Braves vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

After blowing a 4-0 lead yesterday, the Atlanta Braves turn to Reynaldo Lopez to keep the Phillies bats silent, and our MLB expert believes his stuff is good enough to do so. Find out more below!

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Aug 30, 2024 • 14:48 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Reynaldo Lopez Atlanta Braves MLB
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If the Atlanta Braves want to make up some ground on the Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East race, they'll need a better showing from their pitching staff after blowing a 4-0 lead yesterday. 

Reynaldo Lopez will be tasked with keeping the Phillies bats at bay, and he's the focus of today's Braves vs. Phillies predictions. 

Find out why in my free MLB picks for Friday, August 30. 

Braves vs Phillies prediction

My best bet
Reynaldo Lopez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125 via DraftKings)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Reynaldo Lopez has stepped up in a big way this season. The 30-year-old veteran is 7-4 with a 2.02 ERA across 115.2 innings in 21 starts during his first year in Atlanta.

Lopez is having a career year and he’s been pretty consistent as well. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 18 of his 21 starts, including seven outings of zero earned runs.

The righthander has already faced off against the Philadelphia Phillies twice this season and had strong results in both starts. He’s allowed just one run on seven hits while striking out 16 and walking four in 11 innings. That includes a 10-strikeout performance in five innings 10 days ago against Philadelphia.

The Phillies' offense has been rather quiet for a while now. They broke out for 11-run efforts on Saturday and Sunday in Kansas City, but have mustered just 10 runs in their last three games.

Lopez has rarely found himself in much trouble this season and has had his way with Philadelphia’s bats. He’s also usually only throwing five or six innings which limits the chances of him wearing down and allowing late runs.

Look for Lopez to keep up his great season on Friday night in Philadelphia.

Braves vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

Reynaldo Lopez Under 2.5 earned runs

Reynaldo Lopez Over 5.5 strikeouts

Under 7.5

Lopez’s strikeout line is set at 5.5 and he’s been clearing that more often than not this season. He’s picked up 6+ Ks in 11 of 21 starts, including both outings against the Phillies.

The Braves and Phillies have played several low-scoring games this season with Thursday night’s 5-4 outcome being one of the rare Overs thus far. Look for that to come back down with two strong pitchers on the mound.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Braves vs Phillies odds

Braves vs Phillies live odds

Braves vs Phillies opening odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +110 | Philadelphia -130
  • Run line: Atlanta +1.5 (-190) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)

Braves vs Phillies moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • The Philadelphia Phillies are between -135 and -145 on the MLB odds board after opening around -135.
  • The Atlanta Braves odds also haven’t moved much since opening at +115. They’re between +115 and +120.
  • The total is set at a flat eight across the board with the Over 8 and Under 8 both being offered at -105 at different books.

Braves vs Phillies trend

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 125 games (+28.45 Units / 20% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Phillies.

Braves vs Phillies game info

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date: Friday, 8-30-2024
First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Southeast, NBSC-Philadelphia
Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez
(7-4, 2.02 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez
(11-5, 2.82 ERA)

Braves vs Phillies latest injuries

Braves vs Phillies weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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