The Patriots are not goin to run all over the Ravens with old taylor and Morris I just dont see that. I think it will be a close game with the lead changing a few times in the second half. Ravens go up in the fourth quarter and Brady throws a pick at the end.
Ravens 21-17
The Patriots are not goin to run all over the Ravens with old taylor and Morris I just dont see that. I think it will be a close game with the lead changing a few times in the second half. Ravens go up in the fourth quarter and Brady throws a pick at the end.
Ravens 21-17
PATS -3 BUYING 1/2 POINT!!
They're the better team period // This year // ATS // At Home // In The Playoffs............It's not who you and your heart want to win, but rather who you and your head think will win
PATS -3 BUYING 1/2 POINT!!
They're the better team period // This year // ATS // At Home // In The Playoffs............It's not who you and your heart want to win, but rather who you and your head think will win
New England - 26 Baltimore - 20
Patriots -4 over 43
Can't bring myself to bet against the "Golden Boy" at home no matter what the circumstances are. I see a Brady - Manning re-match coming up...
New England - 26 Baltimore - 20
Patriots -4 over 43
Can't bring myself to bet against the "Golden Boy" at home no matter what the circumstances are. I see a Brady - Manning re-match coming up...
The New England Patriots once again find themselves playing in January, and once again playing host. Despite winning 11 games last season with a backup quarterback, they missed the playoffs. As a result you can bet they are pumped to be here and will be looking to make the most of it. And unlike the last time they were here, they have something to prove in 2009. They aren't getting the respect they have gotten in years past, as shown by this line and the lack of media attention. By some accounts, they don't deserve it as they posted what looks to be a good, but not great, season. They went 10-6 and never seemed to be among the league's elite as the attention went to Indy, New Orleans, San Diego and Minnesota. But, let's l ook a bit deeper. New England's six losses this season came to some pretty good teams, or teams playing very well. They lost to Denver early on when the Broncos were playing very good football and in the midst of their 6-0 run. They lost to an Indianapolis team that could have gone 16-0 this season if they so chose. They lost to a 13-3 New Orleans team as well and posted a fairly meaningless loss to Houston at the end of the year. They didn't have any really embarrasing losses on the year, and most importantly, they really took care of business at home. More on that in a minute. Some will point to the loss of Wes Welker as a problem here. As good Welker he is, this offense is more systematic than player-dependent. Julian Edelman, in less than a full game last week, came in to grab 10 passes for 103 yards. He also performed very well when we filled in for Welker earlier in the season. He's a dropoff, but not enough to make a huge difference. If this game were in Baltimore, I might like the Ravens. But it's in Foxboro and that is very important. At home this season New England was an absolute juggernaut. They went 8-0, outscoring opponents 31 to 13 in the process, and the only AFC team to go undefeated at home. That's a margin of 18 points per game. The last time they lost at home with Tom Brady under center was 24 games ago, on November 12, 2006! Let's not forget who we are backing here. This team still has Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and Randy Moss playing at home. In years past, that would command a TD+ line but we lay only a field goal here against a team that was 3-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road this season! Baltimore was actually outscored by their opponents on the road in 2009. Why so much respect here? The Ravens are tough against the run, but are vulnerable to the type of air attack they will face here. The Ravens faced six top QBs this season in Phillip Rivers, Brett Favre, Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Big Ben. They lost five of the six games, including the last five straight. The Pats usually win the games they are supposed to. Over the past fifteen years, they are 23-5 ATS vs. teams at .500 to .600. They are also 22-10 ATS over that span at home vs. good defenses (those allowing 17 or fewer points per game). With "The Hoody" in charge, this team is 67-53 ATS as a favorite and 30-16 ATS when coming off a loss as they are here. I like the Pats to get it done and win and cover.
PATS COVER WITH EASE !!!!!!!!!
Now I know it's a lock. Thanks as always man.
The New England Patriots once again find themselves playing in January, and once again playing host. Despite winning 11 games last season with a backup quarterback, they missed the playoffs. As a result you can bet they are pumped to be here and will be looking to make the most of it. And unlike the last time they were here, they have something to prove in 2009. They aren't getting the respect they have gotten in years past, as shown by this line and the lack of media attention. By some accounts, they don't deserve it as they posted what looks to be a good, but not great, season. They went 10-6 and never seemed to be among the league's elite as the attention went to Indy, New Orleans, San Diego and Minnesota. But, let's l ook a bit deeper. New England's six losses this season came to some pretty good teams, or teams playing very well. They lost to Denver early on when the Broncos were playing very good football and in the midst of their 6-0 run. They lost to an Indianapolis team that could have gone 16-0 this season if they so chose. They lost to a 13-3 New Orleans team as well and posted a fairly meaningless loss to Houston at the end of the year. They didn't have any really embarrasing losses on the year, and most importantly, they really took care of business at home. More on that in a minute. Some will point to the loss of Wes Welker as a problem here. As good Welker he is, this offense is more systematic than player-dependent. Julian Edelman, in less than a full game last week, came in to grab 10 passes for 103 yards. He also performed very well when we filled in for Welker earlier in the season. He's a dropoff, but not enough to make a huge difference. If this game were in Baltimore, I might like the Ravens. But it's in Foxboro and that is very important. At home this season New England was an absolute juggernaut. They went 8-0, outscoring opponents 31 to 13 in the process, and the only AFC team to go undefeated at home. That's a margin of 18 points per game. The last time they lost at home with Tom Brady under center was 24 games ago, on November 12, 2006! Let's not forget who we are backing here. This team still has Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and Randy Moss playing at home. In years past, that would command a TD+ line but we lay only a field goal here against a team that was 3-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road this season! Baltimore was actually outscored by their opponents on the road in 2009. Why so much respect here? The Ravens are tough against the run, but are vulnerable to the type of air attack they will face here. The Ravens faced six top QBs this season in Phillip Rivers, Brett Favre, Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Big Ben. They lost five of the six games, including the last five straight. The Pats usually win the games they are supposed to. Over the past fifteen years, they are 23-5 ATS vs. teams at .500 to .600. They are also 22-10 ATS over that span at home vs. good defenses (those allowing 17 or fewer points per game). With "The Hoody" in charge, this team is 67-53 ATS as a favorite and 30-16 ATS when coming off a loss as they are here. I like the Pats to get it done and win and cover.
PATS COVER WITH EASE !!!!!!!!!
Now I know it's a lock. Thanks as always man.
New England - 26 Baltimore - 20
Patriots -4 over 43
Can't bring myself to bet against the "Golden Boy" at home no matter what the circumstances are. I see a Brady - Manning re-match coming up...
YES SIR COL
New England - 26 Baltimore - 20
Patriots -4 over 43
Can't bring myself to bet against the "Golden Boy" at home no matter what the circumstances are. I see a Brady - Manning re-match coming up...
YES SIR COL
Brady and CO likely pull it out...but cover is doubtful.
Ravens +10.5 and over in a tease. One loss in teases all week...had Alabama and under. Easy games prior and yesterday.
No tight playoff games yet... this will be tight and I'll take the Ravens +10.5. Another smaller play on Pats and over...will likely middle this.
Brady and CO likely pull it out...but cover is doubtful.
Ravens +10.5 and over in a tease. One loss in teases all week...had Alabama and under. Easy games prior and yesterday.
No tight playoff games yet... this will be tight and I'll take the Ravens +10.5. Another smaller play on Pats and over...will likely middle this.
Well, I'm back from holidays and ready for the NFL playoffs. Can't get any better than this ! Last year was extremely profitable so let's roll again this year. Let 2010 begin......
Cincinnati -2.5
Philadelphia +3.5
New England -175
Green Bay -1 ( very large wager !!! )
Good luck everyone
Sandman
So you're 0 - 2 as of today. Your Green Bay play is good but NE wins by less than 3.5 or barely covers and I don't like the stress of losing over a stupid ass extra point or missed FG. Best to tease either side IMO.
Well, I'm back from holidays and ready for the NFL playoffs. Can't get any better than this ! Last year was extremely profitable so let's roll again this year. Let 2010 begin......
Cincinnati -2.5
Philadelphia +3.5
New England -175
Green Bay -1 ( very large wager !!! )
Good luck everyone
Sandman
So you're 0 - 2 as of today. Your Green Bay play is good but NE wins by less than 3.5 or barely covers and I don't like the stress of losing over a stupid ass extra point or missed FG. Best to tease either side IMO.
Well, I'm back from holidays and ready for the NFL playoffs. Can't get any better than this ! Last year was extremely profitable so let's roll again this year. Let 2010 begin......
Cincinnati -2.5
Philadelphia +3.5
New England -175
Green Bay -1 ( very large wager !!! )
Good luck everyone
Sandman
Well, I'm back from holidays and ready for the NFL playoffs. Can't get any better than this ! Last year was extremely profitable so let's roll again this year. Let 2010 begin......
Cincinnati -2.5
Philadelphia +3.5
New England -175
Green Bay -1 ( very large wager !!! )
Good luck everyone
Sandman
Flacco doesnt turnover the ball and this game is all Ravens. You can bet that Bird "D" will T-off on Brady
Flacco doesnt turnover the ball and this game is all Ravens. You can bet that Bird "D" will T-off on Brady
For value purposes I am going with side and points Ravs and ML Ravs. This is the playoffs ladies and gents............Just have the feeling that Ravens are going to be pumped with D swarming Brady and recievers. The O/U?Thats a tough one but extreme cold favors defenses so If I were to choose......under 43
BOLA
For value purposes I am going with side and points Ravs and ML Ravs. This is the playoffs ladies and gents............Just have the feeling that Ravens are going to be pumped with D swarming Brady and recievers. The O/U?Thats a tough one but extreme cold favors defenses so If I were to choose......under 43
BOLA
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