Good Lord...I'm on all of em. Haven't locked em in yet but these were just about my favorite ones.
Cowboys ML I'm 99% sure I will be on.
From other threads this off-season you know how I feel about the Titans. I like the Vikings this year, but as you said, it's a bad spot.
I loved the Bears+4.5 for a while, I mean months ago. Jay Cutler is on everyone's last nerve here in Chicago. We keep pulling for the guy, but fact of the matter is he holds on to the ball to long and is a one man drive killer. I may still take em plus the points, but the UNDER is calling me loud and clear.
Best of luck this upcoming season buddy
Sounds good, Sac. BOL to you as well.
I think Jay Cutler gets more criticized then he should. The contract may not reflect his performances but he is an average starter and the critics are very fast on him. Basically because of that contract.
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Good Lord...I'm on all of em. Haven't locked em in yet but these were just about my favorite ones.
Cowboys ML I'm 99% sure I will be on.
From other threads this off-season you know how I feel about the Titans. I like the Vikings this year, but as you said, it's a bad spot.
I loved the Bears+4.5 for a while, I mean months ago. Jay Cutler is on everyone's last nerve here in Chicago. We keep pulling for the guy, but fact of the matter is he holds on to the ball to long and is a one man drive killer. I may still take em plus the points, but the UNDER is calling me loud and clear.
Best of luck this upcoming season buddy
Sounds good, Sac. BOL to you as well.
I think Jay Cutler gets more criticized then he should. The contract may not reflect his performances but he is an average starter and the critics are very fast on him. Basically because of that contract.
I could not possibly put money on a team (Chicago, NYG) who have had this god-awful of a preseason.
The games don't count, but they matter. Watch the first half, and you're watching NFL football.
The Giants have scored 0 points this Preseason with Eli Manning under center due to a God-Awful O Line and a lack of playmakers, despite hype surrounding Sheppard (who has done zilch).
Same goes for the Bears. I would not feel good about backing a team who cannot move the ball. The Texans are quickly becoming one of my favorite plays of the week, -4.5 but I think this line should easily be -6.
Again, I could be wrong, but we should definitely discuss more to get to the bottom of it.
I don't care about preseason. Last year the Rams went 0-4 and beat the Hawks straight up in week one. The Lions went 4-0 before their 0-16 season.
I only watch the first halfs but then again, it's preseason. Coaches don't play to win. You see the Jets playing simple base defense and Todd Bowles even admitted that. I look at certain player matchups that don't have anything to do with play-calling or the gameplan.
What you just said about the Giants is what we knew before, they maybe have the worst OL in Football. So that doesn't surprise me at all. On a 3rd and medium play against the Bills, Eli threw the ball deep downfield instead of securing the drive - that tells me everything I need to know about preseason. Last year they had the exact same offensive line problems and lack of playmakers, but their offense scored the 9th-most points per game.
The Bears look awful, but it's preseason. They are a well-coached team. Fox's last two teams improved from 16-18 in their first year to 27-10 in their second.
Porcelain, you are one of the most knowledgable guys I know, but please don't fall for the trap of preseason Football.
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Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:
I could not possibly put money on a team (Chicago, NYG) who have had this god-awful of a preseason.
The games don't count, but they matter. Watch the first half, and you're watching NFL football.
The Giants have scored 0 points this Preseason with Eli Manning under center due to a God-Awful O Line and a lack of playmakers, despite hype surrounding Sheppard (who has done zilch).
Same goes for the Bears. I would not feel good about backing a team who cannot move the ball. The Texans are quickly becoming one of my favorite plays of the week, -4.5 but I think this line should easily be -6.
Again, I could be wrong, but we should definitely discuss more to get to the bottom of it.
I don't care about preseason. Last year the Rams went 0-4 and beat the Hawks straight up in week one. The Lions went 4-0 before their 0-16 season.
I only watch the first halfs but then again, it's preseason. Coaches don't play to win. You see the Jets playing simple base defense and Todd Bowles even admitted that. I look at certain player matchups that don't have anything to do with play-calling or the gameplan.
What you just said about the Giants is what we knew before, they maybe have the worst OL in Football. So that doesn't surprise me at all. On a 3rd and medium play against the Bills, Eli threw the ball deep downfield instead of securing the drive - that tells me everything I need to know about preseason. Last year they had the exact same offensive line problems and lack of playmakers, but their offense scored the 9th-most points per game.
The Bears look awful, but it's preseason. They are a well-coached team. Fox's last two teams improved from 16-18 in their first year to 27-10 in their second.
Porcelain, you are one of the most knowledgable guys I know, but please don't fall for the trap of preseason Football.
I love Tony Romo as a QB and I feel sorry for him and for Football, but it's time to acclimate with Dak Prescott under center. Dak played good in the preseason. He had a few bad throws but also a lot of good ones. He has got a rocket arm, shows a good pocket awareness and his ball placement was precise on most of his throws. This Cowboys offense is for real. They got the best offensive line with four of the five guys playing together the 3rd consecutive season and four of five guys being former first-round talents. Ezekiel Elliot is the real deal and gives Dallas a whole new element - a passing threat. Behind that offensive line, Elliott runs like a knife through soft butter. With Romo healthy, this was hands down the best offense in the league. They can attack you in any area on the field. The first string Seattle defense just couldn't stop this offensive line during the first half of preseason week three. So how much of a downgrade is Prescott from Romo? He adds a running/scrambling threat but his football IQ and ability of reading coverages is far away from Romos'.
The Giants were much hyped during the offseason because of their big money signings on defense. But I am not sold at all. They didn't adress the real issue: coverage. They Giants got torched over the middle in 2015. The defensive line looks great on paper, but their LB corps is trash and their secondary is average. Their LBs can't cover, this is a crazy mismatch againt Jason Witten and Zeke Elliott. Janoris Jenkins is overrated and there was a reason the Rams didn't re-sign him. Jenkins got beaten handily in man coverage vs. the Bills in the preseason, just for instance. Leon Hall will either start at FS or NB. If he starts at NB, you got Landon Collins (2nd year) and rookie Darian Thompson building the safety tandem, the most inexperienced one in the league. All in all, I don't see any chance this back seven is going to stop the Cowboys' passing attack. And even the defensive line won't be able to stop the Cowboys' run game without good help from behind. Vernon has to work against All-Pro LT Tyron Smith and JPP might get some wins vs. Doug Free, but that won't be enough as they can't create disruptive pass-rushing pressure from the interior. The Cowboys offense vs. the Giants defense is a mismatch, even with Dak Prescott.
With Victor Cruz back and Sterling Shepard, this offense looks to be upgraded. But can they outscore the Cowboys in week one? I higly doubt that. Ben McAdoo installed the west coast offense off which Eli Manning benefited greatly. But their offensive line is completely garbage. Every defense can get some pressure on this line, Eli has to release the ball really quickly. When playing an offense that has matchup problems against the Giants defense, this offense can hang on. But staying in wire-to-wire against if the Cowboys can score is maybe too much to ask for in week one. The Cowboys defense isn't too shabby, atleast that's what they look like in preseason. Morris Claiborne had the first healthy offseason, Orlando Scandrick comes back and Byron Jones has himself established as a good coverage guy in this secondary.
This line was moving down to -3 and now re-opened at pk. But a lot of books haven't already re-opened the line. Is the difference between Prescott & Romo worth 3.25 points or more? Before you would have paid some juice on -3 which meant the Cowboys had to win by more than a FG. Now with a healthy Dak Prescott they just have to win the game. Probably the public likes the matchup of Eli Manning vs. a rookie QB and pushes the line for Dallas towards plus money. Don't know if I will end up touching the game but Cowboys at plus money would look tasty.
LEAN: Cowboys ML at plus money
Appreciate the 'early-leans' however, they are more informative, than anything else; way, way too early to make a call (that's why they call them leans) Tony Romo's back injury may be a Cowboys "blessing in disquise" Dak Prescott, as all rookie QB's entering the NFL (now as a starter) will show his wears..keep in consideration; "the Dallas OL" to those taking the Cowboys on week #1 VS. NYG that's simply what it boils down to, and the +3pts Dallas receives for home turf advantage...good stuff, nice to see you back, and refreshed...talk with you in 3 weeks..take care
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Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
I love Tony Romo as a QB and I feel sorry for him and for Football, but it's time to acclimate with Dak Prescott under center. Dak played good in the preseason. He had a few bad throws but also a lot of good ones. He has got a rocket arm, shows a good pocket awareness and his ball placement was precise on most of his throws. This Cowboys offense is for real. They got the best offensive line with four of the five guys playing together the 3rd consecutive season and four of five guys being former first-round talents. Ezekiel Elliot is the real deal and gives Dallas a whole new element - a passing threat. Behind that offensive line, Elliott runs like a knife through soft butter. With Romo healthy, this was hands down the best offense in the league. They can attack you in any area on the field. The first string Seattle defense just couldn't stop this offensive line during the first half of preseason week three. So how much of a downgrade is Prescott from Romo? He adds a running/scrambling threat but his football IQ and ability of reading coverages is far away from Romos'.
The Giants were much hyped during the offseason because of their big money signings on defense. But I am not sold at all. They didn't adress the real issue: coverage. They Giants got torched over the middle in 2015. The defensive line looks great on paper, but their LB corps is trash and their secondary is average. Their LBs can't cover, this is a crazy mismatch againt Jason Witten and Zeke Elliott. Janoris Jenkins is overrated and there was a reason the Rams didn't re-sign him. Jenkins got beaten handily in man coverage vs. the Bills in the preseason, just for instance. Leon Hall will either start at FS or NB. If he starts at NB, you got Landon Collins (2nd year) and rookie Darian Thompson building the safety tandem, the most inexperienced one in the league. All in all, I don't see any chance this back seven is going to stop the Cowboys' passing attack. And even the defensive line won't be able to stop the Cowboys' run game without good help from behind. Vernon has to work against All-Pro LT Tyron Smith and JPP might get some wins vs. Doug Free, but that won't be enough as they can't create disruptive pass-rushing pressure from the interior. The Cowboys offense vs. the Giants defense is a mismatch, even with Dak Prescott.
With Victor Cruz back and Sterling Shepard, this offense looks to be upgraded. But can they outscore the Cowboys in week one? I higly doubt that. Ben McAdoo installed the west coast offense off which Eli Manning benefited greatly. But their offensive line is completely garbage. Every defense can get some pressure on this line, Eli has to release the ball really quickly. When playing an offense that has matchup problems against the Giants defense, this offense can hang on. But staying in wire-to-wire against if the Cowboys can score is maybe too much to ask for in week one. The Cowboys defense isn't too shabby, atleast that's what they look like in preseason. Morris Claiborne had the first healthy offseason, Orlando Scandrick comes back and Byron Jones has himself established as a good coverage guy in this secondary.
This line was moving down to -3 and now re-opened at pk. But a lot of books haven't already re-opened the line. Is the difference between Prescott & Romo worth 3.25 points or more? Before you would have paid some juice on -3 which meant the Cowboys had to win by more than a FG. Now with a healthy Dak Prescott they just have to win the game. Probably the public likes the matchup of Eli Manning vs. a rookie QB and pushes the line for Dallas towards plus money. Don't know if I will end up touching the game but Cowboys at plus money would look tasty.
LEAN: Cowboys ML at plus money
Appreciate the 'early-leans' however, they are more informative, than anything else; way, way too early to make a call (that's why they call them leans) Tony Romo's back injury may be a Cowboys "blessing in disquise" Dak Prescott, as all rookie QB's entering the NFL (now as a starter) will show his wears..keep in consideration; "the Dallas OL" to those taking the Cowboys on week #1 VS. NYG that's simply what it boils down to, and the +3pts Dallas receives for home turf advantage...good stuff, nice to see you back, and refreshed...talk with you in 3 weeks..take care
watch it, study it, get a roster read, look at player movement, just do not bet on it, save your BR for wk #1....when it's real. keep a clear head, coaches are only concerned about how you play, and who gets 'cut' "winning a pre-season game has about as much value as betting on spring training games in baseball" their is no winning edge in the NFL pre-season..KEEP YOUR WAGERS on the recreation side of the fence...to each his own
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pre-season football?
watch it, study it, get a roster read, look at player movement, just do not bet on it, save your BR for wk #1....when it's real. keep a clear head, coaches are only concerned about how you play, and who gets 'cut' "winning a pre-season game has about as much value as betting on spring training games in baseball" their is no winning edge in the NFL pre-season..KEEP YOUR WAGERS on the recreation side of the fence...to each his own
Nice summaries, suuma, but still Tons for Dak and the Cowboys to prove when the bullets are live in week #1. espn is practically Dallas's home network, even though that team has been the ultimate much ado about nothing for over 20 yrs now. I think the trend continues this season, and begins with an opening day loss to the G-men.
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Nice summaries, suuma, but still Tons for Dak and the Cowboys to prove when the bullets are live in week #1. espn is practically Dallas's home network, even though that team has been the ultimate much ado about nothing for over 20 yrs now. I think the trend continues this season, and begins with an opening day loss to the G-men.
Good stuff,Suuma.........I like the NY/Dallas angle but would consider the over there vs. the Dallas ML. While everyone was raving about Elliott after the Seattle game, they didn't notice that Christine Michael out-gained him 7/58 vs 7/48, & the Seahawks put up 148 yards rushing (5.48 ypc) on the Cowboys with a still-being-rebuilt OL. I'm not going to say that the NYG's offense is as good as Seattle's but they could, & probably will, put up some points on Dallas. Another angle vs. Dallas is that there is some film on Prescott now, with more to come, & you don't how much of the Dallas playbook they're going to use early in this kids career.
I agree on the Michael/Elliott comparison. But the Seahawks are a good running team in general as their 4th-best run DVOA despite a bad offensive line proved last season. I think it has a lot to do with coaching.
The Giants on the other side don't have a good offensive line, don't have a good RB and didn't make anything out of it in 2015. They just couldn't run the ball efficiently and I don't see a reason why they should do in week one.
The Cowboys defense posted mediocre numbers in 2015, but they played a tough schedule. They faced offenses #1 in scoring, #2 in NYPPA, #5 in pass DVOA and the #2 OL in adj. sack rate. I think we shouldn't sleep on them.
Also, the Cowboys are a well-coached team. Despite playing without the No. 1 QB and No. 1 WR, they managed to keep a lot of games close. Jason Garrett has a winning record with the Cowboys despite last year's 4-12 debacle.
Ben McAdoo has his first start as a HC on the road. Maybe someone got a record for rookie HCs in their first game on the road.
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Quote Originally Posted by THEMUGG:
Good stuff,Suuma.........I like the NY/Dallas angle but would consider the over there vs. the Dallas ML. While everyone was raving about Elliott after the Seattle game, they didn't notice that Christine Michael out-gained him 7/58 vs 7/48, & the Seahawks put up 148 yards rushing (5.48 ypc) on the Cowboys with a still-being-rebuilt OL. I'm not going to say that the NYG's offense is as good as Seattle's but they could, & probably will, put up some points on Dallas. Another angle vs. Dallas is that there is some film on Prescott now, with more to come, & you don't how much of the Dallas playbook they're going to use early in this kids career.
I agree on the Michael/Elliott comparison. But the Seahawks are a good running team in general as their 4th-best run DVOA despite a bad offensive line proved last season. I think it has a lot to do with coaching.
The Giants on the other side don't have a good offensive line, don't have a good RB and didn't make anything out of it in 2015. They just couldn't run the ball efficiently and I don't see a reason why they should do in week one.
The Cowboys defense posted mediocre numbers in 2015, but they played a tough schedule. They faced offenses #1 in scoring, #2 in NYPPA, #5 in pass DVOA and the #2 OL in adj. sack rate. I think we shouldn't sleep on them.
Also, the Cowboys are a well-coached team. Despite playing without the No. 1 QB and No. 1 WR, they managed to keep a lot of games close. Jason Garrett has a winning record with the Cowboys despite last year's 4-12 debacle.
Ben McAdoo has his first start as a HC on the road. Maybe someone got a record for rookie HCs in their first game on the road.
Appreciate the 'early-leans' however, they are more informative, than anything else; way, way too early to make a call (that's why they call them leans) Tony Romo's back injury may be a Cowboys "blessing in disquise" Dak Prescott, as all rookie QB's entering the NFL (now as a starter) will show his wears..keep in consideration; "the Dallas OL" to those taking the Cowboys on week #1 VS. NYG that's simply what it boils down to, and the +3pts Dallas receives for home turf advantage...good stuff, nice to see you back, and refreshed...talk with you in 3 weeks..take care
Good luck this year
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
Appreciate the 'early-leans' however, they are more informative, than anything else; way, way too early to make a call (that's why they call them leans) Tony Romo's back injury may be a Cowboys "blessing in disquise" Dak Prescott, as all rookie QB's entering the NFL (now as a starter) will show his wears..keep in consideration; "the Dallas OL" to those taking the Cowboys on week #1 VS. NYG that's simply what it boils down to, and the +3pts Dallas receives for home turf advantage...good stuff, nice to see you back, and refreshed...talk with you in 3 weeks..take care
I agree in a way, Suuma. Thanks for your praise, we'll see how the regular season goes, I'm really putting in hours and hours of research trying to get ready for week 1. When it comes to scheme, after watching game after game, including going back to last year, there may not be game schemes going on, but there are blitzes and in general 75% installed Offense/Defense. Mostly though, I'm talking about 1 on 1 match ups, watching who is winning and who is losing ESPECIALLY in the trenches. New York in particular doesn't look capable. The right side o their line is a turnstile. Erick Flowers is overmatched with both speed and bull rushes. That doesn't bode well for the Regular Season.
However, things also don't look good for the Bears. Their secondary have not looked good, and their O Line was always going to be garbage. What I hate the most is that Gase is having success in Miami and his successor in Chicago is not. I feel like Week One is about choosing Coaches. Do you believe in Bill OBrien or this new jamook in Chitown?
Personally, I have not been impressed by his Offense. He doesn't seem to give his guys much to work with.
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I agree in a way, Suuma. Thanks for your praise, we'll see how the regular season goes, I'm really putting in hours and hours of research trying to get ready for week 1. When it comes to scheme, after watching game after game, including going back to last year, there may not be game schemes going on, but there are blitzes and in general 75% installed Offense/Defense. Mostly though, I'm talking about 1 on 1 match ups, watching who is winning and who is losing ESPECIALLY in the trenches. New York in particular doesn't look capable. The right side o their line is a turnstile. Erick Flowers is overmatched with both speed and bull rushes. That doesn't bode well for the Regular Season.
However, things also don't look good for the Bears. Their secondary have not looked good, and their O Line was always going to be garbage. What I hate the most is that Gase is having success in Miami and his successor in Chicago is not. I feel like Week One is about choosing Coaches. Do you believe in Bill OBrien or this new jamook in Chitown?
Personally, I have not been impressed by his Offense. He doesn't seem to give his guys much to work with.
Summa nice read. You look younger everytime I see you.
Randy Bullock will kick week 1 with Brown being suspended. He's money inside of 40 last year 13/13 and falls apart past that. 40 -49 12/17 and 20% @ 50+
If the game is close this might be the edge needed.
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Summa nice read. You look younger everytime I see you.
Randy Bullock will kick week 1 with Brown being suspended. He's money inside of 40 last year 13/13 and falls apart past that. 40 -49 12/17 and 20% @ 50+
If the game is close this might be the edge needed.
I agree in a way, Suuma. Thanks for your praise, we'll see how the regular season goes, I'm really putting in hours and hours of research trying to get ready for week 1. When it comes to scheme, after watching game after game, including going back to last year, there may not be game schemes going on, but there are blitzes and in general 75% installed Offense/Defense. Mostly though, I'm talking about 1 on 1 match ups, watching who is winning and who is losing ESPECIALLY in the trenches. New York in particular doesn't look capable. The right side o their line is a turnstile. Erick Flowers is overmatched with both speed and bull rushes. That doesn't bode well for the Regular Season.
However, things also don't look good for the Bears. Their secondary have not looked good, and their O Line was always going to be garbage. What I hate the most is that Gase is having success in Miami and his successor in Chicago is not. I feel like Week One is about choosing Coaches. Do you believe in Bill OBrien or this new jamook in Chitown?
Personally, I have not been impressed by his Offense. He doesn't seem to give his guys much to work with.
Matt Slausen leaving hurt. Grasu hurting his knee was a dagger. Remember though that Kyle Long has not played the last 2 pre season games. Things will get much better when he's back. The guy is a 3 time pro bowler.
Word in town is that Bears O coordinator Dowell Logains hasn't showed a lick of the playbook yet...take that with a grain of salt. Who's to know. I personally think Cutler is slow in his read progressions. Keep in mind that Eddie Royal and Zach Miller have not played yet. They will be ready week 1.
The Bears have been the lowest scoring offense this pre season.
When it comes to the week 1 matchup, I know that the Texans left pre season game 3 on a high note, and the Bears left on a low note. The public and every "logical" thinking person will be on the Texans. The value will be on the Bears. Up to 5.5 now, dead #. Let's wait for 6.
Need to get those degenerate tummy juices flowing
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Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:
I agree in a way, Suuma. Thanks for your praise, we'll see how the regular season goes, I'm really putting in hours and hours of research trying to get ready for week 1. When it comes to scheme, after watching game after game, including going back to last year, there may not be game schemes going on, but there are blitzes and in general 75% installed Offense/Defense. Mostly though, I'm talking about 1 on 1 match ups, watching who is winning and who is losing ESPECIALLY in the trenches. New York in particular doesn't look capable. The right side o their line is a turnstile. Erick Flowers is overmatched with both speed and bull rushes. That doesn't bode well for the Regular Season.
However, things also don't look good for the Bears. Their secondary have not looked good, and their O Line was always going to be garbage. What I hate the most is that Gase is having success in Miami and his successor in Chicago is not. I feel like Week One is about choosing Coaches. Do you believe in Bill OBrien or this new jamook in Chitown?
Personally, I have not been impressed by his Offense. He doesn't seem to give his guys much to work with.
Matt Slausen leaving hurt. Grasu hurting his knee was a dagger. Remember though that Kyle Long has not played the last 2 pre season games. Things will get much better when he's back. The guy is a 3 time pro bowler.
Word in town is that Bears O coordinator Dowell Logains hasn't showed a lick of the playbook yet...take that with a grain of salt. Who's to know. I personally think Cutler is slow in his read progressions. Keep in mind that Eddie Royal and Zach Miller have not played yet. They will be ready week 1.
The Bears have been the lowest scoring offense this pre season.
When it comes to the week 1 matchup, I know that the Texans left pre season game 3 on a high note, and the Bears left on a low note. The public and every "logical" thinking person will be on the Texans. The value will be on the Bears. Up to 5.5 now, dead #. Let's wait for 6.
Dude, I'm actually physically nervous for Week One. I bet I get sweaty palms like a middleschooler. First SuperContest. I want that mill. Pretty disappointing about Teddy, but the Titans have to be a mortal lock at a PK now without Teddy.
I was strong on vikes before the injury, the line movement only solidifies it. Don't get sucked in on what seems like free money
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Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:
Dude, I'm actually physically nervous for Week One. I bet I get sweaty palms like a middleschooler. First SuperContest. I want that mill. Pretty disappointing about Teddy, but the Titans have to be a mortal lock at a PK now without Teddy.
I was strong on vikes before the injury, the line movement only solidifies it. Don't get sucked in on what seems like free money
SUUMA, I appreciate your thoughtful reports and look forward to getting your perspective on the games this season. You certainly put in the time, and give interesting info that is often overlooked by the media. Having said that, I will often differ on your picks, as before, as I am relying more on long established statistical trends that I have been able to verify in over 30 years of NFL games. I have found in my modeling that while colorful angles are fantastic and part of the entertainment value of games, the solid logic they are built on does not translate to ATS success as compared with verifiable statistical rules built on methods that while accurate often prove to be counterintuitive. So while I love your angles, and you often bring out aspects of the games we all overlook, I am far more convinced that my approach with less investment on the "reporters angle" and more on complex prediction devoid of emotion in thought is the better way to go. This method is in its infancy of being proven successful, and I have to go back to previous threads, but I'm pretty sure I was batting around 60% success ATS once I started going public with it over a good number of weeks. Anyway, just sharing my strong belief, and this takes,nothing away from your incredibly colorful reports. You need to be on ESPN soon! I will stick to my passion for the most accurate prediction possible regardless of what reason would suggest. In numbers I trust! But keep up your great reports and I will keep sharing what my numbers indicate.
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SUUMA, I appreciate your thoughtful reports and look forward to getting your perspective on the games this season. You certainly put in the time, and give interesting info that is often overlooked by the media. Having said that, I will often differ on your picks, as before, as I am relying more on long established statistical trends that I have been able to verify in over 30 years of NFL games. I have found in my modeling that while colorful angles are fantastic and part of the entertainment value of games, the solid logic they are built on does not translate to ATS success as compared with verifiable statistical rules built on methods that while accurate often prove to be counterintuitive. So while I love your angles, and you often bring out aspects of the games we all overlook, I am far more convinced that my approach with less investment on the "reporters angle" and more on complex prediction devoid of emotion in thought is the better way to go. This method is in its infancy of being proven successful, and I have to go back to previous threads, but I'm pretty sure I was batting around 60% success ATS once I started going public with it over a good number of weeks. Anyway, just sharing my strong belief, and this takes,nothing away from your incredibly colorful reports. You need to be on ESPN soon! I will stick to my passion for the most accurate prediction possible regardless of what reason would suggest. In numbers I trust! But keep up your great reports and I will keep sharing what my numbers indicate.
Where a quarterback makes his money is on the road....a rookie qb can win at home, especially behind a good o-line and even more so if he is a rushing threat himself.
Should be an interesting season.
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Where a quarterback makes his money is on the road....a rookie qb can win at home, especially behind a good o-line and even more so if he is a rushing threat himself.
@Sac & Porcelain: The Bears were also trying to get their new zone-blocking system into rhythm during pre-season. This is also a big reason of why their offense didn't look fluid.
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@Sac & Porcelain: The Bears were also trying to get their new zone-blocking system into rhythm during pre-season. This is also a big reason of why their offense didn't look fluid.
Summa nice read. You look younger everytime I see you.
Randy Bullock will kick week 1 with Brown being suspended. He's money inside of 40 last year 13/13 and falls apart past that. 40 -49 12/17 and 20% @ 50+
If the game is close this might be the edge needed.
Very good point, thank you!
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Quote Originally Posted by Goggles-Pisano:
Summa nice read. You look younger everytime I see you.
Randy Bullock will kick week 1 with Brown being suspended. He's money inside of 40 last year 13/13 and falls apart past that. 40 -49 12/17 and 20% @ 50+
If the game is close this might be the edge needed.
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