Super Bowl - Eagles / Chiefs

Regular Season Final Record:  +49.0 units
Playoff Record:  +5.5 units

Chiefs +1.5 (2 units)

Not going to write a big writeup for a game I see as very close and just a small play (relative to playoff units).  I have the Chiefs as a -2.75 favorite, and a 56.5% chance to cover +1.5.

Most likely a close game.  Chiefs 24-20.

Great season - it was a blast - hope you all had a good one also.

Good Luck Van

Im rocking the other side

Agree van!  Congrats on a profitable year!  

-104?

@vanzack

 Hey Van, I’m glad to see you’re on the Chiefs. I got them @ +2-115.

Good luck my man and thanks for all you do, you are definitely one of the best handicapper on covers that’s for sure. 

I was just telling my wife the other day that I was hoping you were on the Kansas City Chiefs…

Good luck Van.  

Good luck  glad to be on the same side. Not sure how da heck Phi is fav on this game..Last team to have the ball win superbowl close game like you mention.

The numbers I came up with are similar.  I put KC winning outright at 52%, but with a fairly large standard deviation.  I grabbed KC ML +112 last week for 1 unit and that's gonna be it for me.  I just can't find any value in the totals or props.

GL Van and congrats - you've had one hell of a good season.

Great season, Mazal Tov 

Wow you must have a very interesting relationship if your wife allows you to gamble on sports. You either have a great job or alotta money hehe he. Or you and your wife both gamble lol

Thank you vanzack for a great season dude. I will wise up and follow closer next year. I left a lot of money on the table this year

This proves to me that big games are just what you don't bet and waste money on. Every good capper I've read now said 1 to 2 units max. Of course I was hoping there was a clear and concise winner. But of course Don Juan has Eagles and Vanzack has Chiefs. Great fml lol

@vanzack

Ill almost definitely be on the Chiefs as well, gonna wait it out a bit longer to see if anything gets weird. Coach,  qb, big game experience advantage with + points,  hard not to love it. 

Hell of a season, congrats 

Pretty simple explanation....

The options are +1.5 at -104 or ML at +105

-104 is implied 51%
+105 is implied 48.75%

So it simply comes down to....  Will the amount of times Philly wins by exactly 1 be greater or less than 2.25%?

Thats it.  Nothing more.  If you have a position to debate that Philly winning by exactly 1 is less than 2.25%, lets hear it. 

Always great when the wife is onboard.  Mine is the primary reason I have been able to do this.  She is more than supportive - it is incredible.

Thanks all on the kind words. 

Heading in to a bit of a break coming up - I look forward to it every year.

lol wanna bet he probably can’t even read what he types. 

BOL  respectively @vanzack

May the best team covers & prevails

You have had a great year. Much respect to you and all the info you share with the forum

I am on this too. BOL! 

I have to agree with the predicted score, leaning the under myself. 

Awesome year Van, good luck this Sunday.