Par_Laid

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replied to TNF Phins/Ravens in NFL Betting This is the NFL... Adam Gase is a competitive man, Matt Moore has a chip on his shoulder from not being named the starter. 34, 34, and 14 were the team point totals last year in Moore's starts. There's no way the Dolphins don't care about this game. It's their job to try and win. I see the Dolphins putting up points, but their secondary is a damn seive, if the Baltimore line can hold up against the Miami defensive front, Flacco should be able to out score the Dolphins. OVER 37.5 View Post \| View Thread	PhillyBrown	11	October 26, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Longtime Capper at Bubba's Picks, OG $$$$$ USC_Holmey Thread member in Website Promotions TNF Miami Dolphins (+3, 37.5) @ Baltimore Ravens 830PM EST Matt Moore is starting this game at QB for the injured Jay Cutler. This should shift Miami's offense plan to more of a traditional run-first, play action style offense similar to the one that they implemented last year after Ryan Tannehill's season ended. In those 3 games, the Dolphins hung 34 points on the road at the Bills and the Jets while putting up 14 at home against the patriots. In all likely hood this game will flow through Jay Ajayi running the ball with some play action deep shots to kenny stills and possible devante parker and underneath to julius thomas. The return of Brandon Williams DT for the Baltimore Ravens was supposed to help in the run game for the Ravens and solidify the defense, but the Vikings managed 5 yards per carry to the tune of 160 total yards rushing and a TD against the Ravens. Looking at the Ravens injury report, there are 11 names questionable tonight. The starting safeties and the backup are questionable but practiced in full and should play, and two starting linebackers are in the same position. I expect the ravens to have most of their defensive pieces on play tonight, but at less than 100% after a very physical game at the vikings. Miami's Defense has been bad this year and with two defensive linemen questionable after limited practice this week, it won't get much better. As a result I think Joe Flacco will have some extra time in the pocket to throw the ball. Mike Wallace will likely not play, but the ravens will get Jeremy Maclin and Breshad Perriman back for this game, injecting some life into their offense. In summary, both offense should be able to move the ball against weak/banged up defenses. and the OVER is in play. Given this is a Thursday Night game and supposed to be ugly, I've opted to a greater margin of safety. Teaser (7 Points) : MIA +10 & OVER 30.5 I also like the OVER 37.5 which I think will hit much easier if there is a defensive touchdown (+240). If I had to pick a side, I'd take MIA +3, but given the state of Miami's defense and the returning weapons for Joe Flacco, I can see a Ravens 4-7 Point win. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	6	October 26, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Longtime Capper at Bubba's Picks, OG $$$$$ USC_Holmey Thread member in Website Promotions Ajayi has a bad knee not ankle... backup is david fales, pretty much the same type of QB as David fales. If you bet or don't bet based on hypotheticals or injury predictions, you're a fish View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	6	October 24, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Secret ingredient to tonight's mnf potato skins vs American eagles in NFL Betting Brosuf still crushing it from the $$$$ USC_HolmeyThread days, good looks, I cashed on a teaser Eagles and the OVER, was too puss to play the straight lines, good for you champ View Post \| View Thread	nfl_brosuf	12	October 24, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Longtime Capper at Bubba's Picks, OG $$$$$ USC_Holmey Thread member in Website Promotions MIA (+3, 37.5) @ BAL Waiting for this line to get beat down a bit more by sharps. I doubt it will get through the key number of 37, but if it does. I'm all over it. The only reason Jay Cutler is still QB of the Dolphins is Adam Gase attempting to save face as a coach swaying the GM's decision to get Cutler. now that cutler has cracked ribs and can't smoke cigs like the POS that he is, we should see the real Dolphins Offense that Matt Moore went 2-1 last year, averaging 27.3 Pts/game in. Now, let's take a little bit of salt here because that was away against the Jets and the Bills which were atrocious defenses last year and they only scored 14 at the patriots in the playoffs, but this Baltimore Defense has had problems stopping the run and the deep pass all year long. They did get DT Brandon Williams back which was supposed to help in the run game, but they allowed Latavius Murray to rip off an explosive run TD. A Case Keenum led offense with no Diggs scored 24 on them! Matt Moore is good at 2 things, handing the ball off to Jay Ajayi, and throwing the deep ball to Kenny Stills. Kenny stills should see a favorable matchup, at least speed wise against Brandon Carr or Marlon Humphrey. Implied Box score is 20-17 the Ravens. Considering the Ravens scores 16 away on a much, much better vikings defense that the Dolphins (who just allowed 28 to the jets). I see the ravens easily scoring 20+ at home. Which leaves us with the Dolphins need to score 17+ on the road. Lets give Jay Ajayi some positive touchdown regression for 1 score. Kenny Stills or devante parker on the deep ball for another score, and a field goal, we have the over easily. Keep an eye on the injury status of Devante parker, but if he's a good and this line goes to 37 or lower, we've got a sneaky OVER play. 66% capper or better (I only count my high conviction $$$$LOCK$$$$ plays), google Bubba's picks for the evidence. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	6	October 24, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Survivor Help in NFL Betting League: 12 out of 44 remaining My Picks: PHI(vsCLE), CAR(vsSF), MIA(vsCLE), JAX(vsIND), IND(vsCHI), ARI(vsSF), CIN(vsCLE) [in that order] Weeks 8 and 9 are always tough with teams on the bye, so I'm thinking of staying safe and going with NE -6.5 @ BUF. LeSean at less than 100%, no Sammy Watkins, Brady's back. Marcell Dareus is returning and maybe wanted to save the Pats for later. Other teams I'm considering this week: DEN, CIN(if no norman) View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	3	October 26, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting Don't bet on the browns unless they're playing against a terrible pash rush.... Par_Laid signing off... till next time View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 11, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting I definitely see the regression/fade spot, but I'm following the trend as I don't see cleveland having improved from last year. Wentz definitely loses the QB battle, but we saw what Andrew Luck looked like last year with a terrible offensive line (Luck and RG3 went 1,2 in the 2012 draft). I see the whole right side of Cleveland's line as a burden and it could cause the offense to sputter like in the preseason. Similarly, Philly's defense looked really good in the preseason when their first unit was on the field, in preseason weak 3, the eagles only allowed 3 points in the first half. I just don't see how cleveland wins this game by running the ball, their best bet is a couple long bombs from RG3 to pryor or coleman, both very young, raw receivers... View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting @Achilles I actually tailed your post from another thread and that's how I found sac's thread, much appreciated brother View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting That's actually my post from another forum, so just looking for a good discussion View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting $$$$ PHI -4 VS CLE 9/11 1PM EST $$$$ Line Movement: Opened -6.5, since moved to -4 and -3.5 some places due to Bradford trade & concerns over Lane Johnson's suspension. Keep an eye out on NFL news today regarding the suspension, more than likely he'll be able to play Sunday but if he can't the line will get even juicer (I think -6 is fair without Lane). Overview: Philadelphia should dominate the trenches on offense and defense, they're better and more experienced. At the skill positions, I'll give a slight edge to RG3, but PHI has the better backs and wide receivers, TE is a push. Philly wins the DEF and special teams match up in a landslide. The browns kept all 14 draft picks on their 53-man roster.... there will be a learning curve. Philly will Dominate the Battle of the Trenches - The Browns offensive line is Joe Thomas and everyone else. Cameron Erving does a good job at center and Joel Bitonio can hold his own between those two, but the right side of the line is a huge ??? On defense, Brandon Graham should occupy Joe Thomas while Flecher Cox and Connor Barwin maul the rest of the line. The Philly crowd is wild and should unsettle the Browns lineman from the start. On Philly's side, we have Jason Peters, Jason Kelce and Lane Johnson, all of whom earned positive grades from PFF last year. Brent Celek at TE also happens to be an excellent blocker and with a rookie QB expect them to play a lot of 11 (two-TE) personnel to keep him safe. It gets better though, The Browns are starting two rookies in Emmanuel Ogbah and Joe Schobert at OLB. The only person on the DL of CLE that concerns me is NT Danny Shelton who is a wildly unpredictable player. But the Eagles will like run outside more because of the scheme, which leads us to... Scheme Favors Philly - Hue Jackson was successful in Cincy, he also had an array of pro bowlers which he does not have in CLE. Even then, he was a ground and pound and deep shots kind of offense. That's exactly what we saw in the preseason and I expect more of the same on Sunday. This plays right into Philly's defense. The Eagles are stout up front and at the safety position, but can be chopped up by the short to intermediate passing game. With no Julian Edelman to support that game, the Patriots were utterly dominated by this defense in week 12 last year as 14 point favorites... Corey Coleman could inspire some semblance of an intermediate passing game, but I'll take experience over a rookie any day. Pryor ruined the surprise in preseason, his deep threat ability will be accounted for. Gary Barnidge could do some damage in the endzone... IF they get there, but that's a big if. On the other side of the ball, I don't think Carson Wentz is particularly good, but the West Coast offense that Doug Pederson runs won't ask Wentz to make throws down the field. The short to intermediate passing game will test the rookie OLBs of the browns. Wentz won't be asked to do much more than throw the ball sideways and occasionally a crossing route. Expect the eagles to hand the ball off from a variety of different looks and take the pressure off Wentz. - I see the angle you're getting at Sac, but here's my write-up on the game would love some feedback. I think Philly wins in the trenches according to PFF grades View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Par_Laid's NFL Preseason Week 2 FRIDAY 8/19 in NFL Betting Those of you that know me from Bubba's this is a re-post. For the Covers guys, I took a leave of absence after NBA ended but I'm back. Sizzling 10-1-2 through the first couple days of NFL preseason, let's stay hot and get that $$$$ View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	4	August 19, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Par_Laid's NFL Preseason Week 2 FRIDAY 8/19 in NFL Betting Afternoon Leans for Preseason Week 2 Friday 8/19 NYJ @ WAS -I really like @Pandemiic's angle on the 1st half under 21. To add, the Redskins touted one of the most diverse passing attacks last year and Kirk Cousins came out solid last game. The Jets have a propensity to become a funnel defense away from home, but the defense played physical last game as it's looking to build depth. The Redskins want to run the ball and their focus will be on that, with an occasional shot from Cousins. If the Redskins secondary can do their part (they were surprisingly good down the stretch) This game will stay UNDER. However 39 for a full game is really low, so my suggested plays would be to tease the Total up 6 points and take 9.5 - 10 points with the the Jets. Why? Geno Smith is hungry to lock up the backup job and will get it done, running if he needs to. TEASER: JETS +9.5 & UNDER 45 MIA @ DAL -This game just has all the feelings of a shootout to me. Gase will not put up with a stagnant offense, everyone's job is up for grabs at this point in the season. Arian Foster will see a series or two and the dolphins website has suggested that the first team offense will see extended playing time. Miami will also be rotating defensive lineman to find some good rotational players. Dallas's O-Line will be playing at a Championship level to keep Tony Romo unscathed on his way to a feel good TD early on. Like I mentioned casually last week, Dak Prescott is a Poised QB and certainly showed it. He'll get extended playing time again today and I expect production, even if it's not at the same level of efficiency as last week. OVER 41 here ARI @ SD -Another game that has the feel of a shootout. Both offenses looking to flex against injury-depleted or non-tackling defenses. The first team offenses could produce upwards towards 20+ points today. What worries me is the Chargers desire to run the ball and the potential complete game-manager style of play we should see from Matt Barkley and Jake Coker as they battle it out for the 3 spot on the Cards Roster. I do like the Mike Bercovici narrative, playing effectively at ASU, the Cardinals fans should support him as well. I think SD needs this win as a feel-good for their fan base. SD -1. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	4	August 19, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need to keep 4 of 6 for fantasy. Help !! in NFL Betting Saints just got a couple new weapons in Fleener, Michael Thomas, possibly anquan boldin, worth monitoring the last one because that could seriously erode Cook's PPR value. DT caught over 100 passes last season, that won't change a whole ton when him and Sanders run the show. View Post \| View Thread	gio66	6	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The Countdown - NFL Team Preview and Record Predictions in NFL Betting Scheduling has not been pleasant for the Eagles, I can see the team being a 3-win team or less. Looking at their schedule I only see one game they could be a favorite in right now and that's the browns at home in week 1. The Chargers lost a lot of 1 possession games last year, with a healthy O-line and a deep threat in Travis Benjamin, I see Rivers having a career year and winning a few shootouts to bring them to at least 6 wins. View Post \| View Thread	canuck10	43	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 1: Panthers vs Broncos - Who Will Win? in NFL Betting Comeon guys, as a long time broncos fan the real line here is.... Mark Sanchez O/U .5 butt fumbles Kubiak will be extremely conservative even though the panthers are a funnel defense this year, Kubiak is a stubborn rock who will not ruin his fresh QBs in week 1. Panthers also stay conservative and pound the rock for fear of a super bowl repeat. The thin air in mile high should have the panthers gassed late and I see the broncos edging it out, but my bet will be on the UNDER. View Post \| View Thread	Digitalkarma	36	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NBA Summer League Finals in NBA Betting $$$$ Play: Bulls - 4.5 I've been following the NBA summer league casually and I like the Bulls -4.5 at 9pm EST over the Minnesota Timber wolves. The biggest problem teams have the summer league is playing selfish basketball. The Bulls were down 10 to the Cavs in the semifinals doing exactly this. After a stirring half time speech, you saw the bulls dominate on the boards, play better teams ball and cover the spread. I see a similar result tonight with the bulls likely never falling behind in the game. Minnesota was the 24th ranked summer league team and the bulls were the 1st. The Bulls size and athleticism give them the rare combination similar to that of OKC who probably should have won the ship in retrospect. Tyus Jones also went OFF in the semifinals and injured his wrist which will undoubtedly be sore on 24 hours' rest. This is definitely more of a speculative $$$$ play but I feel very confident about it. Record: 29-15 'ish I was on USCholmey's $$$$ thread followed by Bubba's and am making a cameo here. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	2	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Summer League in NBA Betting View Post \| View Thread	Str8CashHomie1	3	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Future Bet - Let's talk about the Seattle Seahawks in NFL Betting just a head up, been checking out russell wilson's workout videos, he looks slow and overweight, the man did indeed get married this off season so that would make sense. Tough he has an excellent work ethic, he finally gets laid... might be a distraction. Also, Seattle has some series running back issues to figure out, Rawls say's he's healthy, they team has acted otherwise. Seattle struggled mightily last year before rawls burst onto the scene, proceed with caution, there are better futures totals out there. SD OVER 7, NYJ UNDER 8 View Post \| View Thread	UnderlinePicks	10	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to need 4 more members for fantasy football in NFL Betting put me in coach View Post \| View Thread	User592150	13	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to TNF Phins/Ravens in NFL Betting This is the NFL... Adam Gase is a competitive man, Matt Moore has a chip on his shoulder from not being named the starter. 34, 34, and 14 were the team point totals last year in Moore's starts. There's no way the Dolphins don't care about this game. It's their job to try and win. I see the Dolphins putting up points, but their secondary is a damn seive, if the Baltimore line can hold up against the Miami defensive front, Flacco should be able to out score the Dolphins. OVER 37.5 View Post \| View Thread	PhillyBrown	11	October 26, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Longtime Capper at Bubba's Picks, OG $$$$$ USC_Holmey Thread member in Website Promotions TNF Miami Dolphins (+3, 37.5) @ Baltimore Ravens 830PM EST Matt Moore is starting this game at QB for the injured Jay Cutler. This should shift Miami's offense plan to more of a traditional run-first, play action style offense similar to the one that they implemented last year after Ryan Tannehill's season ended. In those 3 games, the Dolphins hung 34 points on the road at the Bills and the Jets while putting up 14 at home against the patriots. In all likely hood this game will flow through Jay Ajayi running the ball with some play action deep shots to kenny stills and possible devante parker and underneath to julius thomas. The return of Brandon Williams DT for the Baltimore Ravens was supposed to help in the run game for the Ravens and solidify the defense, but the Vikings managed 5 yards per carry to the tune of 160 total yards rushing and a TD against the Ravens. Looking at the Ravens injury report, there are 11 names questionable tonight. The starting safeties and the backup are questionable but practiced in full and should play, and two starting linebackers are in the same position. I expect the ravens to have most of their defensive pieces on play tonight, but at less than 100% after a very physical game at the vikings. Miami's Defense has been bad this year and with two defensive linemen questionable after limited practice this week, it won't get much better. As a result I think Joe Flacco will have some extra time in the pocket to throw the ball. Mike Wallace will likely not play, but the ravens will get Jeremy Maclin and Breshad Perriman back for this game, injecting some life into their offense. In summary, both offense should be able to move the ball against weak/banged up defenses. and the OVER is in play. Given this is a Thursday Night game and supposed to be ugly, I've opted to a greater margin of safety. Teaser (7 Points) : MIA +10 & OVER 30.5 I also like the OVER 37.5 which I think will hit much easier if there is a defensive touchdown (+240). If I had to pick a side, I'd take MIA +3, but given the state of Miami's defense and the returning weapons for Joe Flacco, I can see a Ravens 4-7 Point win. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	6	October 26, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Longtime Capper at Bubba's Picks, OG $$$$$ USC_Holmey Thread member in Website Promotions Ajayi has a bad knee not ankle... backup is david fales, pretty much the same type of QB as David fales. If you bet or don't bet based on hypotheticals or injury predictions, you're a fish View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	6	October 24, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Secret ingredient to tonight's mnf potato skins vs American eagles in NFL Betting Brosuf still crushing it from the $$$$ USC_HolmeyThread days, good looks, I cashed on a teaser Eagles and the OVER, was too puss to play the straight lines, good for you champ View Post \| View Thread	nfl_brosuf	12	October 24, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Longtime Capper at Bubba's Picks, OG $$$$$ USC_Holmey Thread member in Website Promotions MIA (+3, 37.5) @ BAL Waiting for this line to get beat down a bit more by sharps. I doubt it will get through the key number of 37, but if it does. I'm all over it. The only reason Jay Cutler is still QB of the Dolphins is Adam Gase attempting to save face as a coach swaying the GM's decision to get Cutler. now that cutler has cracked ribs and can't smoke cigs like the POS that he is, we should see the real Dolphins Offense that Matt Moore went 2-1 last year, averaging 27.3 Pts/game in. Now, let's take a little bit of salt here because that was away against the Jets and the Bills which were atrocious defenses last year and they only scored 14 at the patriots in the playoffs, but this Baltimore Defense has had problems stopping the run and the deep pass all year long. They did get DT Brandon Williams back which was supposed to help in the run game, but they allowed Latavius Murray to rip off an explosive run TD. A Case Keenum led offense with no Diggs scored 24 on them! Matt Moore is good at 2 things, handing the ball off to Jay Ajayi, and throwing the deep ball to Kenny Stills. Kenny stills should see a favorable matchup, at least speed wise against Brandon Carr or Marlon Humphrey. Implied Box score is 20-17 the Ravens. Considering the Ravens scores 16 away on a much, much better vikings defense that the Dolphins (who just allowed 28 to the jets). I see the ravens easily scoring 20+ at home. Which leaves us with the Dolphins need to score 17+ on the road. Lets give Jay Ajayi some positive touchdown regression for 1 score. Kenny Stills or devante parker on the deep ball for another score, and a field goal, we have the over easily. Keep an eye on the injury status of Devante parker, but if he's a good and this line goes to 37 or lower, we've got a sneaky OVER play. 66% capper or better (I only count my high conviction $$$$LOCK$$$$ plays), google Bubba's picks for the evidence. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	6	October 24, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Survivor Help in NFL Betting League: 12 out of 44 remaining My Picks: PHI(vsCLE), CAR(vsSF), MIA(vsCLE), JAX(vsIND), IND(vsCHI), ARI(vsSF), CIN(vsCLE) [in that order] Weeks 8 and 9 are always tough with teams on the bye, so I'm thinking of staying safe and going with NE -6.5 @ BUF. LeSean at less than 100%, no Sammy Watkins, Brady's back. Marcell Dareus is returning and maybe wanted to save the Pats for later. Other teams I'm considering this week: DEN, CIN(if no norman) View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	3	October 26, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting Don't bet on the browns unless they're playing against a terrible pash rush.... Par_Laid signing off... till next time View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 11, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting I definitely see the regression/fade spot, but I'm following the trend as I don't see cleveland having improved from last year. Wentz definitely loses the QB battle, but we saw what Andrew Luck looked like last year with a terrible offensive line (Luck and RG3 went 1,2 in the 2012 draft). I see the whole right side of Cleveland's line as a burden and it could cause the offense to sputter like in the preseason. Similarly, Philly's defense looked really good in the preseason when their first unit was on the field, in preseason weak 3, the eagles only allowed 3 points in the first half. I just don't see how cleveland wins this game by running the ball, their best bet is a couple long bombs from RG3 to pryor or coleman, both very young, raw receivers... View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting @Achilles I actually tailed your post from another thread and that's how I found sac's thread, much appreciated brother View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting That's actually my post from another forum, so just looking for a good discussion View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *Sac's NFL Week 1* in NFL Betting $$$$ PHI -4 VS CLE 9/11 1PM EST $$$$ Line Movement: Opened -6.5, since moved to -4 and -3.5 some places due to Bradford trade & concerns over Lane Johnson's suspension. Keep an eye out on NFL news today regarding the suspension, more than likely he'll be able to play Sunday but if he can't the line will get even juicer (I think -6 is fair without Lane). Overview: Philadelphia should dominate the trenches on offense and defense, they're better and more experienced. At the skill positions, I'll give a slight edge to RG3, but PHI has the better backs and wide receivers, TE is a push. Philly wins the DEF and special teams match up in a landslide. The browns kept all 14 draft picks on their 53-man roster.... there will be a learning curve. Philly will Dominate the Battle of the Trenches - The Browns offensive line is Joe Thomas and everyone else. Cameron Erving does a good job at center and Joel Bitonio can hold his own between those two, but the right side of the line is a huge ??? On defense, Brandon Graham should occupy Joe Thomas while Flecher Cox and Connor Barwin maul the rest of the line. The Philly crowd is wild and should unsettle the Browns lineman from the start. On Philly's side, we have Jason Peters, Jason Kelce and Lane Johnson, all of whom earned positive grades from PFF last year. Brent Celek at TE also happens to be an excellent blocker and with a rookie QB expect them to play a lot of 11 (two-TE) personnel to keep him safe. It gets better though, The Browns are starting two rookies in Emmanuel Ogbah and Joe Schobert at OLB. The only person on the DL of CLE that concerns me is NT Danny Shelton who is a wildly unpredictable player. But the Eagles will like run outside more because of the scheme, which leads us to... Scheme Favors Philly - Hue Jackson was successful in Cincy, he also had an array of pro bowlers which he does not have in CLE. Even then, he was a ground and pound and deep shots kind of offense. That's exactly what we saw in the preseason and I expect more of the same on Sunday. This plays right into Philly's defense. The Eagles are stout up front and at the safety position, but can be chopped up by the short to intermediate passing game. With no Julian Edelman to support that game, the Patriots were utterly dominated by this defense in week 12 last year as 14 point favorites... Corey Coleman could inspire some semblance of an intermediate passing game, but I'll take experience over a rookie any day. Pryor ruined the surprise in preseason, his deep threat ability will be accounted for. Gary Barnidge could do some damage in the endzone... IF they get there, but that's a big if. On the other side of the ball, I don't think Carson Wentz is particularly good, but the West Coast offense that Doug Pederson runs won't ask Wentz to make throws down the field. The short to intermediate passing game will test the rookie OLBs of the browns. Wentz won't be asked to do much more than throw the ball sideways and occasionally a crossing route. Expect the eagles to hand the ball off from a variety of different looks and take the pressure off Wentz. - I see the angle you're getting at Sac, but here's my write-up on the game would love some feedback. I think Philly wins in the trenches according to PFF grades View Post \| View Thread	undermysac	47	September 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Par_Laid's NFL Preseason Week 2 FRIDAY 8/19 in NFL Betting Those of you that know me from Bubba's this is a re-post. For the Covers guys, I took a leave of absence after NBA ended but I'm back. Sizzling 10-1-2 through the first couple days of NFL preseason, let's stay hot and get that $$$$ View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	4	August 19, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Par_Laid's NFL Preseason Week 2 FRIDAY 8/19 in NFL Betting Afternoon Leans for Preseason Week 2 Friday 8/19 NYJ @ WAS -I really like @Pandemiic's angle on the 1st half under 21. To add, the Redskins touted one of the most diverse passing attacks last year and Kirk Cousins came out solid last game. The Jets have a propensity to become a funnel defense away from home, but the defense played physical last game as it's looking to build depth. The Redskins want to run the ball and their focus will be on that, with an occasional shot from Cousins. If the Redskins secondary can do their part (they were surprisingly good down the stretch) This game will stay UNDER. However 39 for a full game is really low, so my suggested plays would be to tease the Total up 6 points and take 9.5 - 10 points with the the Jets. Why? Geno Smith is hungry to lock up the backup job and will get it done, running if he needs to. TEASER: JETS +9.5 & UNDER 45 MIA @ DAL -This game just has all the feelings of a shootout to me. Gase will not put up with a stagnant offense, everyone's job is up for grabs at this point in the season. Arian Foster will see a series or two and the dolphins website has suggested that the first team offense will see extended playing time. Miami will also be rotating defensive lineman to find some good rotational players. Dallas's O-Line will be playing at a Championship level to keep Tony Romo unscathed on his way to a feel good TD early on. Like I mentioned casually last week, Dak Prescott is a Poised QB and certainly showed it. He'll get extended playing time again today and I expect production, even if it's not at the same level of efficiency as last week. OVER 41 here ARI @ SD -Another game that has the feel of a shootout. Both offenses looking to flex against injury-depleted or non-tackling defenses. The first team offenses could produce upwards towards 20+ points today. What worries me is the Chargers desire to run the ball and the potential complete game-manager style of play we should see from Matt Barkley and Jake Coker as they battle it out for the 3 spot on the Cards Roster. I do like the Mike Bercovici narrative, playing effectively at ASU, the Cardinals fans should support him as well. I think SD needs this win as a feel-good for their fan base. SD -1. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	4	August 19, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need to keep 4 of 6 for fantasy. Help !! in NFL Betting Saints just got a couple new weapons in Fleener, Michael Thomas, possibly anquan boldin, worth monitoring the last one because that could seriously erode Cook's PPR value. DT caught over 100 passes last season, that won't change a whole ton when him and Sanders run the show. View Post \| View Thread	gio66	6	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The Countdown - NFL Team Preview and Record Predictions in NFL Betting Scheduling has not been pleasant for the Eagles, I can see the team being a 3-win team or less. Looking at their schedule I only see one game they could be a favorite in right now and that's the browns at home in week 1. The Chargers lost a lot of 1 possession games last year, with a healthy O-line and a deep threat in Travis Benjamin, I see Rivers having a career year and winning a few shootouts to bring them to at least 6 wins. View Post \| View Thread	canuck10	43	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 1: Panthers vs Broncos - Who Will Win? in NFL Betting Comeon guys, as a long time broncos fan the real line here is.... Mark Sanchez O/U .5 butt fumbles Kubiak will be extremely conservative even though the panthers are a funnel defense this year, Kubiak is a stubborn rock who will not ruin his fresh QBs in week 1. Panthers also stay conservative and pound the rock for fear of a super bowl repeat. The thin air in mile high should have the panthers gassed late and I see the broncos edging it out, but my bet will be on the UNDER. View Post \| View Thread	Digitalkarma	36	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NBA Summer League Finals in NBA Betting $$$$ Play: Bulls - 4.5 I've been following the NBA summer league casually and I like the Bulls -4.5 at 9pm EST over the Minnesota Timber wolves. The biggest problem teams have the summer league is playing selfish basketball. The Bulls were down 10 to the Cavs in the semifinals doing exactly this. After a stirring half time speech, you saw the bulls dominate on the boards, play better teams ball and cover the spread. I see a similar result tonight with the bulls likely never falling behind in the game. Minnesota was the 24th ranked summer league team and the bulls were the 1st. The Bulls size and athleticism give them the rare combination similar to that of OKC who probably should have won the ship in retrospect. Tyus Jones also went OFF in the semifinals and injured his wrist which will undoubtedly be sore on 24 hours' rest. This is definitely more of a speculative $$$$ play but I feel very confident about it. Record: 29-15 'ish I was on USCholmey's $$$$ thread followed by Bubba's and am making a cameo here. View Post \| View Thread	Par_Laid	2	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Summer League in NBA Betting View Post \| View Thread	Str8CashHomie1	3	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Future Bet - Let's talk about the Seattle Seahawks in NFL Betting just a head up, been checking out russell wilson's workout videos, he looks slow and overweight, the man did indeed get married this off season so that would make sense. Tough he has an excellent work ethic, he finally gets laid... might be a distraction. Also, Seattle has some series running back issues to figure out, Rawls say's he's healthy, they team has acted otherwise. Seattle struggled mightily last year before rawls burst onto the scene, proceed with caution, there are better futures totals out there. SD OVER 7, NYJ UNDER 8 View Post \| View Thread	UnderlinePicks	10	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to need 4 more members for fantasy football in NFL Betting put me in coach View Post \| View Thread	User592150	13	July 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread

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