Clippers vs Lakers picks and predictions for Thursday

Superstar Anthony Davis is (not surprisingly) dealing with a lingering injury. If he's limited vs. the Clippers on Thursday, the door could be open for Kyle Kuzma.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jul 28, 2020 • 07:10 ET

The top two teams in the Western Conference restart NBA betting in style when the Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Clippers clash inside the bubble Thursday night.

The Clippers will miss some key contributors for this rivalry game, with Lou Williams in quarantine and Montrezl Harrell on his way back to the bubble. Patrick Beverley also runs the risk of not playing, coming out of quarantine Thursday. Those question marks have the NBA odds moving from Lakers -1 to -4.5 since opening back in late June.   

These are our favorite picks and predictions for Lakers vs. Clippers on July 30. 

Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers betting preview

Injuries

Lakers: Avery Bradley G (Out), Rajon Rondo (Out), Anthony Davis C (Probable)

Clippers: Lou Williams G (Out), Patrick Beverley (Questionable), Montrezl Harrell C (Questionable), Ivica Zubac C (Questionable), Landry Shamet G (Questionable) 

Referees 

TBA

Betting trend to know

The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites. Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Lakers.

 

Against the spread pick

Injuries plagued the Clippers for most of the 2019-20 regular season and at times it seemed like the club was just trying to make it to the postseason intact, without much care of playoff seeding. Well, if Lou Williams’ strip club chicken wings weren’t evidence enough, the Clips may not be too worried about the eight remaining regular-season games. 

With Doc Rivers’ focus on staying healthy and getting the full squad back together, as well as Kawhi Leonard’s struggles (9 for 38, 3 for 21 from 3-point range last two exhibition games), it’s tough to trust the Clippers right now – regardless of who’s on the other side of the court.

That so happens to be LeBron James and the Lakers. Los Angeles has had its own roster shuffle in the restart, losing Rajon Rondo to injury and Avery Bradley to the opt-out, but hasn’t skipped a beat with two strong showings in the final exhibition games.

PREDICTION: Lakers -4.5 (-110)

Over/Under pick

The Lakers and Clippers met three times before the COVID-19 shutdown, and all three games played Under the total. Those Over/Under numbers hovered between 223.5 and 226.5 – a nearly 10-point difference compared to Thursday’s total of 216 points. 

Beverley is the Clippers' top defender and even if he does play, he’s not going to be anywhere near game shape. The Lakers found their scoring stride in the past two exhibition games – blowing away the totals - and have several players who can create buckets when the offensive sets hit a snag (we see you J.R. Smith).

The Lakers have posted shooting days of 49, 49, and 57 percent in the warm-up schedule and with the Clippers possibly missing center Montrezl Harrell, and 7-footer Ivica Zubac still getting back into shape, LeBron & Co. could find plenty of space to operate in the paint.

PREDICTION: Over 216 (-110)

Player prop

Lakers big man Anthony Davis is dealing with an eye issue but is expected to play in Thursday's game. Davis sat out the final exhibition game and has been quiet during the bubble scrimmages.

That could open the door for Kyle Kuzma, who could benefit from extra minutes if AD is limited. Kuzma scored 25 points versus Orlando on July 25 before sitting out the final exhibition versus Washington as a precaution with a tender ankle.

Kuzma scored only eight points in the last meeting with the Clippers back on March 8 but dropped 25 on the Staples Center rivals on Christmas Day, going 8 for 17 with four 3-pointers in just under 28 minutes. 

PREDICTION: Kuzma Over 13.5 points (-122)

Clippers vs Lakers Betting Card

  • Lakers -4.5 (-110)
  • Over 216 (-110)
  • Kuzma Over 13.5 points (-122)
NBA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Clippers vs. Lakers picks, you could win $56.32 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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