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Detroits first outdoor game.. and they are also coming off a massive 52-14 win versus the Titans.. to me this is a perfect spot to jump off Detroit this is a BIG divisional game and it is in Greenbay.. •Teams covering 80% of there games.. “(Lions)” who are a road favorite 53-89-3 37% against the spread since 2010 •moves to 32% against the spread in divisional games •Matt LaFleur as an underdog with 3 points or more he is 18-4 against the spread Number seems to be moving down Good Luck |
ChOmP | 7 |
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2-1
Greenbay Packers +3.5 4units
Good Luck everyone |
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Cleveland Browns +7.5 4units Good Luck Everyone |
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San Francisco 49ers -3.5 4units Good Luck everyone |
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Carolina Panthers +4 4units (Perception play) + (Too many points) Regular season: 24-46 (.343) and a quarterback that seems to either be broken or just does not fit this system it’s very strange to me.. (Derek Carr as a Favorite Indoors 9-13 SU 4-games Under .500 as an indoor favorite) Last season Panthers were perceived as a joke.. this season they have upgraded at offensive line at both Guards also at wide receiver and upgraded at coaching.. •Division underdogs 37-15-1 ATS 71% IN WEEK 1 since 2014 covering by nearly 5 points per game.. •Week 1 divisional dogs are above .500 outright since 2010 40-38-2 on the ML 51%
Let’s try our best to keep things positive this season as a collective on this NFL Forum Good Luck to Everyone this season
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17:07 12:53 31rush attemps 14 to McCaffrey San Francisco is doing what the Ravens should have done.. |
Digitalkarma | 357 |
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Eyyyy |
Puerta2Puerta | 4 |
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Redzone issues |
Digitalkarma | 357 |
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Wilks is focused on stopping the run game.. smart man |
Digitalkarma | 357 |
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Longest fieldgoal in Super Bowl history |
Digitalkarma | 357 |
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The disrespect for San Francisco 49ers is crazy to me considering how bad Mahomes has played this season compared to all his previous years… like San Francisco is just going to lay down because of the Spags defense.. you can bring a horse to water.. Nice to see you posting
Good Luck Cal |
CalBear2009 | 28 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NoFlyZone:
Ravens 33 49ers 19 Chiefs 17 Ravens 10
Chiefs Ravens
First downs 22 16 Total plays 73 57 Total yards 319 336 Total drives 11 11 Yards per play 4.4 5.9 Passing 230 255 Yards per pass 5.6 6.2 Rush attempts 32 16 Yards per Rush 2.8 5.1 Turnovers 0 3 TOP 37:30 22:30 Baltimore rushed 16X against a defense that cannot stop the run.. lol Dak and Lamar are on the same boat regular season champs because there is no pressure.. come playoffs they choke |
ChOmP | 32 |
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Ravens San Francisco
Total drives 12 11 Passing 241yrds 308yards Rushing 102yards 121 yards Rush attempts 26 18 Yards per rush 3.9 6.7 Yards perplay 5.4 6.3 Total yards 343 429 TOP 31:14 28:46
Outgained. 5 turnovers were the difference which was the main reason for a score like that.. tipped passes for INTS short fields for Lamar.. San Francisco defense was just gassed.. 5turnovers in a game is not normal that does not happen game to game.. |
ChOmP | 32 |
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THIS SEASON..
Kansas City Chiefs Vs Greenbay Greenbay won 27-19
Kansas City Chiefs Vs Detroit Detroit won 21-20
San Francisco 49ers Vs Greenbay San Francisco 49ers Won 24-21
San Francisco 49ers Vs Detroit San Francisco 49ers Won 34-31
what is the narrative.. San Francisco looked like crap versus these two teams with no defense right? So what does this say about Kansas City chiefs.. if we’re going to judge a team do it equally to both.. I would argue in the playoffs Greenbay and Detroit were probably playing way better then the regular season.. |
ChOmP | 32 |
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replied to
***Macwesties * Sun. Feb. 11, 2024 * NFL * Super Bowl LV111 * Football Plays***
in NFL Betting I’m beginning to feel the emptiness of not having football.. until next season buddy Good Luck Mac |
Macwestie1 | 74 |
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The two reasons people are betting KC is #1 because “its Mahomes” even on a down year which no one wants to admit.. I get it.. #2 which is the mostly likely reason of the two is your betting on Spags defense.. if you are looking past all the offensive stats San Francisco has put up this year Brock has put up then you are obviously counting on Brock not being able to succeed against this chiefs defense.. both teams have been flawed if you take a look and have an unbiased opinion.. San Francisco had the 3 game skid which turned people away.. which losses were worse ? San Francisco’s or Kansas City chiefs? Spags will definitely blitz Brock Purdy.. but on plays where Brock Purdy was blitz this season he had a rate of 0.42 expected points added per play.. highest EPA per play against the blitz of any quarterback in the league and also had a higher depth of targets on plays where he was blitz rather then plays where he was not.. which is not normal it’s rare to see this.. so he’s not only making plays he’s making big plays when he’s blitzed.. chiefs are 27th in DVOA against the run.. McCaffrey anyone.. Yes San Francisco gave up a lot of rush yards to Jones, Montgomery and Gibbs.. which Pacheco can definitely have a chance to take advantage of which I doubt considering they have had back to back running backs run on them so it most likely will be a point of emphasis defensively.. but the way Wilks runs his defense I would not be shocked if they give up yards between the 20s and buckle down in the redzone.. KC has redzone issues.. San Francisco 49ers were the better team throughout the season compared to Kansas City Chiefs and that’s not a lie the only reason everyone jumped off the wagon was because of there slow starts in the playoffs but they fought through adversity which they did not do the entire season.. perfect time to do it and that is why they are in the Super Bowl..to me on a neutral field San Francisco should be favored by 4 points Obviously it’s scary betting against Mahomes but this line hasn’t budged and everyone is throwing money on KC.. just seems strange Everyone points out San Francisco 49ers losses but not one person mentions the terrible losses the Kansas City chiefs had during the regular season.. 15 point loss to the broncos in week 8… or the embarrassing home loss to the Las Vegas Raiders on Christmas Day.. they also lost to Greenbay 19-27…. Chiefs have looked good coming into the playoffs against Miami literally with zero defense banged up offensively too then versus Buffalo against there banged up defense and Buffalo shooting themselves in the foot.. then the Ravens who played the dumbest game of there lives abandoning the run the entire game even though the chiefs are 27th DVOA against the run.. just dumb.. quality of opponents hasn’t been great going down the stretch for KC.. same goes for San Francisco 49ers in there last two..both teams are flawed One thing that stands out to me is San Francisco played poorly against Greenbay and Detroit defensively but those two offenses are better than the Kansas City chiefs offense in my opinion.. both Love and Goff had really good offensive stats and playmakers.. apologies for the rant last game of the year.. Good Luck Vanzack |
vanzack | 89 |
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“@NONEED4LUCK-While they have a better offense, they do not have a better defense. That is a lie. No one thinks this Niners defense is as good as four years ago. Niners best corner was let go by KC because they had better ones. Ward was A liability in KC. Now the Chiefs offense hasn’t been as productive in the regular season but has done more than enough to earn a +9 point differential while the Niners are at +3.5. EVERYONE knows the AFC is the better division with more teams that are competitive. The NFC West is a joke of a Division with the Cards, Seachickens and Rams all sucking these past couple years. There is not debate on who had the tougher challenge to get to the Super Bowl.[/Quote]
How are you comparing the entire AFC versus just the NFC west? Did you mean AFC West.. yeah the Raiders Chargers and Broncos are much better they literally all got new coaches.. just to let you know Rams and Seattle had a chance to make the playoffs this year.. also NFC west teams have made the playoffs past few years and the rams recently won a Super Bowl.. I’m pretty sure NFC West win loss record is better than AFC West even if it’s slightly.. and that was with the Cardinals literally tanking this season.. also the reason they got rid of Ward was because they did not want to pay him..simple as that..he went from 400k to 13 mill.. so yeah not wanting to pay what he was asking for would be the reason they let him go.. This season, Ward earned his first-career Pro Bowl selection. In 17 starts this season, he has recorded 72 tackles (two for loss), 23 passes defensed, a career-high five interceptions, one of which he returned for a touchdown and one forced fumble.. it seems San Francisco knows how to use him better than Kansas City ever did.. it would be very comical if Ward intercepts Mahomes in the Super Bowl for a pick6.. |
ChOmP | 32 |
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Quote Originally Posted by amrtnz:
@ChOmP How many units chomp?
whatever Mayweather has on it multiply it by 10 and add 5 calypso moons with all the planets aligned with the clairvoyance #13 also 1trillion star OIALP= Once in a lifetime play
all jokes aside I’m heavily invested Good Luck with your decision on the SuperBowl |
ChOmP | 32 |
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Score prediction: 28-17 |
ChOmP | 32 |
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@KTriple Why would it be a bad sign? He is in Vegas and he’s not coaching the game.. he’s having fun and can still formulate sentences but he’s on the boarder of having too much fun for being interviewed lol |
ChOmP | 32 |
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