The NBA schedule is jam-packed with 11 games on the board for basketball bettors to enjoy. That means there will be no shortage of options when it comes to NBA player props.
Tonight, I like a Cleveland Cavaliers big man to take advantage of the struggling Philadelphia 76ers, Tobias Harris to stay hot from deep against the Milwaukee Bucks and Julius Randle has a big night on the boards.
Here are my NBA picks for Wednesday, Nov. 13.
Best NBA player props today
-
Mobley o17.5 pts (-115 at bet365) -
Harris o1.5 threes (+125 at bet365) -
Randle o7.5 rebs (+105 at bet365)
Picks made on 11-13 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
NBA player props for November 13
Prop bet #1: Evan Mobley Over 17.5 Points
Joel Embiid will not play in back-to-backs for the Philadelphia 76ers, at least not yet, so he will not be active tonight. Guess what. I don’t care. Particularly for tonight’s matchup against the 12-0 Cleveland Cavaliers.
The former MVP has since tried to walk back his "I’d never play back-to-backs" comment calling himself a "troll," but Emiid looked lethargic, to put it nicely, in his season debut last night against the New York Knicks. He went just 2-11 for 13 points and three rebounds while Karl-Anthony Towns outworked him at both ends of the floor.
So, you can bet the Cavs and their twin towers of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen will try to do the same thing and run Embiid and the Sixers out of the gym.
Allen is questionable with a lower-leg strain, so I’m focused on Mobley. The Cavs’ 23-year-old big man looks to be getting better with each passing season. Mobley is averaging 18.1 points with a .584 effective field-goal percentage.
Tonight, he’ll face a Sixers frontcourt that lacks depth, especially without Embiid. And it’s not like Philly has a lockdown defense this season. The 76ers are 21st in defensive rating and 28th in opponent eFG%. They also surrender the eighth-most points in the paint per game.
I like Mobley to go Over 17.5 points in this matchup even if Allen goes. If Allen is limited, then I love it even more.
Prop bet #2: Tobias Harris Over 1.5 Threes
Don’t look now but here come the Detroit Pistons. OK, that probably says more about the state of the Eastern Conference than anything else but let’s give Detroit some credit for playing well.
The Pistons come into tonight’s game against the Milwaukee Bucks winners of five of their last eight games and are 7-3 ATS over their last 10.
This team has plenty of young talent, but having a veteran presence like Tobias Harris has helped. Harris, who is on his second stint with the Pistons, is averaging 13.9 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game.
Harris also started the season cold when it came to the 3-ball, shooting just 16.7% from beyond the arc over his first nine games but it looks like he is busting out of that funk and I think that’s giving us some value tonight.
Harris is 8 of 14 (57.1%) from 3-point range over his last three games and I like him to keep that hot hand going against a suspect Milwaukee defense.
The Bucks are coming off a much-needed victory over the Toronto Raptors, but they are still just 3-8 for the season. Part of the reason for their struggles is their defense, particularly on the perimeter. Milwaukee ranks 17th in defensive rating while ranking 25th in opponent 3-point attempts and 26th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage (37.2%).
The Pitsons are playing the second half of a back-to-back, but so are the Bucks, and that defensive effort can sometimes be the first thing to go. So, give me Harris to hit at least two treys, something he has done in two of his last three games.
Prop bet #3: Juluis Randle Over 7.5 Rebounds
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Portland Trail Blazers might be a little tired of seeing each other. The Northwest Division rivals will play for the third time in four games and will have their second meeting in as many days when they face off at the Moda Center tonight.
The Timberwolves took the first meeting 127-102 but the Trail Blazers responded with a 122-108 win last night. But there are many reasons the Wolves will be 9-point road faves for the second straight night.
One of the big edges the Timberwolves have is on the glass. Minnesota ranks 14th in rebounding rate, compared to 23rd for Portland. The Blazers also create of lot of opportunities for opposing teams to clean the boards.
That’s because the Blazers play at a high tempo, taking the fifth-most shots per game, while ranking dead last in opponent effective field goal percentage. That has me looking at Minnesota for a rebounding prop.
Rudy Gobert is an obvious candidate, but I actually think we’re getting a little more value with Julius Randle. Minny’s new power forward is averaging 6.6 rebounds per game but our Covers Prop Projections have him hauling down 7.9 tonight.
Randle’s rebounding prop is set at 7.5 but with the Over at plus money, this looks like a solid bet. Randle getting a double-double might be worth a look tonight as well.
New Users
Choose your welcome bonus at bet365
Get in on the NBA action at bet365, which is offering new users a choice of two incredible offers:
- Up to $1,000 in bonus bets back (if your first bet doesn't win)
- Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly
Sign up now to pick your offer at bet365, or learn more with our comprehensive bet365 review.
Eligible U.S. locations only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
NBA odds today
Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
