The Golden State Warriors welcome the Chicago Bulls to the Chase Center on Thursday night.
Golden State has won four NBA championships during the Stephen Curry era, but the 36-year-old guard seems to be slowing down, and my Bulls vs Warriors predictions fade him tonight.
Here are my free NBA picks for this January 23 clash.
Bulls vs Warriors prediction
My best bet
Stephen Curry Under 26.5 points (-120 at bet365)
My analysis
The O/U for points for Stephen Curry is 26.5, which is way too high considering how the Golden State Warriors point guard has performed this season.
Curry is averaging 22.6 points per game which is his lowest scoring total in nearly a decade. He's also averaging 16.9 field goal attempts per game, which is a significant drop-off from the last from the last four seasons when that number was at 20.1.
Curry is fresh off a game against the Kings last night where he finished with just 14 points on 6-for-11 shooting. The superstar guard has now been held to fewer than 26.5 points in 14 of 20 games since the start of December.
The Chicago Bulls are a fast-paced team with a Bottom-10 defense but they are coming off a strong defensive effort against the Clippers and defend the arc extremely well.
On Tuesday, the Bulls held the Clippers to 99 points on 39% shooting, and they now rank second in the league in opponent 3-point percentage (33.6%).
That should help them limit Curry, who takes 62.7% of his shots from long range and could have tired legs after logging 34 minutes yesterday.
Bulls vs Warriors same-game parlay
Stephen Curry Under 26.5 points
Bulls ML
Ayo Dosunmu Under 13.5 points
Although the Bulls have struggled this season, they are 11-10 on the road and just won by 13 points against the Clippers on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Warriors have been 9-19 over the last two months.
Playing on the tail end of a back-to-back is especially tough for the Dubs because their depth is hurt by injuries to Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, and Brandon Podziemski. With Curry averaging 20.5 ppg when his team loses this season, it makes sense to bet the Bulls moneyline in this SGP since we're already fading Curry.
Dosunmu is averaging 12.3 ppg and has been held to 12 points or fewer in five straight. He's currently dealing with a calf injury and won't find it easy to score against a Warriors team 10th in the league in scoring defense (111.4 ppg).
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Bulls vs Warriors odds
Bulls vs Warriors live odds
Bulls vs Warriors opening odds
- Spread: Chicago +2.5 | Golden State -2.5
- Moneyline: Chicago +105 | Golden State -125
- Over/Under: Over 232 | Under 232
Odds courtesy of bet365
Bulls vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis
- The look-ahead line had the Warriors at -3.5 but reopened at -2.5 after they lost last night and has since slimmed to -1.5.
- Early money has poured in on the Under, shifting the total from 232 to 228.5.
- The Warriors are 6-10 straight up and 5-11 against the spread over the last month.
- The Bulls are coming off an upset win against the Clippers but had gone 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their previous five games.
Bulls vs Warriors trend
The Under is 21-10 in the Warriors' last 31 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Bulls vs. Warriors.
How to watch Bulls vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, California |
| Date | Thursday, 1-23-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CHSN, NBCSBA, NBAC |
Bulls vs Warriors latest injuries
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