
 
Captain
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Posted: #244
Quote Originally Posted by BIG-SHOT-BOB:


I had Colombia 60/1 but that just went down the sh*tter along with Falcao's knee. Uruguay 33/1 is probably my next best bet

WORLD CUP talk 2014, gotta Love it.................

BIG SHOT BOB....great name and avatar....what a winner dude he  was
 
Captain
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Posted: #245
I agree with your play... it's just tough to wrap my head around the fact that Manning is going to fall short again. 
 
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Posted: #246
Van, given the opportunity, which would you play (I have these options)

Sea +3.5 +110
Den -3.5 +150

Sea +3.5 +110
Den -3 +130

Sea +3.5 +110
Den -2 -110

I can buy Seattle a half pt up for 10 cents up to 5.5. So 5.5 -130. Not sure I see the value there as after 4 or 4.5, 5 doesnt offer a ton of value, so I can do this

Sea +4.5 -110
Den -3 +130

wondering what I should do here...
 
Legend
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Posted: #247

I let this thread settle for a few days to observe the line movement....

Down to +2 -109 / +101 at pinnacle.

I still stand by the idea that when I bought Seattle at +2, it was the best it was going to get....

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #248
i took NFC even to win the SB a while back.  i'm an fool if denver wins by 1 or two but i'd like seattle up to -3.  i am surprised denver is favored.  we'll see.


 
Legend
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Posted: #249
GL Vanzack

Seahawks
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #250
Sorry for this newb rookie ? but uhm IF and only IF Floyd Mayweather actually did drop 10M on Broncos shouldn't the ML change a good bit? I can understand the point spread not moving.

I'm new to following all this and I hate feeling confused

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