TheBuddah

An economy often grows the faster goods and services change hands (paying for these things - not stealing:) That's why having better roads, internet and other structural improvements are often a great thing.

When people get fired or a factory shuts down - often it is viewed as efficiency as it should be as business folks have looked at their sales or potential growth and determined this aint working we gotta move on.   However, in the government sector - you must look at things as well and make a case for hiring or firing - when things are looking bleak - you have a Reduction In Force option it allows the agency's leadership to fire folks and make the necessary changes to ensure the job/mission can still get done.   When you just fire away you have missteps i.e., nuclear waste employees getting axed.  People needed to process social security payments, etc etc.   

Also, these firings impacts the number of taxpayers, taxes and potential growth of an economy as well.   

When people just do things and you ask why and their answer is Because or Because I can - but really don't have a solid reason why - it ultimately creates uncertainty - unfortunately, no matter what side of the aisle you are on - we can all agree it causes anxiety - not sure to buy or sell - that's where I beleive we are today.   Add in Tariffs that are enacted or even threatened to a degree, can all impact goods and services changing hands faster.   

 I'm surprised the Dow didn't drop a bunch earlier in the week.    Trying to keep hope alive.

Baseball is simply the best.   My favorite sport to bet.    Why - I'm a numbers guy and there's numerous different angles you can come up with an apply to first 5 and game bets.    Winning money is great, however, part of it's the analyzation you do and the win becomes very gratifying from an ego stand point as well as financially. 

There are patterns where the worst pitcher on paper has a negative rating but are favored like 145 or higher and history has shown they win it on the run line repeatedly.  Or a pitcher on paper looks like the worst ever but for the First 5 innings - they somehow pitch like an Allstar and get the under first 5.   

It's simply Beautiful :)     Have a great season all    

I think we all want efficiency in government.   When you throw a bomb at something your left with rubble ( I believe General Milley said that ) .   

It takes effort to win at sports betting or running the government efficiently.  Unless effort is put forth before simply a stroke of the pen it’s going to be a bunch of rubble unfortunately in my opinion.  

As Jessie Jackson said Keep hope alive :)

@vankiep_0007

 Thanks and back at ya bud

@don juan

 BOL to ya

Kc opened at -1.5 currently around 1, over and under opened at 46.5 currently 48.5.   I've looked at the last 9 superbowls and asked myself some questions, here they are:

- 1.5 KC    11 14 8 18 6 20

46.6 Phi    2 29 10 1 1 30       

 1.  Does having the best rushing attack when a SB?   Out of the last 9 if a team had the best rushing rank - they won 1 SB - Phil ranked 4 and they beat NE.   All the other 8 teams lost.   Today's game  11 vs2  - based on the data above - would indicate take KC    

2.  Does having the best Passing Rank-win the SB?   5 Teams who had a better Passing rank in the SB  lost while 4 won - based on this game 29 vs 14 - slight edge to Phi.   

3. The team with the best Def rushing rank - win the SB?  7 out of the 9 - won the SB - KC 8 vs 10 for Phi - means take KC  

4.Having the best Def Passing rank win the SB ?    6 teams with the best passing rank out of 9 won the SB - Phi 1 vs Kc 18 - means take PHI  

5.  Jeff Sagarin provides ranks as well as schedule strength for NFL teams - Does the bestter rank team win the SB - 5 better ranked teams won and 4 better rank teams lost.   Today we have Phi ranked 1 and KC ranked 6 - slight edge for Phi.   

6. Does a better Sched strength win a SB?   6  teams with a better sched strength won and 3 lost - KC ranks 20 Phi ranks 30 - slight edge to KC  

7.  Do favs typically win the SB - 3 games were PK so I didn't include 4 teams were dogs and won and 2 teams were fav and won.    I use madduxsports opening lines. - Slight edge to Phi as they are the Dog.   

Data points 1 and 3 stand out.    My playoff posted plays have been terrible this year.    Based on the data - my conclusion - if you really wanna double your money - fold it up and stick it in your pocket:)   I try to find patterns with the opening lines and scenarios - in this game I have no glaring angles to go by.   Enjoy the game !!!!

Good Luck all

@Fuse

@docterd597

 Thanks guys and back at ya

@Rolexsports

 bol bud

Went 1-2 last week - playoff posted record is 2-5.  Let's look at some numbers:

    Wash  3 17 30 3 7 25

-5  Phil   2 29 10 1 4 26     

Line opened at -5 currently -6.  Over under opened at 48 currently 47 - 46.5.    Wash is better in Off passing at 17 vs 29  and sched strength at 25 vs 26.   Phil is better in rushing off at 2 vs 3; rushing def 10 vs 30; passing def 1 vs 3 and sagarin rank 4 vs 7.    I also looked at post season ranks -and it reflects the same, however, some of the numbers are closer vs the regular season data above.   Basically - the pattern is the same.    

I compared the scenario above with playoff data - i had 2 situations that had the same scenario but different lines - one was when Tenn vs baltimore - Tenn was a 9.5 dog and they pulled the upset 28-12.   The numbers in that game reflect close to the game we have today.   The other game was when Phil played NO - NO took it 14-20, NO opened as a 7.5 fav.    

I also looked at Regular season data and it's mixed.   My plays:

1.  Wash +6   

2. Teaser Wash +12  to Buff +7.5 -120    

3. small parlay  Wash ML +200 to Under 47

Good luck all  

@insatiable

 Thanks bud and back at ya.

@Fuse

 Thanks and back at ya bud

I'm 1-3 on my Nfl posted playoff picks so may want to fade:)   Let's look at some numbers:

45.5  LAR  24 10 22 20 7 5  

-4.5  Phil   2 29 10 1 4 30   

Phil opened at 4.5, currently around 6.5 -7.     Phil is better in Off rushing 2 vs 24;  Rushing def 10 vs 22; passing def 1 vs 20   sagarin rank 4 vs 7 .   

Rams on the otherhand are better Passing off at 10 vs 29 and sched strength at 5 vs 30.   

I'm trying to do an apples to apples comparison - so I look at playoff data from previous years looking for a situation where the opening line is -4.5  and the categories above are similar and I alos look at regular season data as well.    In this case there was a Playoff game that met the criteria - Phil played the Bears a few years ago and philly pulled it out 16-15  as the away team.    I also looked at regular season data and there was additional games supporting taking the away team.    

I get it - the weather etc - Stafford plays inside etc.    I'm going with my numbers.   

In the Raven game Baltimore is better in all 5 categories except  def passing.    Bills opened up at 1 and the line switched to -1 for Baltimore.   Often when you see a line of 1 for the home team - the away team takes it.    My plays:

1. Rams Eagles under 43 

2. Rams +7 

3. Ravens -1   

Good luck all 

@7272

 Agree Completely.    If you are going to be successful betting you need to put a lot of work in - break things down, have a reason why A team beats B team etc.  Just looking at lines, trying to figure out what the public is doing, etc. doesn't often give you the results CONSISTENTLY that you are looking for.   It takes a lot of time and effort

@GriLo  

I don't have a problem with a few things you said but I do have an issue with  "In fact, I will go further, the money won in betting, theft, is the same thing, it is cursed money that did not come from the fruit of your work and is charged double from you later. Do not spend 1 dollar that is not the fruit of your work" 

Either way bol to you

@FelixFermin21

 Thanks bud and back at ya

@insatiable

 Thanks bud back at ya

Went 1-1 yesterday - let's see if we can do better today.   Let's look at some numbers:

           Gby     5 12 7 13 5 10
-3.5   Philly     2 29 10 1 3 31

Line opened at -3.5 currently  -5.5  .    Gby is better in passing off at 12 vs 29; rushing def at 7 vs 10 and sagarin sched strength at 10 vs 31.  Philadelphia is better in rushing off at 2 vs 5; passing def 1 vs 13 and sagarin rank at 3 vs 5.  

One thing in the playoffs we often over look is schedule strength - both teams that had the better sched strength - prevailed yesterday.    It's not a sure thing - wish it was but many times teams with weaker schedules get exposed in the playoffs.    

Looking at games that have an opening line of 3.5 and comparing it to history data indicates take the away team as they can keep it close as well as possibly take it su. 

In the Washington TB game  - Wash has the worst sched strength in the league at 32 while TB is at 28.    However, based on the team defenses of both teams - theirs a pattern I follow and in this case as much as I'd like to see Washington get it done (Live in the area) - I think TB takes it.   

My Plays today:

1.  Gby +5

2. TB -3 

Good luck all  

@Fuse

I don’t keep  track of players but hope they hit for ya bud 

@Macwestie1

 Nice hit Mac

@andyv19

 I've learned nothing is a lock until the fat lady sings.   Thanks bud and back at ya.

@docterd597

 Back at ya bud

@7out

  Thanks and back at ya bud.

@Fuse

 Thanks and back at ya bud.

@RavensOsNHoes

 I follow numbers and patterns.  

@bigred84

 Hopefully Lamar and the Ravens come thru