Gambling is a risky business. So far, I'm on the wrong side and I'm basically losing all my plays. Logic failed many many times and there's no way I can explain it. Today, on my 2 winners I had a time gap and my 8 loses, every guys were in the same pack, my write up made sense but ended up behind all wrong.
Stage 7 : Everyone knows Contador win will...but what if, if he feels tired, if he can't. Armstrong wants and deserves to wear the yellow jersey, can he do it ? Why not....Leipheimer will help him.
Sastre can climb ror sure, he shown his skills in the giro. Both Shleck wants to get closer to the top in the GC and Cancellera will be there to help them until he has given everything. O'grady and Voigt are 2 excellents team riders.
I'm all in tomorrow, logic has been thrown away, but all my picks make sense to me. There's an explanation behind any of them.
If you come and read this topic for the first time you might think I'm a big loser showing a devastating -40 units record, I would say, learn and appreciate cycling, it's easy to predict where a guy will finish but you can't know what he feels if he wants these extra 5 spots on the line to make your pick a winner.
The only why in my selection is because...if you want to know I can tell you.
1 unit A Shleck over Contador @ 3.00*
1 unit Sastre over Contador @ 3.97*
1 unit Sastre over Evans @ 2.58***
1 unit Armstrong over Kreuziger @ 2.08**
2 units Leipheimer over Kloden @ 1.794***
2 units F Shleck over Nibali @ 2.04***
1 unit Vandevelde over Gerdemann @ 1.763**
2 units Pereiro over LLS @ 2.40***
1 unit Anton over Moncoutie @ 2.46**
1 unit Efimkin over Nibali @ 3.01*
1 unit Armstrong over Evans @ 2.76*
2 units Sastre over Kreuziger @ 1.704***
2 units Pellizotti over Kirchen @ 1.385***
* It's a good guess
** I believe
***Strong play, can't see why they might lose.
Sastre is my man tomorrow, I can't see him outside top 3. Only Shleck's brother or Contador can beat him on the climb. Kreuziger is too young to be good, same for Gendermann. Evans is a choker and his Tour is probably over. Efimkin and Nibali are big question marks, you never know. Moucoutie was 11 minutes behind last year on the first HC finish, cheer for Anton. Armstrong is in France to win...well we'll see tomorrow. If the real Lance shows up, you'll get reward later on.
Enjoy the last hour of the race, the final climb will be amazing.
Do not fallow my picks, there's no guarante, if you fade me you're retard.
Play your own pick or learn from people who knows.
Good luck Bolar, I'm waiting to read your analysis.
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