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NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus 3

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Posted: #51
Yeah, I think I'm going to take the PL and if they win and don't cover, I'll end my chase.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

\
Montreal
Florida  +127
 
Eli what do you think of the florida pick?


Very tough call man, honestly this would be a no play for me but the only factor that I like from this pick is the nice dog value we can get from it. Really hoping you can close this out but that would mean Montreal will have lost 4 consecutive games on the road. We're expecting the Stanley Cup up here in Montreal haha

Marnypoly, ar eyou referring to the -1.5 PL or the regulation line?

Does anyone have a feeling that San Jose might lose at least one game at home? Their record is outstanding but we all know upsets can happen, especially in the NHL. Fading them at home might make the most sense financially at this point. How bout that for a crazy idea hehe?

 
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Posted: #53
I am playing Colorado -150 in the 2nd home game of 5 after the allstar break.
 
 
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Posted: #54
The point line. My local doesn't do regulation.

I'd love to fade SJ but these guys are just too good at home. I've been burned a few times with them this year.
 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by Joediggy:

I am playing Colorado -150 in the 2nd home game of 5 after the allstar break.
 


Good point . Colorado showed a decent effort against the Sharks so I'm expecting a win soon enough.
 
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Posted: #56
Colorado is a play for me tonight and so is juicy San Jose.  It's only juice if you lose!  :)
 
The Canucks are killing me!  I went to bed when it was 3-1 and woke up to hear a 5-3 score, wtf. 
 
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Posted: #57
-300, wow!  I may bet to win $100 in regulation and then bet $20 on the game to go to overtime +400 (which would win $80).  That way if the game does go into OT it's almost a push.  Shit, I don't know.
 
I may just eat it and bet $300 to win $100. 
 
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Posted: #58
Wager has been accepted!
Ticket Number: *************
 
  Wager type : Straight Bet(s)

  Select #1  : NHL Hockey (New York Islanders at Atlanta Thrashers)
               New York Islanders/Atlanta Thrashers  1/29/2009 7:05 PM - (EST)  
               Total Points OVER 5½ -135 for Game   
               Risking 40.50   To Win 30.00  USD  
  Select #2  : NHL Hockey (Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche)
               Colorado Avalanche  1/29/2009 9:35 PM - (EST)  
               Money Line -155 for Game   
               Risking 122.30   To Win 78.90  USD  
  Select #3  : NHL Hockey (Phoenix Coyotes at San Jose Sharks)
               San Jose (1st 60 min)  1/29/2009 10:35 PM - (EST)  
               Spread -½ -176 for Game   
               Risking 176.00   To Win 100.00  USD
 
I need a drink to relax now! 
 
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Posted: #59
Hey Seahawk , what book are you using? Hope you can hit that over in Atlanta.

BOL to all and NO overtime tonight .
 
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Posted: #60
That Atl/NYI is obviously a play of my own (Thrashers over chase, which has done amazingly well).
 
Anyway, I just placed a $17 parlay on Toronto & Phoenix to make sure my night isn't a disaster ($17 to win $122.82). 
 
F-ing Canucks! 
 
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Posted: #61
Eli, I am using 5dimes.  Unfortunately I can't use the reduced lines because I have a $50 cap on those due to a 20% bonus I accepted ($300 once I meet the 5x rollover).  And yeah, NO OT in the Sharks game please! 
 
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Posted: #62
I just wanted to thank Eli and ExperCapper for showing us this system. I started it about a month ago and was only burned once when Vancouver lost 3 in a row before the break.  However, I have adjusted it to THIS season's standings as of 2 weeks ago just before the break.  Vancouver is now a FADE team and they have been for a while now ever since Luongo went out.
 
Sure he is back, but they are still not very good.   I had Nashville +160 last night and it was a nice winner! Series done.   I still may bet against them just because they are a bad team, but then again they may win a game before the Black Hawks beat them, so I will just wait for the Chicago game to bet against them.
Good luck to everyone out there.  I am going with St Louis and Chicago tonight as my straight plays.
 
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Posted: #63
I am taking Montreal tonight, I have decided
Jan 29

Montreal -124
Florida                 hope this is the right call guys
 
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Posted: #64

Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:

Hope you can hit that over in Atlanta.

Thanks man!  The Thrashers over chase has been EASY money this season.  Just wait for one under and hop on (it's never went to a 4th play and usually only takes 1 or 2). 

Let's go Avs & Sharks (in regulation)!!!

 
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Posted: #65
Hejduk's disallowed goal (which would've been a hat trick for him and tied the game at 5), was the worst call I've seen in a long time.  WOW that was BS! 
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

Hejduk's disallowed goal (which would've been a hat trick for him and tied the game at 5), was the worst call I've seen in a long time.  WOW that was BS! 


WTF . That was a f*cking horrible call. And now Toronto is gonna run away with it.

Congrats on the hit with the over seahawk. Sharks are playing some decent hockey so looks like we might have a decent night afterall.

Tough break with Florida expert. Always a risk involved in changing parameters to a system when it's currently ongoing. An important lesson that needs to be respected.
 
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Posted: #67
Nice hit on the atl over seahawk.Did you also say stl was a play using that system?  As far as atlanta,now we pass on their next game and  wait for an under and then bang the next game OVER......right?   I have been doing well on all nyr and minn unders.Minn usually goes out at 5,but i'll but a half goal and make it under 5.5
 
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Posted: #68
Damn, was that luck. Empty netter to cover the RL.
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:


Jan 29

Phoenix
SJose play the puck line -0.5 in reguation        (nice)


Montreal  -124            ( Montreal pathetic these days )
Florida  
Eli what do you think of the florida pick?     IT WAS GREAT



So that Florida loss add another series loss to the system but we all know this one could have been avoided rather easily and was really a question of bad timing than anything else.

Horrible call in Colorado. What else can be said.

And, how bout them Sharks . How thoughtful of them to score an empty netter for all the puck line chasers !  Nice hit Marnypol
 
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Posted: #70
Haha i had the PL in that game, when they hit two posts on the empty net i thought for sure they weren't gonna get one.
 
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Posted: #71
yeah add another loss to the system because of handicapping, so for now on ALL games will be  played according to rules(WILL NOT BREAK THEM)
Fade the bottom 8 teams from last year
I do not think we are chasing here are we and no games today.
If i am missing anything please speak up

 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by collectNOW:

Nice hit on the atl over seahawk.Did you also say stl was a play using that system?  As far as atlanta,now we pass on their next game and  wait for an under and then bang the next game OVER......right?   I have been doing well on all nyr and minn unders.Minn usually goes out at 5,but i'll but a half goal and make it under 5.5

Nice job on NYR & Minnesota CollectNOW, I usually have to do the same thing with Atlanta (buy it down to 5.5).  Yeah, now I wait on an under involving the Thrashers and hop back on the over chase for them.  Toronto looks valuable in this as well (as are the Blues).

Sharks really came through last night, that was awesome (great game for Nabokov)!  Tomorrow night has some serious potential (good or bad).  I have to recoup $135 on Vancouver and $151 on Colorado. 

Win or lose on these teams I will avoid playing them the rest of the season.  I didn't even have them on my post all-star spreadsheet, but I got greedy.  I really never fathomed Vancouver could tank so badly at home (worst EVER in franchise history). 

 
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Posted: #73
Since I'm already up, I'm gong to chase EDM in these next 3 home games. They're due!
 
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Posted: #74
Where is everyone? I'm going to do a side bet on calg total team over 3.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Nice play on Edmonton Marny!  You talked me into a play on them too (I took their team total over 2.5 for a small $30 play).  I also took the Calgary regulation line which is dicey right now. 
 
Hope you hit that Flames over CollectNOW! 
 
Tomorrow night will be a nail-biter for me (trying to recoup those Canuck & Avalanche losses + having a Montreal game 1 play).  Drinking time indeed!
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