The Sacramento Kings head to the Mile High City tonight for a Western Conference clash with Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.
The Joker is dropping dimes lately and I expect that to continue in my Kings vs Nuggets predictions.
Continue reading for my NBA picks for Thursday, January 23 ahead of tonight's 9 p.m. ET tip.
Kings vs Nuggets prediction
My best bet
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists (-120 at bet365)
My analysis
Denver Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is arguably the best passing big man to ever live and he continues to prove why with each passing day. The Serbian is averaging 9.9 assists in 2024-25, which is currently a career high. For a center, that’s a ridiculous number.
The Joker has been performing at a very high playmaking level of late. He’s smashed the Over in dimes in four consecutive outings, dishing out exactly 10 assists in all of them.
In fact, he’s cashed the Over in eight of his previous 10 appearances dating back to December 30 and has double-digit dimes in seven of nine games since the calendar flipped to 2025, averaging just under 11 assists this month.
Jokic also tends to carve up the Sacramento Kings with his passing. Earlier in the campaign, he had 13 assists against them. Last season? He averaged 10 dimes versus Sacramento in four meetings. With the Kings taking a step back across the board this year, they're even less daunting an opponent for Jokic.
The Joker is such a creative facilitator and his numbers are insane at the moment. He’ll have another massive game as a passer tonight at home, where he’s also dishing out 10.3 assists per night.
Kings vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists
Domantas Sabonis Over 13.5 rebounds
De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists
Domantas Sabonis is an absolute monster on the glass, leading the Association with 14.2 rebounds per night, which is also a career-high.
The Lithuanian has a total of 13.5 tonight, which is definitely high. That being said, he’s hit the Over in boards in six of his last seven games. Sabonis just grabbed 18 rebounds in back-to-back outings and even had 28 earlier this month against the Celtics.
The center had 14 rebounds versus Denver in December and also averaged 13.8 rebounds per contest in four appearances against the Nuggets last season.
Over to De'Aaron Fox, who is also in line for a solid night as a playmaker. He’s cashed the Over in assists in three of the last four and usually lights up the Nuggets with his passing. Denver is last in the league in opponent assists allowed and Fox dished out seven last time out against them.
On top of that, his averages in dimes last season vs. the Nuggets were ridiculous. We’re talking 11.3 assists. The shifty guard is putting up 6.1 assists in January and averages 6.0 dimes on the road.
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Kings vs Nuggets odds
Kings vs Nuggets live odds
Kings vs Nuggets opening odds
- Spread: Sacramento +7.5 (-110) | Denver -7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Sacramento +250 | Denver -310
- Over/Under: Over 240 (-110) | Under 240 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Kings vs Nuggets spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Kings are 16-25-2 against the spread.
- Denver has compiled a 22-20-1 ATS record.
- The Over has cashed in three of the last five meetings.
Kings vs Nuggets trend
The Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Kings vs Nuggets
| Location | Ball Arena, Sacramento, California |
| Date | Thursday, 1-23-2025 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSCA, ALT, KUSA |
Kings vs Nuggets latest injuries
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