I would also add no favs even at -1 higher than -130. I would say track it but I agree with nawlins - juice is the enemy - lets treat this as a system and see how it does as well
Totally agree Degen. Lets make it an official rule for tracking purposes. Play a fave at -130 or less. If higher than -130 then make -1 on the run line. If run line is higher than -130 then the play is scratched from our card.
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Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
I would also add no favs even at -1 higher than -130. I would say track it but I agree with nawlins - juice is the enemy - lets treat this as a system and see how it does as well
Totally agree Degen. Lets make it an official rule for tracking purposes. Play a fave at -130 or less. If higher than -130 then make -1 on the run line. If run line is higher than -130 then the play is scratched from our card.
I say flat bet for now. We start getting into labby lines at this point and new folks come into this thread, we are going to darn their head up lol. For tracking purposes I say flat bet. Yeah lets track it and see how it goes. I will pop into the thread to help during the week to help you if I can. I have 2 procedures this month on my back so I may be MIA from time to time.
Flat bet it is. I'll add this to my daily posts and we shall see how it does. Good luck with the back issues.
On Degen's sugestion on the high faves even at -1, I'll track it if it's a system play regardless of juice. We can see how that works out. If it's ok with everyone, I will use the lines I get in Vegas for making the faves -1.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by nawlins51:
Dan,
I say flat bet for now. We start getting into labby lines at this point and new folks come into this thread, we are going to darn their head up lol. For tracking purposes I say flat bet. Yeah lets track it and see how it goes. I will pop into the thread to help during the week to help you if I can. I have 2 procedures this month on my back so I may be MIA from time to time.
Flat bet it is. I'll add this to my daily posts and we shall see how it does. Good luck with the back issues.
On Degen's sugestion on the high faves even at -1, I'll track it if it's a system play regardless of juice. We can see how that works out. If it's ok with everyone, I will use the lines I get in Vegas for making the faves -1.
Flat bet it is. I'll add this to my daily posts and we shall see how it does. Good luck with the back issues.
On Degen's sugestion on the high faves even at -1, I'll track it if it's a system play regardless of juice. We can see how that works out. If it's ok with everyone, I will use the lines I get in Vegas for making the faves -1.
i see no issue with vegas lines. Go for it and thanks for the wishes. I did post that calculator on page 6 of the thread if you need a handy quick tool.
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Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
Flat bet it is. I'll add this to my daily posts and we shall see how it does. Good luck with the back issues.
On Degen's sugestion on the high faves even at -1, I'll track it if it's a system play regardless of juice. We can see how that works out. If it's ok with everyone, I will use the lines I get in Vegas for making the faves -1.
i see no issue with vegas lines. Go for it and thanks for the wishes. I did post that calculator on page 6 of the thread if you need a handy quick tool.
Ok, with the added filters and systems added I will track all 4 on a flat betting system starting now. New systems added at the top of the plays below.
Saturday 5/4 system plays:
Dog EFF Score
Sea 123
Bal 137
Pitt 129
Fave -1 EFF Score
Cincy +118
KC -102
Det -158
TB -105
AZ 118
SF 120
Dog EFF
Balt 137, 2 units
Oak 100, 2 units
Bos 122, 2 units
Sea 123, 2 units
SD 112, 2 units
System Plays
Balt 137
Oak 100
Bos 122
Sea 123
SD 112
Cubs 108
ChiSox 132
Mets 120
Colo 118
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Ok, with the added filters and systems added I will track all 4 on a flat betting system starting now. New systems added at the top of the plays below.
Totally agree Degen. Lets make it an official rule for tracking purposes. Play a fave at -130 or less. If higher than -130 then make -1 on the run line. If run line is higher than -130 then the play is scratched from our card.
Based on this rules, I need to revise the Fave EFF Score system plays. All plays are using the -1 unless noted:
Fave EFF Score
Cincy +118
KC -102
Det -158 (No play, too high juice)
TB -130 ML
AZ -125 ML
SF 120
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by nawlins51:
Totally agree Degen. Lets make it an official rule for tracking purposes. Play a fave at -130 or less. If higher than -130 then make -1 on the run line. If run line is higher than -130 then the play is scratched from our card.
Based on this rules, I need to revise the Fave EFF Score system plays. All plays are using the -1 unless noted:
Looking at the scores from both Dogs and Faves , there are teams who are just bad bets on both sides meaning they have negative numbers as Dogs and Faves. Just crap teams who will take your money.
Cubs(they got my cash today..Pieces of crap)
Astros
Angels
Dodgers
Marlins
Padres
Blue jays
Nationals
When you bet these teams as of now and win, it is pure luck. Example, I bet the Cubs today. Not the smartest bet. Look at Nats win today. Complete luck. Playing these teams like I did today is asking for trouble. A lot of cappers will say pick your spots carefully, well good luck giving up that cash in the long run. Like I said, let these teams show us they are good bets.
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Looking at the scores from both Dogs and Faves , there are teams who are just bad bets on both sides meaning they have negative numbers as Dogs and Faves. Just crap teams who will take your money.
Cubs(they got my cash today..Pieces of crap)
Astros
Angels
Dodgers
Marlins
Padres
Blue jays
Nationals
When you bet these teams as of now and win, it is pure luck. Example, I bet the Cubs today. Not the smartest bet. Look at Nats win today. Complete luck. Playing these teams like I did today is asking for trouble. A lot of cappers will say pick your spots carefully, well good luck giving up that cash in the long run. Like I said, let these teams show us they are good bets.
outstanding results! [Miami +170 WIN] [BOS/TEX UNDER-8 WIN] the system is producing consistency in O/U play....vg work all the way around> DG,Danrules24,Nawlins51,
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outstanding results! [Miami +170 WIN] [BOS/TEX UNDER-8 WIN] the system is producing consistency in O/U play....vg work all the way around> DG,Danrules24,Nawlins51,
outstanding results! [Miami +170 WIN] [BOS/TEX UNDER-8 WIN] the system is producing consistency in O/U play....vg work all the way around> DG,Danrules24,Nawlins51,
Thanks Sports Network - much appreciated.
You should start a thread....you have such a vast knowledge of sports handicapping - I myself have learned a geat deal from you, and strive to learn more every day. You inspire me to help others. Knoweledge is power, and should be shared with those who have the drive and the desire to learn.
I thought your Sabermetrics thread was very insightful and pointed me in a direction that I never thought about - so I appreciate it.
You should start that up again - i'm sure others will appreciate your handicapping insights and knowledge - just as I have.
If you need anything let me know - as always Best of Luck to you and well wishes to you and your family.
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
outstanding results! [Miami +170 WIN] [BOS/TEX UNDER-8 WIN] the system is producing consistency in O/U play....vg work all the way around> DG,Danrules24,Nawlins51,
Thanks Sports Network - much appreciated.
You should start a thread....you have such a vast knowledge of sports handicapping - I myself have learned a geat deal from you, and strive to learn more every day. You inspire me to help others. Knoweledge is power, and should be shared with those who have the drive and the desire to learn.
I thought your Sabermetrics thread was very insightful and pointed me in a direction that I never thought about - so I appreciate it.
You should start that up again - i'm sure others will appreciate your handicapping insights and knowledge - just as I have.
If you need anything let me know - as always Best of Luck to you and well wishes to you and your family.
You should start a thread....you have such a vast knowledge of sports handicapping - I myself have learned a geat deal from you, and strive to learn more every day. You inspire me to help others. Knoweledge is power, and should be shared with those who have the drive and the desire to learn.
I thought your Sabermetrics thread was very insightful and pointed me in a direction that I never thought about - so I appreciate it.
You should start that up again - i'm sure others will appreciate your handicapping insights and knowledge - just as I have.
If you need anything let me know - as always Best of Luck to you and well wishes to you and your family.
+1
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
Thanks Sports Network - much appreciated.
You should start a thread....you have such a vast knowledge of sports handicapping - I myself have learned a geat deal from you, and strive to learn more every day. You inspire me to help others. Knoweledge is power, and should be shared with those who have the drive and the desire to learn.
I thought your Sabermetrics thread was very insightful and pointed me in a direction that I never thought about - so I appreciate it.
You should start that up again - i'm sure others will appreciate your handicapping insights and knowledge - just as I have.
If you need anything let me know - as always Best of Luck to you and well wishes to you and your family.
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