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New YPPT Method

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Prospect
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Posted: #301
Bring it!  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #302
Great job roughshod31!!!!
 
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Posted: #303
 
Prospect
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Posted: #304
even Moneyking is waiting and he doesn't wait for just anyone!
 
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Posted: #305

10/18/09

NFL Projections New Method

The New Method Measures True Efficiency vs. Expected Efficiency. (This is still in its infancy testing wise.)

Kansas City 27     170 (R)  219 (P)  389 TYDS  13.6 YPPT

Washington 10     81 (R)   222 (P)   303 TYDS  35.4 YPPT


Houston   10        49 (R)    200 (P)   249 TYDS   15.2 YPPT

Cincinnati  35     150 (R)    233 (P)   383 TYDS   11.45 YPPT


Cleveland  17     99 (R)      184 (P)  283 TYDS    15.0 YPPT

Pittsburgh   14    95 (R)       184 (P)  279 TYDS     23.0 YPPT


Baltimore  35    109 (R)    262 (P)    371 TYDS     10.05 YPPT

Minnesota  20     61 (R)     153 (P)    214 TYDS     11.56 YPPT


St. Louis   16      224 (R)    362 (P)   586 TYDS     34.9 YPPT

Jacksonville 14   110 (R)    196 (P)   307 TYDS     25.6 YPPT


NY GIants  16      83 (R)    170 (P)     253 TYDS     14.7 YPPT

New Orleans  41  140 (R)   141 (P)    281 TYDS      7.2 YPPT

Hope to be back with last 2 1:00PMers.

GL

   


 
Veteran
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Posted: #306
Are you serious???
 
Prospect
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Posted: #307

Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnut:

Are you serious???

No, he's Roughshod

 
Prospect
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Posted: #308
Great work Roughshod!

Good luck to all today!

Alot of these go along with my way, the only eye opening one to me is the CLE v PITT game - no way the Steelers lose, I think they cover all day too.

Took a Rams Chiefs to win parlay for the hell of it, longshot - I know, but you never know....
 
Prospect
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Posted: #309
 
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Posted: #310

New Method

Game Projection

Carolina    17      156  (R)   235 (P)   391 TYDS   20.4 YPPT

Tampa Bay  16     136 (R)   175 (P)   312 TYDS   21.9 YPPT

I will not finish last early game until just after kickoff.

GL


 
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Posted: #311

New Method

Game Projection

Detroit    41       149 (R)  313 (P)  462 TYDS    10.9 YPPT

Green Bay 24     81 (R)   198  (P)  279 TYDS    12.8 YPPT

I know its a reach , but this is what the formula projects.

GL

 
Veteran
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Posted: #312
Those are some wild calls. 17-14 Cleveland? Seriously how does any system say that?
 
Captain
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Posted: #313
 
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Posted: #314

NY GIants  16      83 (R)    170 (P)     253 TYDS     14.7 YPPT

New Orleans  41  140 (R)   141 (P)    281 TYDS      7.2 YPPT...



 
Prospect
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Posted: #315
afternoon games?
 
Rookie
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Posted: #316

Right now I have 1 more to calculate.

Be back soon.

 
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Posted: #317
 
All-Star
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Posted: #318
It predicted a few games very well and a few ballsy picks weren't near coming in Keep em coming
 
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Posted: #319

4:00 PM EST Projections

Philadelphia  24   132(R)  214 (P)   346 TYDS  12.9 YPPT

Oakland         14     81 (R) 99 (P)  179 TYDS     14.3 YPPT


Arizona   14        57 (R)   269 (P)  327 TYDS     18.9 YPPT

Seattle    24        89 (R)   304 (P)   393 TYDS     16.6 YPPT


Buffalo   13        123 (R)  167 (P)  291 TYDS    21.5 YPPT

NY JETS 21         167 (R)  141 (P)  308 TYDS   16.4 YPPT


Tennessee    20   145 (R)  281 (P)  426 TYDS   21.3 YPPT

New England 24   83  (R)  319 (P)  402 TYDS    18.0 YPPT

GL

Will post late game later.


 
Prospect
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Posted: #320
what are the picks for today?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #321
i dont see how oakland can score........
 
Prospect
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Posted: #322
Hey Roughshod!!!!    According to the Lines I got from my Bookie......your ORIGINAL METHOD went 7 for 8 in the 1pm games. Your NEW METHOD went 5 for 8. the only game you missed was the Cincy Game!!!
 
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Posted: #323
Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

I've completed the table/formula in Excel so I can just highlight info from Statfox and put it in Excel for Sunday's games.

I'm going to go even a step further and also select Sagarin's ratings and have Excel read SOS as well. The only thing I need is to write the name of team in question, and Excel finds info and match everything and calculates infomation. (I ain't looking for SOS stats one-by-one if I don't have to)

(These are the results based on the owner's thread sample of Boise State/Tulsa. This is using statfox stats. If you get something different, you did something wrong....lol)

I am decreasing decimal so it shows whole number. (20 instead of 20.13, etc)

Kansas City 20
Washington 12

Houston 12
Cincinnati 40

Cleveland 13
Pittsburgh 19

Baltimore 28
Minnesota 24

St Louis 9
Jacksonville 23

NY Giants 16
New Orleans 42 (this is the one I did by hand confirming formula I am using for all calculations is correct)

Carolina 20
Tampa Bay 15

Detroit 27
Green Bay 35

Philadelphia 24
Oakland 13

Arizona 17
Seattle 23

Buffalo 11
NY Jets 24

Tennessee 14
New England 30

Chicago 18
Atlanta 22

Denver 23
San Diego 11


5-3-0 so far (including Kansas City upset over Redskins)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #324
night pick?

i'm leaning ATL & over.. big
 
 
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Posted: #325
roughshod31 what's your last play for the day?
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