Here are some Stone Cold MLB player props for you this Monday. Stone Cold as in Austin that is of course. I’ve found a couple of props I love for a pair of Austins taking the diamond during Monday's MLB action.
Austin Hays is one of the more unheralded members of a very good Orioles lineup, and he gets a juicy matchup against the Reds’ Brandon Williamson. Meanwhile, the evening might not be as easy for Braves third baseman Austin Riley, who will need to dig in against Twins ace Sonny Gray.
Check out my free MLB player prop picks for those players and more below. And that’s the bottom line, cause Stone Cold said so!
MLB props for June 26
- Hayes Over 1.5 total bases
- Riley Under 0.5 hits
- Detmers Over 17.5 outs
Picks made on June 26 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Prop bet #1: Throwing haymakers
The Baltimore Orioles boast seemingly an unending supply of young and dangerous hitters to put in their lineup. And with the likes of Adly Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson grabbing the headlines, a guy like Austin Hays can sometimes be overlooked.
The Orioles outfielder has been a steady presence in the middle of the lineup all season, and he's been really locked in during June. Hays is hitting .318 with an .864 OPS in 2023, and he’s bumped those numbers up to .333 and .874, respectively, in June.
Hays has cooled off a bit over the last four games, but I like his chances to get back on track Monday when the O’s host Brandon Williamson and the resurgent Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds come into this matchup with a 15-4 record over their last 19 games. However, while the team has been enjoying plenty of success recently, that really can’t be attributed to Williamson.
The left-hander is making just his eighth career start, and the early returns have been a little rough. The 25-year-old is pitching to a 6.71 expected ERA while surrendering a .290 expected batting average and a .558 expected slugging percentage to opponents. All three marks rank in the bottom 7% of the league or worse.
With Williamson giving up a lot of hard hits and taking the mound at the hitter-friendly Camden Yards, I like Hays to get a knock or two on Monday and maybe put one into the deep left-field gap. Hayes to go Over 1.5 total bases offers nice plus-money value.
Austin Hayes prop: Over 1.5 total bases (+110 at BetMGM)
Prop bet #2: Excuse me, Sonny
The Atlanta Braves are the best team in the National League for a lot of reasons. Not the least of which is that their lineup is incredibly deep, with Ronald Acuna, Ozzie Albies, and Matt Olson leading the way. The list goes on and on. But that doesn’t mean they aren’t prone to cold streaks.
Austin Riley is one of the Braves’ streakier hitters while producing plenty of peaks and valleys, and he's down in the latter right now. The Braves' third baseman is hitting .265 with a .774 OPS in 2023, but over the last 15 games that average is sitting at just .200 with a .602 OPS. And on Monday he gets a tough matchup against Minnesota Twins starter Sonny Gray.
Gray is enjoying a very solid season for the Twins, pitching to a 3.77 expected ERA while limiting opponents to a .372 expected slugging. But he’s also been dominating Riley during limited plate appearances. Riley is just 1-5 with three strikeouts during his career against Gray. That’s good for a .105 expected batting average and a .121 expected slugging.
The Twins starter will then hand the ball to a bullpen that Jhoan Duran and Brock Stewart anchor, and a unit that ranks 14th in expected FIP and 10th in strikeout rate.
Riley has gone hitless in seven of his last 15 games. It’s worth backing him to finish with another donut at the dish on Monday at +205 odds.
Austin Riley prop: Under 0.5 hits (+205 at bet365)
Prop bet #3: Dealing Detmers
Reid Detmers is in a groove. In fact, the Los Angeles Angels starter has been downright dominant. Detmers will try to keep that going when he and the Halos welcome the Chicago White Sox to town on Monday night.
The 23-year-old left-hander with the electric fastball has allowed just two earned runs on 10 hits in 18 2/3 innings over his last three starts. He's also struck out exactly eight batters in each of those three outings. And it’s not like Detmers has been going against pushovers. The southpaw has faced the Dodgers and Rangers in his last two matchups.
The White Sox may not exactly be on the same level. Chicago used to be known for mashing lefties, but not anymore. The White Sox rank 18th in batting average, 19th in OPS, and 21st in wRC+ when digging in against southpaws in 2023. Mix in the 12th-highest strikeout rate, and Detmers is primed to pitch deep into this ball game.
Detmers has been given a bit of a longer leash due to his improved play. He's faced nearly 24 batters per start over his last six appearances while throwing 95-plus pitches in five of those outings.
I’m backing Detmers to get through six innings for the third straight game.
Reid Detmers prop: Over 17.5 outs recorded (-115 at DraftKings)
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