With the NBA Finals in the books and the Stanley Cup awarded, baseball has the stage practically to itself this Wednesday. Let’s take a long look at today’s slate and reveal our three favorite MLB player props.
We’re counting on a Cleveland hurler to clear a low strikeout bar, using our Wisdom in Chicago, and looking for help from above at Angel Stadium.
MLB props for June 29
Picks made on 6/29/2022 at 12:00 pm.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best MLB prop bets
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Quantrill of Solace
Cal Quantrill doesn’t typically pile up the strikeouts, tallying four or fewer in six of his last nine starts. However, the Twins’ undisciplined lineup gives him ample opportunity to clear this low K line.
Minnesota is 22nd in the majors in strikeouts against right-handed pitching this season and has averaged 9.33 strikeouts per game in this series. Quantrill’s strikeout rate has been much higher at home than it has on the road this year, as he’s fanned 30 batters over 42 innings at Progressive Field, compared to just 18 over 30 2-3 innings everywhere else.
In 57 prior at-bats against Quantrill, the Twins have struck out 14 times, a rate of 24.6%, which greatly exceeds the righty's season average of 15.1%. Based on Minnesota’s poor strikeout rate, Quantrill would need to face just 20 batters to reach five strikeouts, and he’s averaged 24.5 batters faced per start in 2022.
Cal Quantrill Prop: Over 4.5 strikeouts (+132 at FanDuel)
Wise blood
Hunter Greene can throw the ball hard, but batters are hitting it even harder. Patrick Wisdom should add to Greene’s woes on the mound at Wrigley Field on Wednesday night.
Wisdom is in the 93rd percentile of MLB hitters in average exit velocity, and the 94th percentile in hard-hit rate. He’s been a bit unlucky to have only three homers in June considering his launch angle is 19.4 degrees, well above the MLB average of 12.1.
Greene could oblige Wisdom, as no pitcher has allowed more homers (20) than the Reds rookie in 2022, but the safer play is to back Wisdom to reach two total bases. This covers far more potential outcomes than a straight home run prop bet, like a two-hit game, or if Wisdom hits a double that misses being a round-tripper by inches.
Patrick Wisdom Prop: Over 1.5 total bases (+150 at FanDuel)
Divine intervention
White Sox vs Angels is the late game on the slate, but East Coast bettors may not have to sacrifice much sleep to watch themselves cash on a Taylor Ward run-scoring prop wager.
Ward is riding a nine-game hitting streak from the top of the Angels order, with four of those being multi-hit games. Of the 17 times he’s reached base (14 hits, three walks) in that span, he’s been driven in on eight occasions.
That 47.1% conversion rate doesn’t sound great relative to the odds on this prop, but with a struggling Michael Kopech (seven earned runs allowed in his last 11 innings) on the mound for Chicago, bettors should be willing to take the plunge.
Kopech tends to stumble out of the gate, surrendering a .204 opponent batting average the first time around the order. If Ward reaches base right away, he’ll give two of the most feared hitters in baseball in Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani an early RBI opportunity. The former boasts a 1.049 OPS in June following a solo homer on Tuesday, while the latter is fresh off a three extra-base hit game.
Taylor Ward Prop: Over 0.5 runs scored (-120 at DraftKings)
Did you know that if you played today’s MLB props as a parlay, you could win $96.33 on a $10 bet?
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