Euro 2012....

I agree

What business do you work in?

Do I get some kind of bonus for picking the under in the highest scoring game of the tournament???

Looks like my luck might have run out.  The lucky breaks that have been going in my favor seem to have run out lately....

A couple of bad ones in a row....

Tomorrow:

France +.5 +115 in 90 mins for 3 units.

Just running out of time for lineups - have a major wedding in my family this weekend and I am just not finding extra time to do writeups.....  This is the reason I didnt go to the tournament.

I will be around to discuss.  I also have a big play on England / Italy coming up - have some money out there waiting to be firmed up - but will post soon. 

GL

In 26 matches to date, only 2 Dogs have led at half-time.


In the first 13 matches, there were 5 draws.
In the last 13 matches, there have been 0 draws.


In the first 13 matches, there were 2 teams shutout.
In the last 13 matches, there have been 9 teams shutout.


In the first 13 matches, the 2nd half was the highest scoring half on 4 occasions.
In the last 13 matches, the 2nd half has been the highest scoring half on 9 occasions.


The last 6 matches have seen a total of 2 goals scored in their 1st halves, as opposed to 13 goals scored in their 2nd halves.


In the first 13 matches, the last goal was scored after the 70th min on 5 occasions.
In the last 13 matches, the last goal has been scored after the 70th min on 10 occasions.

Van how do you take France?

All kinds of negative publicity with in fighting and they get dominated by a Sweden in a game where they could have avoided Spain.  Now please dont tell me they would rather play Spain than Italy, I believe they lose to both Italy and Spain anyways.

I think Spain frustrates France early as France like to control the ball and set up plays but they will not be able to control the possession vs Spain.  They will try to counter attack at best back the lack of finishing they have showed doesnt scare me either. I love spain in this game.

France wont win in my humble opinion. Spain wont find it easy to win but surely possible. No value in a Spain win for me because I believe there is a good chance for a draw.

I am going to bet the draw and reduce my my normal stake. This one goes to penalties or Spain wins. I will put two bills on the draw and watch the game.

Spain - France   DRAW @ 3.50 for 2 units.

Good luck to all.

Those writing off France, just remember this. Only 2 teams in the history of this comp have made the final following having won the previous tournament.

Germany won it in '72, made the final (lost) in '76 (interesting, Germany also won the WC played between these Euros).

Soviet Union won it in '60, made the final (lost) in '64.

Now, the kicker? The tournmanet was only expanded to 8 teams in size (still half less than what it is now) in 1980. So, the only 2 instances ever of a Euro champ repeating a finals appearance, came when all a team had to do was win 1 match (a default semi-final) to make the final. the feat was never achieved when only 8 teams were involved, now 16 are. All this means that the odds are severely against Spain even making the final, so they're likely either slip here or slip in their semi.

Bet with history, or bet against it?