Cavaliers vs Raptors Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Mobley & Co. Shut Down Toronto

Cleveland enters tonight's contest boasting one of the best defenses in the Association. Read more to see why Rohit Ponnaiya expects Evan Mobley & Co. to put the clamps on Toronto in our Cavaliers vs. Raptors betting picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 10, 2024 • 15:21 ET • 4 min read
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The Cleveland Cavaliers head to Canada on Saturday to face the Toronto Raptors. The Raps are in the middle of a rebuild after overhauling their roster over the last couple of months, but they are healthy and coming off back-to-back wins.

Cleveland is red-hot, having won eight in a row, and that streak is expected to continue as NBA odds have the Cavs installed as 9-point road favorites for this Eastern Conference showdown.

Here are my best free NBA picks for Cavaliers vs. Raptors on February 2.

Cavaliers vs Raptors odds

Cavaliers vs Raptors predictions

The Toronto Raptors are coming off consecutive wins for just the second time since the start of December. However, they scored just 107 points on 42% shooting against the Rockets last night, and I'm holding my applause for a 123-point explosion on Wednesday since it came against the worst defensive team in the NBA in the Hornets.

Now they have to play on back-to-back nights and face the red-hot Cleveland Cavaliers, who are second in the league in defensive rating and points allowed per game (109.3). Those numbers are especially impressive when you consider that All-Defensive first-team forward Evan Mobley was injured for almost two months and didn't return to the Cavs lineup until last week.

The Raps beat the Cavs 124-121 when these teams previously faced off on New Year's Day. However, it's worth noting that during that matchup, the Raptors were still in their honeymoon stage with R.J. Barrett and Immanuel Quickley. Additionally, they benefited from taking a significant 40 free throw attempts, while the Cavs were without both Mobley and Darius Garland

The Raptors lineup has been completely transformed after trading away O.G. Anunoby, Pascal Siakam, and Dennis Schroder. While they still possess some talented offensive players in their starting lineup, they don't shoot well from the perimeter and have no scoring punch off the bench. They've been heavily reliant on scoring inside the paint but Cleveland allows the fourth-fewest points per game in the paint (46.3), with that number slimming to 42.7 ppg over the last month.

The Raptors team total is set at 110.5 for tonight and they've gone below that number in seven of their last 11 games. Meanwhile, the Cavs prefer a slower pace and have allowed fewer than 110 points in 14 of their previous 17 contests. Fade the Raptors offense tonight.

My best bet: Raptors team total Under 110.5 (-115 at PointsBet)

Cavaliers vs Raptors same-game parlay

Raptors team total Under 110.5

R.J. Barrett Over 3.5 assists

Evan Mobley Over 8.5 rebounds

Barrett dropped seven dimes against the Rockets last night and he has now logged at least four assists in six of his last seven games. With Schroder traded to the Nets on Thursday, Barrett will be expected to be even more of a distributor moving forward. Taking the Over on his assists and the Under on the Raps team total creates a nice multiplier for this parlay.

Mobley has seen his minutes somewhat limited since coming back from a knee injury less than two weeks ago, but he's still been cleaning up on the glass. The Cavs power forward has pulled down double-digit boards in three of his last four games and is coming off a 12-rebound performance against the Nets on Thursday.

Mobley averages 10.2 rebounds per game and he continues to get closer to 100%. Getting his rebounds total at 8.5 against a below-average rebounding team like the Raptors is a steal. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Cavaliers vs Raptors spread and Over/Under analysis

The line opened with the Cavs at -8.5 and the total at 228.5. The spread has ticked up to -9 at some books while the total has moved to as high as 230.0. 

Since losing to the Raptors on New Year's Day, Cleveland boasts a 16-1 record straight up (12-5 against the spread). With a healthy Garland and Mobley back in the lineup, this could be one of the most dangerous teams in the East.

The Raptors secured a 107-104 victory last night, fending off a late rally from the Rockets. Prior to that, they defeated the Hornets 123-117 on Wednesday, although they had to mount a comeback against one of the league's weaker teams. 

In their last 16 games, Toronto has struggled, managing only a 4-12 SU record. 

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Cavaliers vs Raptors betting trend to know

The Raptors have cashed the Under on their team total in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.70 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Raptors.

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Cavaliers vs Raptors game info

Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date: Saturday, February 10, 2024
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: TSN, BSOH

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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