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Quote Originally Posted by daviddaman24:
I like FSU yes, and I wouldn't say that i'm back. Still not sure i'll be posting any plays, but just browsing the board this morning saw all the garbage. Had to say something. U like anything else tonight? I was leaning Cinci |
woopdurritis | 36 |
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woopdurritis | 36 |
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Quote Originally Posted by daviddaman24:
There is not one bit of actual on court analysis of any kind, anywhere in this entire thread. Everything said here by all posters is complete crap. Revenge this, pissed them off that, fighting for a number 1 seed, never lose twice to the same team, each teams record ATS in last 5 games. For the love of god none of that means anything folks. Look at actual on the court match up's and how each team plays. Can Duke's half court offense get it done against FSU's incredible half court defense. Are Duke's big men good enough to handle the FSU big men inside? Will the Duke guards actually be able to penetrate and kick out to open shooters for 3's?
Those of you betting on Duke tonight are likely headed for a mass slaughtering, and all b/c you don't know what the hell to look for when betting a game.
Glad to see you back on here, I'm assuming you are pounding FSU? Makes me feel even better about my pick. FSU +2.5 |
woopdurritis | 36 |
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The stars are aligned for a much-needed win by the Longhorns 2nite. Factors that stick out 1. Revenge game 2. Texas needs the win for the Tourney 3. Texas off an embarrasing road loss 4. Baylor off a deflating home loss and now on the road to play rival Also this falls into my system plays. Ranked road teams catching pts against unranked opponents=Fade! Texas -2 4U |
TBadour1 | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jbkizzle:
I disagree. Teasers make it real easy to win at the NFL. Not sure on NCAAB, but teasers aren't all bad. Don't generalize I love 10 pt teasers in the NFL and did pretty well last year. I think its always better to pick single games tho, especially in basketball where 4-5 pts dont generally make a difference. In football, 7-10 pts can make a HUGE difference. |
TBadour1 | 13 |
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replied to
Been an "observer" with Covers for a while now, gonna try a give back and pick a winner a day.....
in College Basketball Teased Wash St with Arizona St so got the win, how did you do Shab? |
shababa | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheEDouble:
Didnt see you posting these "real easy" teaser winners in the NFL forum last year. I don't see you posting anything meaningful or helpful EDouble...just chyming in on other peoples threads I see. The last thread you started was about boinking Madonna, great work Sir! |
TBadour1 | 13 |
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Thats cool, I knew Wash St would be close to the 3 but was 100% they could cover the 7. Sometimes teasers are suitable, like I said, don't play them alot but in this case it meant a win so kiss my ass |
TBadour1 | 13 |
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Guess no tailers...2 bad, $$$
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TBadour1 | 13 |
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replied to
Been an "observer" with Covers for a while now, gonna try a give back and pick a winner a day.....
in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by shababa:
I see so many people give their analysis on games, and yes it helps people with their picks, but I'm not trying to write an essay on why I think Wash St. wins this game. I'm a numbers guy and I understand that staats are very relevant to particular matchups, but in the end the game is not played on paper. I look for situational spots and try to read what side Vegas is wanting you to take..... I've been pretty successful in gambling the past ten years and just want to "try" and help others out on this forum as the many of you have helped me. I'm hoping my record speaks for itself in the future. Good Luck to you and Me as this is my first pick posted..... I am with you on this...just gotta take what Vegas gives you and try to be on the right side. I'm guessing you were on the Lobos last night as well? Clemson and LSU two nights ago? |
shababa | 22 |
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Don't normally post but been red hot so figured start throwing out my plays. Won last night with New Mexico, UNC and Tenn for any1 that cares. Just 1 play today and I don't normally do teasers but want the insurance especially on Wash St which should come down to the wire. Wash St +7/Zona St +17.5-4pt tease 2U No analysis just based on the lines/line movement etc. I try not to overthink things, just go with what Vegas gives me. GL |
TBadour1 | 13 |
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replied to
Been an "observer" with Covers for a while now, gonna try a give back and pick a winner a day.....
in College Basketball
I am with you but if that line climbs any higher I'm bailing
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shababa | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:
Georgia Tech went from PK to -1.5 yesterday and lost outright. For every game that moves a few points and covers, there is another game that moves a few points and doesn't cover.
GL
That was a good spot for GTech so I can understand the line movement there. This game is different in my opinion. The line in should have been more like FSU by 7.5 and now moving to 10 is begging for VT $$$. FSU dominates |
nropp11 | 61 |
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Damn good luck David. Might have to open a twitter account just to tail you...
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daviddaman24 | 19 |
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Good analysis, I would agree with you that Vtech should keep it fairly close but the line movement is screaming FSU blowout. Thought it was high at 8.5 and now 10, avoid |
nropp11 | 61 |
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Read my system in the post above and maybe you will start winning some $. Good luck next time
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PGAromes82 | 77 |
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My pt was that Vegas knows the public loves Top25 teams and these suckers will bet 50% of their bankroll when they see a line "thats to good to be true". Good luck man!
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PGAromes82 | 77 |
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Give me the Lobos at a pick...I don't know shit about either of these teams but I know where to bet based on this line. Whenever a top 25 team isn't favored against an unranked team by more than 2 pts, take the unranked team. Even better when that top 25 team is the underdog. For example Clemson and LSU last night...doesn't always hit but has worked well for me this season.
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PGAromes82 | 77 |
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Tread carefully, if it's too good to be true it probably is... |
PGAromes82 | 77 |
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I was on the right side with Kansa so I am not complaining with the outcome just thought it was odd. Dix- If you were pointshaving would you suck it up the entire game and make it obvious? The fact is some players get paid to sway outcomes and if you don't understand that then maybe you shouldn't be gambling douchebag
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TBadour1 | 7 |
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