Today’s MLB Prop Picks: Touched Up By an Angel

Angels leadoff man Taylor Ward has been scorching hot as the team's primary table-setter for Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani. Backing him to score a run against struggling White Sox righty Michael Kopech is one of our favorite MLB player props tonight.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Jun 29, 2022 • 14:21 ET • 4 min read

With the NBA Finals in the books and the Stanley Cup awarded, baseball has the stage practically to itself this Wednesday. Let’s take a long look at today’s slate and reveal our three favorite MLB player props. 

We’re counting on a Cleveland hurler to clear a low strikeout bar, using our Wisdom in Chicago, and looking for help from above at Angel Stadium.

MLB props for June 29

Picks made on 6/29/2022 at 12:00 pm.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best MLB prop bets

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

Quantrill of Solace

Cal Quantrill doesn’t typically pile up the strikeouts, tallying four or fewer in six of his last nine starts. However, the Twins’ undisciplined lineup gives him ample opportunity to clear this low K line.

Minnesota is 22nd in the majors in strikeouts against right-handed pitching this season and has averaged 9.33 strikeouts per game in this series. Quantrill’s strikeout rate has been much higher at home than it has on the road this year, as he’s fanned 30 batters over 42 innings at Progressive Field, compared to just 18 over 30 2-3 innings everywhere else. 

In 57 prior at-bats against Quantrill, the Twins have struck out 14 times, a rate of 24.6%, which greatly exceeds the righty's season average of 15.1%. Based on Minnesota’s poor strikeout rate, Quantrill would need to face just 20 batters to reach five strikeouts, and he’s averaged 24.5 batters faced per start in 2022.

Cal Quantrill Prop: Over 4.5 strikeouts (+132 at FanDuel)

Wise blood

Hunter Greene can throw the ball hard, but batters are hitting it even harder. Patrick Wisdom should add to Greene’s woes on the mound at Wrigley Field on Wednesday night.

Wisdom is in the 93rd percentile of MLB hitters in average exit velocity, and the 94th percentile in hard-hit rate. He’s been a bit unlucky to have only three homers in June considering his launch angle is 19.4 degrees, well above the MLB average of 12.1. 

Greene could oblige Wisdom, as no pitcher has allowed more homers (20) than the Reds rookie in 2022, but the safer play is to back Wisdom to reach two total bases. This covers far more potential outcomes than a straight home run prop bet, like a two-hit game, or if Wisdom hits a double that misses being a round-tripper by inches.

Patrick Wisdom Prop: Over 1.5 total bases (+150 at FanDuel)

Divine intervention

White Sox vs Angels is the late game on the slate, but East Coast bettors may not have to sacrifice much sleep to watch themselves cash on a Taylor Ward run-scoring prop wager.

Ward is riding a nine-game hitting streak from the top of the Angels order, with four of those being multi-hit games. Of the 17 times he’s reached base (14 hits, three walks) in that span, he’s been driven in on eight occasions. 

That 47.1% conversion rate doesn’t sound great relative to the odds on this prop, but with a struggling Michael Kopech (seven earned runs allowed in his last 11 innings) on the mound for Chicago, bettors should be willing to take the plunge. 

Kopech tends to stumble out of the gate, surrendering a .204 opponent batting average the first time around the order. If Ward reaches base right away, he’ll give two of the most feared hitters in baseball in Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani an early RBI opportunity. The former boasts a 1.049 OPS in June following a solo homer on Tuesday, while the latter is fresh off a three extra-base hit game.

Taylor Ward Prop: Over 0.5 runs scored (-120 at DraftKings)

MLB parlay

Did you know that if you played today’s MLB props as a parlay, you could win $96.33 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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