Noonkid

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replied to Denver is looking like a good play in NFL Betting I use covers percentages. Also I meant to say Denver should be -4 View Post \| View Thread	Noonkid	3	October 01, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Denver is looking like a good play in NFL Betting Denver looks to be in a good spot tonight. I use a Yards per play formula and only use it when there is a 60/40 public split or more, and always bet the team that goes against the public. I'm hitting 80% this year so far. KC YPP: 6.8 Den YPP: 5.8 Kc defense. YPP: 6.7 Den defense YPP: 5.5 KC delta = .1 Den delta = .3 Total delta = .2 favoring Denver .2/.15 = roughly a 1 point spread favoring Denver +3 points home field advantage. Denver should be +4 in this game I'm taking Denevr ML Good luck all View Post \| View Thread	Noonkid	3	October 01, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 0-6 today in NFL Betting My $0.02, take it or leave it. I have done well this year and went 4-0 today on Tennessee, colts, Tampa, and pats/jags over 44.5. I only look at games where 70% or more of the public is on one side. Vegas doesn't lose... I only look into these games and run my analysis from there. Look into the "yards per play" betting analytics and you may have better luck. A lot of sharps live and die by it. I'm leaning giants myself tonight, but plan on laying off as I dont feel great about it. Best of luck in the future. I'm still regretting not pulling the trigger on my ten/TB/colts ML parlay. Left a lot fo $$ on the table View Post \| View Thread	alekim	6	September 16, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to $$$Thursday NCAAF Football$$$ in College Football Personally, I like KC getting 3 points rather than Denver getting +9 Best of luck either way. View Post \| View Thread	IGotMoney2Blow	6	September 17, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to College Football 9/4 in College Football Good luck Metal. I'm on Michigan St Team Total over 19.5 1st half and 36.5 total View Post \| View Thread	Metallica2467	28	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to * Week 1 NCAA football * in College Football Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom: So far: Penn st -6.5 FSU -29.5 Minnesota +14 Tennessee -21 Kentucky -15.5 UNC +3 BYU +6.5 Oklahoma -31 Minnesota +10 1H Duke / Tulane Under 51 E. wash / Oregon Under 80.5 UNC was far and away the better team. Fedora has to be fired. Why on earth do you not give the ball to E. Hood at least 30 times a game is beyond me. DO NOT be fooled by S.C winning tonight. They are garbage. UNC looked good last night, they should have scored way more points. That kid Elijah Wood is legit. I called Minnesota from the day the line came out. Especially with 70% of the money on TCU. 2-0 this season so far with Minnesota and the Utes last night. Let's keeep on rollinggg View Post \| View Thread	Boom_Boom	122	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Thursday College Football in College Football I cashed in on Minnesota and Utah 2-0 to start the season, can't complain. View Post \| View Thread	oldwiseone	28	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TCU -14.5 in College Football View Post \| View Thread	SevenTwoFive	21	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Thursday College Football in College Football With you on Minny +17. I think it takes a half for TCU to catch their stride being away on a Thursday night, first game of the season. View Post \| View Thread	oldwiseone	28	September 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TCU -14.5 in College Football I'm locked in at Minny +17. Good luck to the start of the season boyssss View Post \| View Thread	SevenTwoFive	21	September 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Texas Christian at Minnesota (09/03/2015) in College Football TCU on the road, first game of the season, Thursday night lights. Minny +14. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	18	August 21, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to * Week 1 NCAA football * in College Football Good luck this year Boom Boom. Minnesota is the one game that jumped out at me after looking through the week 1 list...so I'm glad we are on the same page. Minnesota looked decent last year and the fact that TCU is traveling on Week 1, and playing on a Thursday just makes this a good bet for me. I think the public is going to be all over TCU and Minnesota is going to catch them off guard at the beginning. TCU will pull off the win at the end but it will take a few quarters for them to catch their stride. Best of luck this year. View Post \| View Thread	Boom_Boom	122	August 21, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to San Diego at Denver (10/23/2014) in Pro Football This game is going to be 17-31 with 2 minutes left in the game until Rivers comes down in garbage time to throw a TD to the bet. Charges will onside kick, which will be unsucessful, and Denver goes into victory formation. FINAL SCORE: DEN 31 vs SD 24 SAN DIEGO +8.5 Over 51 View Post \| View Thread	Covers	100	October 23, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Clemson @ BC in College Football I have been watching Clemson play for a long time and they have made me a lot of money in the past. This might be the first time I bet against Clemson. The Clemson back-up QB looks horrendous last week. I've never seen more balls almost get intercepted in my life. If the D could actually catch the ball he would have thrown about 3 interceptions. The biggest problem this Stoudt guy has is that he looks at the receiver the ENTIRE time from the snap of the ball. The linebackers just lick their lips and watch his eyes and go for an interception. He is going to throw a minimum of 3 interpections today...count on it. This is going to put BC in a lot of good field positions, and expect Tyler Murphy to run ALL over this C+ grade defense of Clemson. This is also the type of game that BC shows up for. BC at home against a horrible back-up QB.... BC MONEYLINE BC +5 View Post \| View Thread	Noonkid	1	October 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Clemson at Boston College (10/18/2014) in College Football I am a guy who loves to bet on Clemson. Tahj Boyd, Sammy Watkins, Andre Ellington, etc. have made me a lot of money in the past. However..... Did anyone watch last weeks game???? This back-up QB Stoudt for Clemson is TERRRRRIIBLLLE. I've never seen a worse quarterback. Every throw he made was almost an interception last week. He should of had at least 3 interceptions last week if the D could have caught the ball. My prediction is that Stoudt throws for a minimum of 3 interceptions in this game and going to put BC in some good field position. If Tyler Murphy can run alll over the field, and Clemson hasn't exactly been known for their outstanding defense in recent years. Like I said, I love to bet on Clemson, but this QB is scary bad, plus the game is at BC. BC ML BC +5 View Post \| View Thread	Covers	7	October 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New York at Washington (09/25/2014) in Pro Football Washington wins by a TD. Good luck everyone. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	62	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (09/20/2014) in College Football BZZZZZZZZZZZZ These teams always play each other tough, but bet GT heavy. You won't regret it. The GT running game will be too much for VT defense. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	13	September 19, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Auburn at Kansas State (09/18/2014) in College Football I work with a kid that went to K State and he said, and I quote, "It will be the largest and loudest crowd in KSU history" Take it for what it's worth. I'm staying away on the sides and praying that somehow the over covers. BOL all. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	108	September 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Auburn at Kansas State (09/18/2014) in College Football I took the over 65.5 about an hour ago. Now its down to 63...I'm feeling pretty stupid at the moment. I would try to cancel the bet out and bet the other way, but knowing my luck I'd probably middle the thing for the worse! hahah. These things happen. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	108	September 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Green Bay at Seattle (09/04/2014) in Pro Football I think everyone is basing these stats off a Sunday 1:00 game. From my experience, Thursday Night games always go the opposite way of what is supposed to happen and they usually go under. That's just been my experience in both NFL and college. With that I am taking the Pack (small 1 unit play). View Post \| View Thread	Covers	138	September 04, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Denver is looking like a good play in NFL Betting I use covers percentages. Also I meant to say Denver should be -4 View Post \| View Thread	Noonkid	3	October 01, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Denver is looking like a good play in NFL Betting Denver looks to be in a good spot tonight. I use a Yards per play formula and only use it when there is a 60/40 public split or more, and always bet the team that goes against the public. I'm hitting 80% this year so far. KC YPP: 6.8 Den YPP: 5.8 Kc defense. YPP: 6.7 Den defense YPP: 5.5 KC delta = .1 Den delta = .3 Total delta = .2 favoring Denver .2/.15 = roughly a 1 point spread favoring Denver +3 points home field advantage. Denver should be +4 in this game I'm taking Denevr ML Good luck all View Post \| View Thread	Noonkid	3	October 01, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 0-6 today in NFL Betting My $0.02, take it or leave it. I have done well this year and went 4-0 today on Tennessee, colts, Tampa, and pats/jags over 44.5. I only look at games where 70% or more of the public is on one side. Vegas doesn't lose... I only look into these games and run my analysis from there. Look into the "yards per play" betting analytics and you may have better luck. A lot of sharps live and die by it. I'm leaning giants myself tonight, but plan on laying off as I dont feel great about it. Best of luck in the future. I'm still regretting not pulling the trigger on my ten/TB/colts ML parlay. Left a lot fo $$ on the table View Post \| View Thread	alekim	6	September 16, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to $$$Thursday NCAAF Football$$$ in College Football Personally, I like KC getting 3 points rather than Denver getting +9 Best of luck either way. View Post \| View Thread	IGotMoney2Blow	6	September 17, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to College Football 9/4 in College Football Good luck Metal. I'm on Michigan St Team Total over 19.5 1st half and 36.5 total View Post \| View Thread	Metallica2467	28	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to * Week 1 NCAA football * in College Football Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom: So far: Penn st -6.5 FSU -29.5 Minnesota +14 Tennessee -21 Kentucky -15.5 UNC +3 BYU +6.5 Oklahoma -31 Minnesota +10 1H Duke / Tulane Under 51 E. wash / Oregon Under 80.5 UNC was far and away the better team. Fedora has to be fired. Why on earth do you not give the ball to E. Hood at least 30 times a game is beyond me. DO NOT be fooled by S.C winning tonight. They are garbage. UNC looked good last night, they should have scored way more points. That kid Elijah Wood is legit. I called Minnesota from the day the line came out. Especially with 70% of the money on TCU. 2-0 this season so far with Minnesota and the Utes last night. Let's keeep on rollinggg View Post \| View Thread	Boom_Boom	122	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Thursday College Football in College Football I cashed in on Minnesota and Utah 2-0 to start the season, can't complain. View Post \| View Thread	oldwiseone	28	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TCU -14.5 in College Football View Post \| View Thread	SevenTwoFive	21	September 04, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Thursday College Football in College Football With you on Minny +17. I think it takes a half for TCU to catch their stride being away on a Thursday night, first game of the season. View Post \| View Thread	oldwiseone	28	September 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TCU -14.5 in College Football I'm locked in at Minny +17. Good luck to the start of the season boyssss View Post \| View Thread	SevenTwoFive	21	September 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Texas Christian at Minnesota (09/03/2015) in College Football TCU on the road, first game of the season, Thursday night lights. Minny +14. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	18	August 21, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to * Week 1 NCAA football * in College Football Good luck this year Boom Boom. Minnesota is the one game that jumped out at me after looking through the week 1 list...so I'm glad we are on the same page. Minnesota looked decent last year and the fact that TCU is traveling on Week 1, and playing on a Thursday just makes this a good bet for me. I think the public is going to be all over TCU and Minnesota is going to catch them off guard at the beginning. TCU will pull off the win at the end but it will take a few quarters for them to catch their stride. Best of luck this year. View Post \| View Thread	Boom_Boom	122	August 21, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to San Diego at Denver (10/23/2014) in Pro Football This game is going to be 17-31 with 2 minutes left in the game until Rivers comes down in garbage time to throw a TD to the bet. Charges will onside kick, which will be unsucessful, and Denver goes into victory formation. FINAL SCORE: DEN 31 vs SD 24 SAN DIEGO +8.5 Over 51 View Post \| View Thread	Covers	100	October 23, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Clemson @ BC in College Football I have been watching Clemson play for a long time and they have made me a lot of money in the past. This might be the first time I bet against Clemson. The Clemson back-up QB looks horrendous last week. I've never seen more balls almost get intercepted in my life. If the D could actually catch the ball he would have thrown about 3 interceptions. The biggest problem this Stoudt guy has is that he looks at the receiver the ENTIRE time from the snap of the ball. The linebackers just lick their lips and watch his eyes and go for an interception. He is going to throw a minimum of 3 interpections today...count on it. This is going to put BC in a lot of good field positions, and expect Tyler Murphy to run ALL over this C+ grade defense of Clemson. This is also the type of game that BC shows up for. BC at home against a horrible back-up QB.... BC MONEYLINE BC +5 View Post \| View Thread	Noonkid	1	October 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Clemson at Boston College (10/18/2014) in College Football I am a guy who loves to bet on Clemson. Tahj Boyd, Sammy Watkins, Andre Ellington, etc. have made me a lot of money in the past. However..... Did anyone watch last weeks game???? This back-up QB Stoudt for Clemson is TERRRRRIIBLLLE. I've never seen a worse quarterback. Every throw he made was almost an interception last week. He should of had at least 3 interceptions last week if the D could have caught the ball. My prediction is that Stoudt throws for a minimum of 3 interceptions in this game and going to put BC in some good field position. If Tyler Murphy can run alll over the field, and Clemson hasn't exactly been known for their outstanding defense in recent years. Like I said, I love to bet on Clemson, but this QB is scary bad, plus the game is at BC. BC ML BC +5 View Post \| View Thread	Covers	7	October 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New York at Washington (09/25/2014) in Pro Football Washington wins by a TD. Good luck everyone. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	62	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (09/20/2014) in College Football BZZZZZZZZZZZZ These teams always play each other tough, but bet GT heavy. You won't regret it. The GT running game will be too much for VT defense. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	13	September 19, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Auburn at Kansas State (09/18/2014) in College Football I work with a kid that went to K State and he said, and I quote, "It will be the largest and loudest crowd in KSU history" Take it for what it's worth. I'm staying away on the sides and praying that somehow the over covers. BOL all. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	108	September 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Auburn at Kansas State (09/18/2014) in College Football I took the over 65.5 about an hour ago. Now its down to 63...I'm feeling pretty stupid at the moment. I would try to cancel the bet out and bet the other way, but knowing my luck I'd probably middle the thing for the worse! hahah. These things happen. View Post \| View Thread	Covers	108	September 18, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Green Bay at Seattle (09/04/2014) in Pro Football I think everyone is basing these stats off a Sunday 1:00 game. From my experience, Thursday Night games always go the opposite way of what is supposed to happen and they usually go under. That's just been my experience in both NFL and college. With that I am taking the Pack (small 1 unit play). View Post \| View Thread	Covers	138	September 04, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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