Rolexsports

All good points you made Yana. Hard for me to wager a couple hundred a game. Believe me, I’ve had no choice but to limit my amount Ms this season because of the inconsistency but, to bet 1 or 2 hundred a game is not in my DNA. I’ve for the most part been successful in wagering but, the NFL is not even close to being the same anymore. MLB pitch counts. NBA “ game management “. lol right. Between my wife and myself we bring in more than most people world wide but, who don’t love a little extra here and there especially bringing it in for something you’re passionate about. Last year I pretty much financed our vacation to Turks and Caicos off profits from wagering. Going to put a little bit more time in my capping , which I’m already spending multiple hours a week as it is. I’ll be up by march madness, will just keep grinding away. 

You can’t ! Had the Bears yesterday. Should’ve covered but, how do you have two fumbles in the first quarter by the same player. Your team is looking good, you’re up. Looking like a good cover for you. The coach of the team you took goes for it on 4th and 4 from mid field instead of punting, your team doesn’t execute, the opponent takes over from mid field, drives it in for 7. Now you go from probably a cover to not. Ive also never seen so many personal fowl calls in my life. You can’t talk and trash anymore, you can barely lay a pinky on the opposing player, you’re in a skirmish with before the ref, throws the flag and your opponent gets an additional 15 yards, and guess what, you don’t cover because of it. You also can’t cap , false starts and holding calls. You can a lil bit, but not really. These players today are so undisciplined, it’s ridiculous. Wide out , who’ve been playing football since they were 5 & 6 years old don’t line up on the ball because of a lack of discipline and poor coaching and there’s another flag. This has been the worse season I can remember. At least betting baseball, you know what teams have trash bull pens before you place your bets. I see most of all the better cappers this year are having a hard time as well. I think Van and Wize are having a decent season but, people like Oldwise, Van , my man MacWestie including myself can’t get a hold on it this year. Even in CFB, normally Wahoo kills it every year, don’t think he’s as efficient this year though. Does anyone get the feeling that , once the US made betting legal, it’s gotten harder to win ? 

Let’s go JJ !! 

Let’s hope not Hockey ! 

Gl Jars ! Good to see you…

@docterd597

 No problem gl…

Happy Holidays covers family!! Been a wild season this year so far. Normally by now, I’m wagering any where between 2 and 4 dimes per play. I don’t play many games. Last year some of my plays were a lot more than 4 dimes because I was up so much. Okay. The Detroit lions are extremely banged up on defense especially. The last time these two teams played in Detroit, Detroit got man handled in the second half and barely won @ home. Lions won by 3. Like I’ve said, I pay multiple companies for their info on sports data. The Bears have a 56.5% chance to cover this spread today, while playing @ home in extreme cold weather against a done team with a QB that’s use to either playing in great weather or in a dome during his career. The Bills went to Detroit last week and man handled Detroit in their own stadium. “ Let down factor “ here. Lions haven’t covered in almost a month. The Bears only allow 19 points per game @ home and they want revenge here. Now this is my favorite stat on today’s game. Both of these teams pace of play rank very low on offense possessions per game. The Lions average only 63.2 plays per game when away and the Bears only average 62.7 plays per game. Which means this will be a very methodical and slow game with minimal pts scored. IE; the Dog + 7 looks ideal especially in this weather today. Division dogs getting 7 or more pts @ home this year are 10-4 ( 71% ). 1150/1000 GL and Happy holidays!!

You as well Jars ! 

What you on today Key is what I meant ? 

Key ??????

You as well Blackwater!

Beautiful harbor Ravens !! This view is absolutely stunningly beautiful! Good luck to us all ! Detroit let’s go !!

Good luck as well guys ..

Happy Thanksgiving covers family. Up here in Baltimore staying at the four seasons for turkey day. Beautiful hotel first time staying here. Getting mixed data on this game. This is a division game and sometimes division games play out the way they should. So this cover has less variance to cover than I would like but, after it’s all said and done, Detroit should win by @ least 14.925 based on my calculations. My other data points have Detroit by - 10.5 . Another data point have Detroit by + 11.4 % coverage rate on this particular scenario. Another data point have Detroit covering this number 50.3 % in a game like todays game . Similar games throughout the years have Chicago negative variance @ 50.7% in covering today. Detroit is 16 - 3 ATS coming off a double digit win since 2018. Rookie QB’s are 52-80-4 ATS ( 39.4% ) since 2015. Home teams are 12-3 ATS on Thursdays after winning @ least their last four games. QB completion rate. Detroit is @ a 72.96 % , where as Chicago is only @ 62.47 %. This next stat is what sold Detroit for me. * Detroit on defense is only allowing 0.276 pts per play, where Chicago allows 0.334 pts per play. This stat tells me that Detroit will get a few more stops than Chicago, which will lead to more scores for Detroit. I’m not sold totally on giving up this many points but, I really think Detroit covers today or I wouldn’t bet them. Detroit- 9.5 - 115 345/300 GL ladies and gents. Happy Holidays and GL 

Happy Thanksgiving Mac Attack !! My main man !! Have a great day today man and keep doing you …. ??

No problem 22. Have a good night man. Bedtime for me now . Chat later . Happy Thanksgiving ?? to all. Probably have a play tomorrow in the NFL. 

Good to see you too Daynight. Good defensive game tonight. My kind of game …Gotem!!

187 people always say sports are rigged. They used to be maybe back when the mob was strong, not so much these days though. Gotta pick your spots. 

22 good to see you man … a close cover huh

A barely win is still a win. ?

The Mavs have always had much stronger defensive metrics when the ultimate ball hog isn’t in the line up. He’s always been a defensive liability. 

I’m seeing it a little to Anon but, mostly always the home team try’s their best to compete in the first half when it’s a mismatch. OKC should dominate the second half.