It’s a relatively busy day across the NBA on Tuesday, March 4, with nine games on the schedule. Three of my entries will focus on Cleveland Cavaliers standouts Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, and sharpshooter Max Strus. I’m also eyeing De’Aaron Fox to have a big game for the San Antonio Spurs.
Keep reading my NBA picks for today's DraftKings’ Pick6.
DraftKings NBA Pick6 Picks for today
The first three picks are our favorite plays for a 3-player lineup. If you want to play a 6-player lineup, use all six stat projections below.
🔼 De'Aaron Fox more than 23.5 points
🔽 Darius Garland less than 21.5 points
🔼 RJ Barrett more than 18.5 points
🔽 Donovan Mitchell less than 5.5 assists
🔼 Paolo Banchero more than 6.5 rebounds
🔼 Max Strus more than 9.5 points
Click on each pick to read full analysis.
DraftKings NBA Pick6 fantasy basketball lineup for March 4
De'Aaron Fox 23.5 points: MORE
De'Aaron Fox hasn’t played his best basketball since coming to the San Antonio Spurs. After averaging 25 points per game with the Sacramento Kings this season, the guard has only averaged 19 with his new squad in 12 games.
He’s scored less than 23.5 points in five straight games, but I expect that to change tonight. The Spurs are facing the Brooklyn Nets and Fox has torched them in 2024-25, averaging 30.5 points across two meetings.
Darius Garland 21.5 points: LESS
The Cleveland Cavaliers are still dominating at the top of the Eastern Conference but Darius Garland has been struggling since the All-Star break, averaging just 15 PPG in four games. He’s registered less than 21.5 points in four consecutive contests and had only 13 in a win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday.
While Garland has averaged 23 PPG against tonight’s opponent, the Chicago Bulls, it’s hard to have a lot of confidence in his scoring, especially as the Cavs spread the love around, up and down the roster. I’ll bank on another relatively quiet night for the guard.
RJ Barrett 18.5 points: MORE
RJ Barrett continues to show why he’ll be a mainstay for the Toronto Raptors for many years. He’s one of their best players, averaging 21.7 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 5.6 assists. He’s dropped more than 18.5 points in three of his last five, clearing the number easily.
The Canadian also plays well against the Orlando Magic, who the Raptors take on this evening. He’s averaging 20.5 points versus Orlando this season and just put up 22.1 points per night in February.
Donovan Mitchell 5.5 assists: LESS
Donovan Mitchell is averaging just 4.8 assists this season. While that’s respectable, he’s more of a scorer than anything else for Cleveland, with Garland usually carrying the playmaking duties. Spida has dished out less than 5.5 dimes in five of his last six outings.
He’s already faced the Bulls twice this season and totaled just six assists. With his total asking him to match that two-game output, it's just a bit too high.
Paolo Banchero 6.5 rebounds: MORE
Paolo Banchero is a physical force down low for the Magic, averaging 6.9 rebounds in 28 games. While he’s brought down less than 6.5 boards in five straight, there’s reason to believe that’ll change tonight against the Raptors.
He’s made his presence felt inside versus Toronto in ‘24-25, averaging eight rebounds in two contests. He also compiles 7.1 boards at home compared to 6.7 on the road.
Max Strus 9.5 points: MORE
Max Strus is a key piece off the bench for the Cavs, averaging 8.8 PPG on 37.5% shooting from three-point land. He’s playing well of late, scoring more than 9.5 points in three of his last four, registering 14, 17, and 11 points in those that have cleared tonight's total.
The guard has averaged 9.3 PPG against Eastern Conference opponents and has played heavier minutes over the last handful of games. He’ll do his part against the lowly Bulls on the road as Cleveland looks to extend their win streak to 11.
Jon Metler's DraftKings NBA Pick6 lineup for today
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