WiseGuys-R-Us

WiseGuys-R-Us
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replied to Jackets @ Hokies
in College Football
Since you are attending, can you give us an accurate description of the weather leading up to kickoff, Bib23?
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bibendi23 54
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replied to Anyone with a link to cincy?
in MLB Betting
MLB.tv it is indeed free for the first week.

Can't imagine anyone betting MLB daily doesn't have this package. Best $125 ever spent. Extremely convenient from your phone or TV.
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waltertaylor24 5
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replied to Thursday's Picks - 3 Plays on The Card
in MLB Betting
One of the constant threads worth a view. GL this season. #Respect
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LasVegasLord 79
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replied to Three For Thursday... Bookies, get that sheep skin condom ready!!
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by BigKnocks:

I've done excellent in pre-season and regular season the last two years... won two tonight, going to start posting my plays. 

2-0 Regular Season, undocumented (I know, doesn't mean di*k, if not posted)

Cardinals first to 3 runs 
Cardinals over 3 runs 

Thursday....
Tigers -140
Blue Jays -118
Phillies -1/12 +100 

Tigers keep the titty balls rolling
I see the Blue Jays putting up some offensive #'s tomorrow against  the lowly Indians and their starter, Masturbation
Phillies win by double digits in a low total game 




A) It's "spring training."
B) You are correct nobody around here cares about what goes un-posted. The "two excellent" season go un-posted as well as the two games from last night?
C) Just by the "type of plays" you have today I will give it 6 weeks before you are no longer posting baseball plays.

Just post, winners do the talking. No need for the intro pitch of irrelevant things.

GL






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BigKnocks 9
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replied to ODU Star arrested in warmups!
in College Basketball
Quote Originally Posted by RexR:

Was there a jump in the spread or ML before tip-off?


YES! Two of the sharper shops in Cris and the Greek held 7.5/8 for most of the day and closed 7 just minutes before tip. Those are very big adjustments to a non-public side at books that do not adjust for just anybody.
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GameHunter 20
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replied to November Hoops
in College Basketball
Strictly from a wins standpoint, what would be a few sleeper teams (potentially smaller conferences and not as well known) that could rack up a lot of W's this season in your estimation.
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nropp11 521
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replied to Michigan vs Michigan State OVER 47.5 (BIG)
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by gpappas31:

Rival game, could end up being a shootout. Line dropped from 49 over night.

Give me a reason why I shouldn't pound this



It can only go one of two ways, but my guess is you could find a weather report and you'll likely shit yourself prior to losing this wager.
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gpappas31 25
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replied to Week 7 Money ** ~New Thread~ **
in College Football
Card is shaping up nicely, do yourself a favor and look at the hangover affect teams have the week after playing the Crimson Tide. The beating typically lingers the following week do to the physicality of the prior week.
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WahooS 162
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replied to TCU -6 to -3 - Don't Be Stupid, TCU wil win
in College Football
"Stupid," would be thinking the game actually opened -6. Week one lines were available the first week of August. This line dropped nearly a full touchdown.

When you hear the fire truck coming, typically there is fire nearby
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saintdaddy 46
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replied to UFC Live On Versus 5 Plays (+83.15 Units YTD)
in Mixed Martial Arts
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:

YTD Record:
Overall: 67-52-1, +83.15 units 
UFC: 55-45-1, +51.25 units 
Strikeforce: 12-7, +31.90 units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 
 
I normally wait until after the weighins to lock in on my plays, but I have had this one circled for a while, and I am starting to see the line move against me on this one, so I am going to act now.
 
1.  Dan Hardy (Even) over Chris Lytle.  Risking 5 units to win 5 units.
 
I will add more plays once I have seen the weighins, which take place on Saturday.
 
BOL to everyone with your plays!!!
 
As an FYI, I also have a rare Strikeforce Challengers Play for Friday night, so check out that thread for the play, if you are interested...


Sharps liked Hardy a lot, they almost pulled trigger. Some serious weight concerns there. Barely made weight, had a really hard time cutting for this fight. 
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MR219 61
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replied to Sarah J. Phillips: ***$25.00 Bets Extravaganza***
in MLB Betting
I really don't post often, and when I do it typically serves a purpose. It may not for you, but for others it will.

Did you use covers best available line when making your selections? Charting every book and watching it by the minute for 24-hours is what I do. Teams act as stocks and the ticker goes by the second. Texas wasn't available at -127 for over 20 hours now. It hasn't been lower than -132 since 5am eastern time.

Yes, I know you live on the west coast and you locked these in last night before bed at midnight, right? Post a readily available line, these positions are meaningless with .30 cent moves.

Understand this isn't any reflection of your skills, or being a hater, but simply looking out for those who are going to tail and say "Ahhhh, F-it. I'll bet Texas anyways."

In fact, it's actually leading the herd of sheep to the slaughter house when the actual sharps who hit these at the lines you dreamed about getting are going to be scalping back the opposing side.
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SarahJPhilli 93
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replied to SJP's MLB Roundtable (Thursday---July 21st, 2011)
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

61-43 (+$10270)

Updated Thursday Plays:
  • Florida Marlins ML ($755/$500)
  • New York Yankees ML ($675/$500)
  •  Cardinals/Mets Under 8.5 ($500/$500)


SJP


Be careful, Over is 10-1-1 in the last 12 Gerry Davis games.
 
Westbrook allowing righties to hit .339 off him in over 200 AB's this season. Mets have 7 in the lineup today.
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SarahJPhilli 479
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replied to SJP's MLB Roundtable **World Cup $unday** USA! USA! USA!
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



I do too, and Royals.


Not sure what you have in store for the rest of the day, and I hate to tempt you with the first one, but these are actual TRUE positions from my sharps. Dbacks, Astros, Under Pirates/Astros, Marlins, Yankees, and Royals.

GL with your card
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SarahJPhilli 302
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replied to SJP's *MLB Roundtable* (SATURDAY---July 16th, 2011)
in MLB Betting
Sarah, what percentage of your bankroll are you risking per wager? I typically found most of my players that are lower risk (less wagers per day) are in the 3% range. I would imagine with 9 wagers (and counting) you are more of a 1% per wager type player?

Very impressive bankroll

The average online wager is $18


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SarahJPhilli 352
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replied to John Murray v Kevin Mitchell
in Boxing
  Never mind, I figured it out.
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Mack05 13
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replied to John Murray v Kevin Mitchell
in Boxing
Mack, I also have Murray for large money. My largest wager of the day. GL

Appreciate the link, is there anyway to get the K&N air filter out of the damn way, though?
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Mack05 13
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replied to SJP's *MLB Roundtable* (SATURDAY---July 16th, 2011)
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

. . . but I really don't like that the Marlins have gone from +130 to now -101 without anything really changing on the Cubs.

Based on principle, I can't bet on Florida.


Based on my line feeds +130 was NEVER available. I wouldn't gauge line moves based on your local, or the covers match up page.

There are only 4-5 books actually making lines, the rest just follow (including myself). Accurate lines comes from the Pinnacles, BetCris, 5Dimes, and The Hilton in Vegas. Sometimes The M will get a wild hair up their ass. These are on a daily basis, you sometimes will get exceptions like the Golden Nugget who likes to break College Football first, but day in and day out your line setters are the 4 or 5 I mentioned first. Those books never opened the Marlins more than +115.

Sharps have been backing Vasquez for a few starts now, and today is no different. Two teams going in opposite directions with totally different mind sets. A starter coming of the DL, and a bullpen with some leaks in it after the last 2 days are the angles being played. Based on my book in Florida, I get Marlins action all day long, so I had to turn down the sharps who wanted them as well.

GL today
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SarahJPhilli 352
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replied to **SJP's Winner's Circle** (Saturday---July 9th, 2011)
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

Hello, hello!

Currently, I've lost the last four picks dropping to 37-26-1 for +15.7 Units-ish. I'll get the exact number in a minute.

Building Saturday's Card:
  • New York Yankees ML (-115)
I like the games to be spread out for the day like they typically are on Wednesday & Saturday. If I lose on Yankees, I'll call it a day. If I win, then I have some other picks that I like.

Have a great play? Post it! I need them. :)

Thanks to everyone who supports this thread and the daily MLB grind. I appreciate discussing the games with you.

SJP


Tough to play that first game, most sharps liked over due to elements, but Kulpa has a monster strike zone that appears to grow as the game goes on. Yankees lineup looks anemic today from the 5, 6, 7 hole. Tex will need to carry the load, but he's just 3 for 22 lifetime against Price + he'll be flipped around to the right side. With this line growing to +110, you'd have to look towards the 28-18 road team with its Ace on the mound looking to tighten the division race before the break.
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SarahJPhilli 307
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replied to There's a good chance Cliff Lee will come back to earth today in Toronto
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by bangboy:



Parlay25.00250.00Mobile - Baseball - 906 Toronto Blue Jays +161 for Game
  Baseball - 923 Los Angeles Dodgers +124 for Game
  Baseball - 929 Florida Marlins +177 for Game


I knew it, doyers were goin to   me AGAIN 


You fucked yourself by accepting this wager. I would love to book your action. We all have some gamble to us, and no matter what anybody says we've all made the action-junkie parlay, but your payout isn't remotely close to what it should be. You should have been paid in the $375-380 range on that parlay to begin with.
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MrBator 446
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replied to Line Movements
in Mixed Martial Arts
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

Ive been looking at the lines quite a bit over the last couple days and Cruz line has steadily increased, at my book pinnacle it opened around -120 to now it is over -179 (gradually increased each day), Silva opened around -163 but just in the past 24 hours it has gone up to -179. Bader went from around -470 to now around -577..  Not sure about the other fights but i was mainly looking at those 3 and the Kim vs Condit fight which barely moved, kim moved from around -118 to now -121

So everyone and their mom are betting cruz, i got him at -120 then added more at -148.  I also bet on Kim.   Hopefully the public is right on these matches, and yes it would be the public because max bet for MMA is very small to other sports so sharps wont be raising the lines very much like they can do in the other pro sports like NBA and especially NFL..

 



I won't get in to a long debate, but you couldn't be further from the actual truth. Books respect wiseguys and sharps no matter what their risk amount is. Your rich uncle could come into a casino and get 250K on a game and they may move the line half a point. Meanwhile a sharp they respect walks in and can put 3-5K on the game and you will see it move 1-2 points.

Your logic sounds great, but if the book likes the line it opened with, it will take a shit ton of public money to move a fight like Cruz 60 cents on the dollar. Most of that move was respect for sharp money.
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MoneyShot 3
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