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Great start ! Took a lot of time off the clock. |
Rolexsports | 19 |
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Thanks guys ! not true @ Grind |
Rolexsports | 19 |
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My money my choice all star. |
Rolexsports | 19 |
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Thanks guys ! Let’s go !! |
Rolexsports | 19 |
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Sorry spread + 9.5 |
Rolexsports | 19 |
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Same side Homie ! Let’s go!! |
umgmu | 16 |
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It’s been fun this year in CFB. The teams that deserve to be here are here. This game will be much closer than the odds makers set this line at though. Both these teams rank in the top 3 defensively, and they both can score. OSU on offense EPA ( run ) is @ + 0.09 , OSU EPA ( pass ) is @ + 0.29. ND’s pass EPA is @ + 0.10 , their run EPA is @ +0.21. So you see, ND scores most of their pts in the run game and OSU in the passing game. ND’s secondary LB’s are a top 1 to 3 units overall defensively so , OSU’s explosive plays tonight will be few and far between. OSU’s defense is very stout up front ( again top 1 to 3 nationally) so ND’s rushing offense won’t gain as many yards as they have been gaining all season long. But, when you dissect this game, like I have. You find out that ND’s D line grades a lot better that OSU’s O line. OSU’s O line grades @ LT 70.9 , LG 56.4 , C 57.1 , RG 57.2 and RT 64.4. All of ND’s front line grade over a 70.1 rating, that’s going to be the difference here tonight. Al Golden is a genius on the defensive side of the ball, and I don’t use that term lightly or often. My numbers have OSU winning but , by no more than- 5.25625 pts. ND and OSU played last year. The score was 17 / 13. ND is 14 - 0 - 1 in a revenge game. Found this out: Favs in the national title game of 5 pts or more are 5 - 11 ATS since 1999. Also bettors are 4-1 ATS L5 title games when the line went the opposite direction of opening lines. This line opened @ - 9.5 with the majority of bets & money are on OSU ( public both ways ) line went all the way down to- 8. SOS favors OSU but, not by much. OSU is probably around 1st or 2nd nationally. ND is around anywhere from 6th to 9th. ND is also 10-0 ATS L10 games. Vegas is off on this line . I’m on ND 3,750/3,000 ( buy - 125 ) GL as usual. |
Rolexsports | 19 |
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replied to
***Macwesties * Mon. Jan. 20, 2025 * NCAAF * CFP-National Championship * College Football Play***
in College Football Good luck Mac ! Same for me as well… |
Macwestie1 | 35 |
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replied to
***Macwesties * Sun. Jan. 19, 2024 * NFL * NFC * AFC Divisional Rd. * Football Plays***
in NFL Betting Happy Sunday Funday Mac Attack! My main man !!! Let’s get Philly… |
Macwestie1 | 47 |
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@64 ok ok let’s go man |
Rolexsports | 17 |
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PublicJoe
Vinjay… Let’s go.. |
Rolexsports | 17 |
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@ Newkid… that’s a big if … |
Rolexsports | 17 |
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Thanks guys ! Think we win convincingly and the defense to bottle up the Rams offense. Let’s go !! |
Rolexsports | 17 |
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Had a decent day yesterday, winning 1,750. Detroit was overrated all year long as we can see. This is why the Rams traded Goff and picked up Stafford. We won with Houston and the Bull Dogs so we’re good from yesterday. This game is all about the line movement for me. The overall wagers for this game is almost even depending on where you look. Around 53% for the Eagles in bets taken. But the money is mostly on the Eagles. They’re taking in around 67% to 68% of the cash. Sharps are pounding the Eagles @ this point. Line opened @ - 5.5 or - 6 , depending on the book. Line has jumped to - 7 now. Smart money are on the Eagles. It’s going to be 30 something degrees in Philly. 7 to 10 MPH, and a wind gust up to 20 MPH. This sets up nicely for Philly @ home. Philly has the # 1 ranked defense in the league and the best rushing game because, of Hurts and of course Barkley. The overall team performance has Philly ranked as the best team in the league @ a + 0.22 pts, LA is @ a - 0.04 not good. The only thing LA backers have going for them is the Rams have had a tougher SOS. But as you can see from yesterday. Detroit had a way tougher SOS than the Commanders and we saw how that turned out. Philly’s overall defense performance is @ a - 16.2 %. LA’s is @ a + 4.4 %. The heavier the minus is the better the defense. No comparison at all there. Philly’s overall weighted defense is @ a - 22.3 %, Rams + 3.1 %. Even a worse disparity for LA here. Another company I pay has Philly @ + 4.7 on the overall performance in coaching, defense, offense and special teams @ a + 4.7, Rams + 0.6. Big gap again. Philly’s Net EPA/Play + 0.21 ( 3rd league wide ) Rams - 0.02 ( 17th ) league wide. Another huge gap. Another site I pay every month like clock work have the Eagles dominating in offense as well ( every where ) Going huge here win or lose. I’m up roughly around 15 g’s in the last few weeks so I can afford it. Eagles - 7 3,300 / 3,000. win or lose GL covers fam. Really think we win convincingly though . |
Rolexsports | 17 |
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Hard to cap the unknown BB. I feel you bud… |
begginerboy | 9 |
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@ Guy.. Lil luck never hurts … |
Rolexsports | 23 |
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@ Van. You post anything today, I couldn’t find you buddy. |
Rolexsports | 23 |
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Thanks guys ! That safety was our deserving winner . Special teams almost cost us the cover. @ PKay. Bad weather here. I’ll watch from home. You going ? |
Rolexsports | 23 |
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Nice hit Fuse … |
Fuse | 31 |
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Thanks guys … Love that analysis Digital… lets go !!! |
Rolexsports | 11 |
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