alwayson22

The Carolina job has to be at least somewhat tempting, since the Panthers have the #1 pick in the draft.

Agreed ... I'm going Maryland and Over.

WV's defense hasn't given up more than 21 points all season.  Leaning towards WV in this one.

BOL!

Final Card ...

• OREGON -17  (3 Units)
• HAWAII -19   (3 Units)
• BYU -27  (2 Units)
• TEXAS -24  (2 Units)
• KANSAS STATE PK  (2 Units)
• TCU -19  (2 Units)
• STANFORD +10.5  (1 Unit)
• UTEP +7  (1 Unit)
• MARSHALL ML  (1 Unit)
• COLORADO +5.5  (1 Unit)
• OKLAHOMA ST. -4  (1 Unit)

BOL to everyone this week! 

I'm off to Vegas for the Pacquiao-Cotto fight!

Adding ...

STANFORD +10.5  (1 Unit)

Stanford is very balanced on offense.  Gerhart and Luck have them rolling right now.  Meanwhile, USC hasn't won a game by double digits in awhile, barely squeaking by a below-average Arizona St. team.  Barkley hasn't looked very good the last couple times out and he won't have his security blanket, Damian Williams available.  Stanford keeps it close, if not an outright winner.

UTEP +7  (1 Unit)

Somebody stop me.  I've lost twice in a row on UTEP, but I'm just seduced by their offense (500 yards last week, again).  In a game with two good offenses, I like getting the points here.  SMU struggled at home with Rice last week, and UTEP's balanced attack behind Vittatoe and Buckram should keep it close, if not an outright winner.

MARSHALL ML  (1 Unit)

Southern Miss is 0-4 on the road this year, while Marshall is 3-1 at home and has covered 4 straight overall.  Both teams are off byes after So. Miss's D got lit up by Houston and Marshall blew a 13 point lead at UCF.  The Thundering Herd beat Sothern Miss on the road last year and will ride Darius Marshall, and his 129 ypg on the ground, to victory here.

COLORADO +5.5  (1 Unit)

Colorado may have righted the ship with their come from behind win over Texas A&M last week.  QB Hansen was solid against the aggies and RB Stewart ran for over 100 yards.  Iowa St. looks a little shell-shocked at the moment.  They got crushed by Texas A&M on the road, then rolled by Oklahoma St. at home.  With the Cyclones offense in disarray, look for a win by the Buffs here.

OKLAHOMA ST. -4  (1 Unit)

The visitor has one 7 straight in this series as home field advantage seems to carry more weight with these two.  Oklahoma St.'s D has been excellent, holding its last 3 opponents under 300 yards (including Texas).  Texas Tech should have trouble containing QB Robinson, and the Cowboys' pass D will keep TT's QB (probably Potts) in check.

Yes, I am laying the wood this week on heavy favorites!!! 

Although, I will have some underdog plays coming up (1 unit plays).

Adding ...

BYU -27  (2 Units)

New Mexico is 0-4 SU and ATS at home this year.  BYU is 5-0 away from Provo and has covered 4 of those 5 games.  Off the bye last week, BYU put their foot down on Wyoming, 52-0.  QB Hall was 20-22 for 312 yards and 4 TD, and the D bounced back in a big way.  Look for the Cougars to drop 40+ and cruise here.

TEXAS -24  (2 Units)

Texas' defense continues to dominate, and the McCoy/Shipley connection is on point right now.  Texas just outgained UCF by almost 400 yards last week.  Baylor QB Florence had a big day versus Mizzou, but this Texas defense will not allow him any breathing room.  Look for Texas to drop 40+, which is more than enough to cover as their defense shuts down the Bears.

KANSAS STATE PK  (2 Units)

I'm continue to roll with the Wildcats, who are now 5-0 at home (4-0 ATS) and are a covering machine.  The D stepped up last week, holding Kansas to 10 points.  Thomas continues to run all over B12 teams (24 carries for 185 yards), as the Kansas St. rushing attack has outgained opponents by over 200 ypg on the ground at home this year!  Missouri has lost 4 of 5, allowing 35 ppg in those defeats.  Ride the hot team at home.

TCU -19  (2 Units)

At first, I thought the line was too high.  Looking deeper into this game, though, TCU is outscoring MWC opponents 40-8 this year and the D has allowed 2 TD's in the last 4 games.  A freshman QB on the road against a fierce Frogs D is a bad recipe for Utah.  The difference this year is the efficiency of the offense, led by QB Dalton and his 16-3 ratio.  Utah will have trouble scoring, and the balance of the Horned Frogs' attack will be too much.

Alright, last week was okay.  Went 6-5 (+1.1 Units) and hit my two big plays (Arizona and K-State/Alabama teaser) ...

Current YTD:  19-19  (-4.6 Units)

Let's get after it in Week 11! ...

OREGON -17  (3 Units)

Arizona St. has lost 3 straight games and are starting their freshman QB for the first time ... oh yeah, and it's at Autzen Stadium.  The Sun Devils offense is non-existent and Oregon continues to put huge yardage and point totals on the board.  The Ducks were in a tough spot last week against Stanford, but they bounce back in a big way.  The energy of Autzen and the Masoli/James duo overwhelm the Sun Devils.

HAWAII -19   (3 Units)

Hawaii looked dead after getting smoked by Boise.  However, they went toe-to-toe with Nevada on the road, then came home and waxed Utah St. (almost 700 yards of offense).  QB Moniz has the offense clicking, and the running game is picking up (480 yards last 2 weeks).  Meanwhile, New Mexico St. has lost 4 out of 5 with the average loss at 40-7.  Hawaii drops 40+ again and cruises here.

I, too, think USC is better than Iowa.  I was just making a point that you can't just say "freshman qb in the 'Shoe", because one freshman qb already went in there and won.

However, USC has only beaten one team by 30 points this year (San Jose St.), so I think I would take Iowa +30 in that matchup

Quote Originally Posted by GWarner27:

ahh morons who don't realize that Iowa is starting a freshman in the Horseshoe

Didn't USC go into the 'Shoe with a freshman QB?

I'll just be

It could be a low-scoring game and teams seem to have that one good "bounce" game when a star goes down.

GL!

Agreed.  I was all over Wisky the last two weeks (one winner v. Purdue and one ATS loss v. Indiana).  They should move the ball at will against Michigan's D.  Perhaps being back at home will be the key to the big win (like Purdue game).

I like the Western Michigan play     I think they gained some line value by getting smoked by Michigan St.  E. Mich. is just awful ... as is FAU.  Agree that it's time to fade them with Ark. St.

How do you see the BG-MIA(OH) game playing out?  MIA-OH has covered five of six and their last three home games.  Could be a high total as BG's run D is non-existent.

BOL! 

Final Card ...

ARIZONA -32.5   (3 Units)  

KSU +8.5 and ALABAMA -1.5 teaser   (3 Units)  

ECU +13   (2 Units)    

SMU -17.5   (2 Units)

PITT -21   (2 Units)  

WISCONSIN -11   (2 Units)  

USC -10   (2 Units)  

UTEP -7   (2 Units)  

FLORIDA ATLANTIC +6.5   (1 Unit)   

UCONN +16   (1 Unit)  

BYU -13   (1 Unit)  

NORTHWESTERN +16.5   (1 Unit) 

6-5 for the day (+1.1 Units) ... That was a lot of work to only get 1.1 units, but it beats going down.  I did hit both of my big plays, so that was good to see.  Hope you all hit it big this weekend, and see you next week!

McLovin' ... Sounds like a sexy hamburger 

2009-10 Warriors = Train wreck 

They can get hot and win a few games, but there's no way they crack 35 wins.