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Add: Canes/Cats ML parlay +205 (0.5 units)

YTD: 2-2 +0.42 units

Not a great start, but not a horrible start either. Kind of unfortunate the Kings generated 45+ shots and couldn't score a goal but thats the way she goes sometimes. Today's slate isn't a ton of games but like a decent amount of picks on the board. Good luck to everyone tonight

Stars ML +125 and under 6 -120: I don't love either of these plays but I'm banking on the Stars talent to finally show up tonight. This will be Perry's second game back and after only getting about 11 min. of 5 on 5 ice time on Wednesday, I expect his minutes to jump a bit tonight and for his line with Hintz (who's been incredible this season) and Janmaark to take it up a notch from Wednesday. The Stars have been up and down this year performance wise (obviously results have been consistently awful) but the one thing they've actually been good at is not allowing high danger chances. Their HDCA/60 (high danger chances against per 60 min) is good for 4th best in the NHL. The Penguins on the other hand are bottom 8 in the NHL in creating high danger chances for themselves. While this might be great and all, the Stars still need much better performances from Bishop, who has been uncharacteristically awful so far. I expect the Stars to throw a lot of different matchups at the Crosby/Guentzel line, and I'm hoping that Montgomery's unique version of the 1-2-2 forecheck can keep the Pens out of transition where they've thrived this season. 

Jackets/Hawks ov 6.5 -105: After the first two games of the season, the Hawks looked as if they were going to be an over machine this season (they most likely will be still) but the last two games have changed the perception a bit. The Hawks/Oilers game on Monday was phenomal to watch, and staggering that it went under. The first period alone could have had a name change to the "breakaway challenge" as both teams thrived in transition giving up 3+ breakaways each. The Hawks d-core continues to be a turn style as they've been atrocious this season in zone entry prevention. Their blue line isn't mobile, fail to exit their own zone when they get the chances, and have the tendency to get pinned in for long periods of time, which is why their CA/60 is bottom two in the NHL and their HDCA/60 is dead last. The Jackets on the other hand are a bit of a mystery. They've had trouble creating good scoring chances this year and are still trying to find the chemistry with a lot of new lines and faces. But, in a game that I think could become a bit of a track meet (as most Hawks games do), I think some of their young talent in the forward group will shine tonight and they'll generate a solid number of in tight scoring chances. 

Red Wings TT ov 2.5 -125: This is simply me fading the Oilers who are a major fraud. The Oilers not only have benefited from a cushy schedule to start the season, they've also had some incredible luck on their side as well. Their 5 on 5 GF% of 53.4% is good enough for 12th best in the NHL, which isn't awful, but shows how much they've relied on a pretty deadly powerplay. However, their 5 on 5 xGF% of 43.4%, good for 2nd last in the NHL, shows not only have they relied on their PP, they've also gotten extremely lucky so far while being even strength. The reason I don't want to take the Wings is I just can't trust Bernier at all, and have watched McDavid and Draisaitl slice up my team way too many times since coming into the league. Instead I'll take my chances that Koskinen doesn't have another Patrick Roy performance and that the Oilers continue to allow a crazy amount of high danger chances like they have all season.

Still may add Panthers and Canes, just not positive yet.

Haven't been around much in the last year or so cause of work and writing, which has consumed a lot of my time. But going to try and pick games every night again like I used to. It's good to see a bunch of old faces still around, which was what I was really hoping for when logging into the site today.

Haven't really been gambling much the first two weeks of the season, as usual I like to get a good look at games for a week or two before wagering full units. When I've been gambling  mostly just been taking the Canes and Devils every game for peanuts, one working out well, the other not so much. Anyways like a few things tonight. As always my picks have a good bit of analytical work behind it, as its the field I'm in for work so really can't look at the game any other way these days, but still use my eyes and what I watch on TV a great bit as well.

Good luck to everyone on the night

Canucks ML +162- Playing this one strictly cause of value. The Blues record looks very average, but their underlying stats tell a completely different story. The Blues have been completely caved in in multiple games this season, supporting a horrid xGA/60 which sits bottom 5 in the NHL. Their play in their own zone has been troubling, but what makes matters worse is their play in the O-zone has somehow been even more atrocious. They're worst in the NHL in xGF/60 by a good margin. This team still has obviously enough talent to be much better than this and most likely will, and with Berube being up the guys a**es for their blown lead on Monday I expect them to come out on fire. But still think this is way too much juice for a team in the Canucks that has looked solid so far and really seems to be jelling with their new additions on the blue line.

Sabres/Kings ov 6 -115- Just not quite sure how this is 6 and not 6.5. Quick vs Ullmark is like an over bettors dream. Quick has been by far the worst goaltender in the league this season, no matter what statistic you look at. Combine this with two powerplays that have looked extremely formidable, and two teams that generate a ton of chances and I see this as being a very solid bet.

Isles/Jets ov 6 -105- Its never pretty when taking an Isles over but here we are. This team has struggled to be as strong in their own end as they were last year. Their xGA is second worst in the NHL only beating out the Rangers, while their CA/60 is third last in the NHL beating out again the Rangers and also the lovely Ottawa Senators. The Jets on the other hand continue to throw out Morrissey and the misfits on the blue line, which has not been pretty to this point. They however do still have an immense amount of forward talent and a PP that at anytime can strike for 2 or more goals in a game. 

Knights 1P -0.5- Simple enough, Knights off a home loss the other night, Ottawa on the start of a Westish road trip. I expect the Knights to come out hot.

Hey Doc. Good luck tonight bud. Havent been around much of late but good to still see some of the old faces still posting.