Today’s MLB Prop Bets, Picks and Predictions: West Coast Pitcher's Duel

It might be the first football Sunday of the year but don't forget about MLB betting, with a full 15 games on the slate and thousands of MLB prop plays to consider — including a showdown between sizzling red-hot starters out on the West Coast.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 12, 2021 • 09:08 ET • 4 min read
Max Scherzer Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It might be the first football Sunday of the year but don't forget about MLB betting — with a whopping 15 baseball games on the board and thousands of MLB prop betting options to consider!

Today we fade a young pitcher against a squad of sluggers, back one of the many red-hot batters on the Blue Jays, and break down a showdown between sizzling starters on the West Coast.

Here are our best free MLB prop bets and predictions for Sunday, September 12.   

Today’s MLB props and picks

Jaime Barria hits allowed Over 4.5 (-140)

The Angels will give the ball to 25-year-old Jaime Barria this afternoon to face the Houston Astros. The right-hander has struggled this year, pitching to a 5.16 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP and an opponent batting average of .296 through 45 1-3 innings of work.

Barria has been getting rocked lately, allowing at least five hits in six consecutive starts and surrendering a whopping 38 hits in 25 2-3 innings over that span. 

He could be in for another rough start as he faces off against a loaded Astros lineup that leads the majors with a batting average of .268. Houston has been even better lately, hitting .275 over the last 30 days. Pay the juice and grab the Over on Barria's hits allowed total today. 

Teoscar Hernandez Total Bases Over 1.5 (-105)

The Blue Jays continue to mash and it isn't just Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Marcus Semien who are lighting up opposing pitchers. Teoscar Hernandez has been crushing the ball lately, slashing .350/.469/.725 with 29 total bases in 11 games this month. 

Today, Hernandez and the Jays will face off against the Orioles and rookie starter Zac Lowther. The lefty doesn't have much MLB experience and hasn't had much success in the 14 1-3 major league innings he has pitched, surrendering 16 hits and 11 earned runs. Things won't get any better for Baltimore after Lowther, with its relievers pitching to an MLB-worst 5.56 ERA.

Hernandez has also absolutely teed off on southpaws this season, posting an incredible OPS of 1.123 against left-handed pitchers. Take the Over 1.5 on his total bases.

Padres vs Dodgers first five innings Under 4 (-120)

We've got a pitcher's duel on the West Coast as the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers close out a three-game set in La-La Land. The big news for the Dodgers at the trade deadline was the trade for future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer. The fireballer has been fantastic for his new team, pitching to a 1.05 ERA with a 0.77 WHIP and 63 strikeouts through 43 innings across seven starts. That includes an August 26 showdown against San Diego where he held the Friars to two hits across 7 2-3 innings of scoreless ball. 

However, Scherzer isn't the only pitcher sizzling in this matchup, with San Diego's Blake Snell playing his best ball of the year. The two-time All-Star had some up-and-down performances earlier in 2021 but has settled into a groove lately.

In seven starts since the beginning of August, Snell has a 1.85 ERA with a 0.78 WHIP and 65 strikeouts through 43 2-3 innings. He also had a start against the Dodgers during that span, holding them to just three hits and one run through 7 2-3 innings back on August 25. With two stud starters on the mound, take the first five innings Under. 

MLB betting card for September 12

  • Jaime Barria hits allowed Over 4.5 (-140)
  • Teoscar Hernandez total bases Over 0.5 (-105)
  • Padres vs Dodgers first five innings Under 4 (-120)

Picks made on 9/12/2021 at 9:45 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB prop picks, you could win $51.36 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on MLB props?

You can bet on MLB props at every online and casino sportsbook, including MLB player props, derivatives, and a ton of other MLB prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on MLB props in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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