beaverfan23

beaverfan23
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Posts: 1545
Member Since: November 2010
Last Activity: 11 August 2021
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replied to *** 2021 HANDICAPPING THREAD ***
in MLB Betting

@mike7002

 Surely this is my fault. I started blind tailing about a week ago. Shooters keep shooting. It will turn around. 

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mike7002 771
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replied to 2014 Covers Golf Contest
in Pro Golf
CMJ, How do I get in?
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CMJohnson1 28
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replied to Fantasy Golf league...everyone invited
in Pro Golf
Is it too late to get in? Will I be in too much of a hole after missing one week?
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alangrrbs 17
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week VI
in College Basketball
System has been doing very well as of late.  Sorry I haven't posted plays...hopefully some of you are following on your own.

BOL to all
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beaverfan23 12
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week VI
in College Basketball
Utep +3
Miami OH +4
S Dakota +1.5
UMKC +9
N.AZ +1
S Car St +15.5
Loyola Marymount +4.5


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beaverfan23 12
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week VI
in College Basketball
And by "dog garbage" I mean...well im not sure what I meant to say there
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beaverfan23 12
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week VI
in College Basketball
As you can see the system has been dog garbage this season.  If it is not profitable this week, I will stop tracking it.

Official Monday Plays:

Detroit +10.5 (RDA)
UTEP +3.5 (HDT)
Ark LR +1.5 (HDT)
SUU -1 (HFN)

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beaverfan23 12
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week VI
in College Basketball
YTD Record

For the night: 3-3-2 (50%)

For the week: 3-4-2 (42.9%)

For the year: 44-47-3 (48.4%)


In depth stats:

Home Teams: 19-20-2 (48.7%)
Road Teams: 20-15 (57.1%)

Favorites: 15-24-1 (38.5%)
Dogs:     29-23-2 (55.8%)

Line moved toward KP:  27-28-2 (49%)
Line moved away KP:  16-16-1 (50%)

Full Game Record 43-51-1 (45.7%)
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beaverfan23 12
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created a topic Vegas vs Kenpom System Week VI
in College Basketball
The basis is simple.  If there is a "large" difference between the opening line and the fanmatch line on kenpom.com, I will side with Vegas.

System rules:

If the line is between 0 and 4, a large difference is 2 points.
4.5 to 12, a large difference is 3 points.
12.5 to 16, a large difference is 4 points.
16.5 and up, a large difference is 5 points.

Three notes:

I will not be wagering on the Dogs that have over 50% of the bets according to covers contests.

I will not be wagering on the Favorites that have over 60% of the bets according to covers contests.

All plays will be 1st halfs
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beaverfan23 12
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
YTD Record

For the night: 3-3-2 (50%)

For the week: 3-4-2 (50%)

For the year: 44-47-3 (52.3%)


In depth stats:

Home Teams: 19-20-2 (54.2%)
Road Teams: 20-15 (59.3%)

Favorites: 15-24-1 (36%)
Dogs:     29-23-2 (62.5%)

Line moved toward KP:  27-28-2 (55.3%)
Line moved away KP:  16-16-1 (52.2%)

Full Game Record 43-51-1 (50.8%)
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Hofstra +3, Memphis +2 (-115), drake +4

Towson, ball st, byu, Arizona, cal

All official Saturday plays
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Mid tenn st was a play Thursday. It lost
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
No plays on tuesday....Finals Week
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
No Plays on Monday
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Hot start, then lost the last 4.  Finished 4-5 on saturday.  No plays on Sunday
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Official Saturday Plays

(1st Halves)

NC State
Mid Tenn St
UCLA
Marquette
Northern Iowa
Northwestern
UC Irvine
Iona
USC

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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Official Friday Play

Wis-Mil -7 (HFA)

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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
No plays tonight. Like flyer said, the Rhode Island line moved on Kenpom. 

Tenn tech is over 50%

No plays on Thursday!
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Looking like TennTech and URI
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beaverfan23 34
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replied to Vegas vs Kenpom System Week IV
in College Basketball
Noticing a trend...maybe we need to do dogs 1H and favorites Full Game.  Anybody want to back track? :)
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beaverfan23 34
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